10 Wingmen: RI led the nation on pension cuts, but is backing away from leading on the law


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wingmen214Rapp, Katz and I get an early start on the pension debate this week on NBC 10’s web-only Wingmen segment. I argue the pension case should go to court mostly because I think it’s horrendously unfair that Rhode Island boast about leading the nation when it comes to slashing benefits but loses the stomach for the real fight when it comes to figuring out whether it was legal to do so. (That’s not reform, that’s cuts)

News, Weather and Classifieds for Southern New England

The NECAP math test is wrong


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Recent remarks in the Journal by the Commissioner of Education point a finger away from the NECAP and toward math education in this state, “Gist said that math is the problem, not the NECAP. ‘This is not about testing,’ she said. ‘It’s about math. It’s about reading.” (Jan. 31, 2014).

A statement like this puts everyone on notice. It tells our students they had better try harder; it tells our teachers they need to stay on track and get better results; and it tells our schools they need to raise their test scores. The subtext of the statement is that there is a big crises and just about everyone in the school system is to blame.

And just behind this subtext is the further ominous and obvious subtext that everyone in the schools needs to be held accountable until we get out of this mess.

But what kind of a mess are we in? What if our low math scores are the result of how we measure math instead of how we teach math? If that is the case, there is much less of a crises and the argument for holding everyone to high stakes accountablity–students don’t graduate, teachers get fired, schools get taken over–

has much less traction.

Since a lot rides on the answer to this question—is it the way we teach math or is it the way we measure math?—it’s worthwhile trying to answer it.

One way to go about this is to compare the performance standards set by different tests. A performance standard is sometimes expressed as a grade level, as in, “the proficiency level of the grade 11 NECAP is set at a ninth grade level”. In this case, a student demonstrating proficiency would show us that he or she has mastered the expectations of a student completing ninth grade. That is, the student would get most of the questions with ninth grade content and ninth grade difficulty right, but would get many fewer questions set at higher levels of difficulty or questions covering topics not usually taught until tenth grade or later.

The way this would show up on a test would be in the average score of the students taking the test—a test set at ninth grade proficieny would have a higher average score than a test set at the eleventh grade proficiency level if they are taken by the same group of students. That makes sense–the eleventh grade standard for proficiency is harder than the ninth grade level because students have covered more content and developed stronger skills.

Back to the basic question—is it the way we teach math or the way we measure math? If we look at the way the NECAP measures reading, we can see that in the two states that take the test in grade 11, New Hampshire and Rhode Island, about 80% of students achieve proficiency. If we say 80% achieving proficiency indicates the test is at an eleventh grade level, then we have to wonder about the NAEP results students in these states achieve because less than half achieve proficiency.

We then have to ask ourselves, what performance standard is NECAP using? Whatever it is, it is much lower than the performance standard NAEP uses because a much higher percentage of students pass. In fact. over 80% more students pass NECAP than pass NAEP, so you can think of the NECAP performace standard as almost twice as easy as the NAEP performance standard. The tests are using different performance standards.

math necap chart

If you look at math, the results are startlingly different—here the percentages passing NECAP and NAEP as very comparable, meaning both tests use the same performance standard. And if you look at the NAEP reading and math performance standards, they are pretty comparable, with reading a little higher than math.

It looks like NAEP, the national measuring stick, uses about the same performance standard for reading and math while the NECAP does not.

Now, you can argue that NECAP has set the math performance standard right and has used a reading standard that is too easy. Then, of course, we would have a reading and a math problem instead of just a math problem.

But either admitting the math standard is too hard or the reading standard is too easy would mean admitting that something is wrong with the way NECAP standards have been set, something the Department of Education and the Commissioner have steadfastly denied.

I think that, at heart, they have denied such an obvious fact because it is too costly to their policy agenda to admit that anything could be wrong with the tests.

To do so would be to cast doubt on the expertise of the test designers who are the ultimate source of authority in the accountability debate. If test designers are wrong and tests are fallible, then how we measure students, teachers and schools is up for grabs. RIDE loses its top down leverage.

In the same article, Gist said, “Now is not the time to rethink our strategy.”

“Holding students accountable is really important,” she said. “We cannot reduce expectations.” The Chairman of the Board of Education, Eva Mancuso echoed the thought, “We are on the right course.” This sounds like a comment from the bridge of the Titanic.

RI political pundits: chained to a cave and shouting at shadows


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My second year writing (occasionally) for RI Future has probably made a cynic out of me.

The problem with politics is that it necessarily has to make an emotional appeal out of rational arguments. And that’s not to castigate that, that’s simply reality. You can trot out facts, figures, well-reasoned logic, and a thousand points of data; but without that gut punch, you can’t win. Anger, or fear, are often the most effective.

Combine that with righteousness and you have a heady mixture. A politician must always be righteous, right up until the moment they must be penitent; but that only happens when some undeniable wrongdoing has been brought to light. There is no room for mulling things over, for admitting mistakes while you’re still assailable. The nature of politics (to some extent driven by media) treats measured consideration as weakness.

OdysseusIn the Iliad, my favorite character is always Odysseus. Odysseus is the character who collects all his thoughts and then gives an answer when questioned. This is in stark contrast to his fellow leaders Agamemnon and Achilles, who are constantly feuding. We have a surplus of Agamemnons and Achilleses, but precious few Odysseuses.

In contemporary Rhode Island politics, there is precious little space for nuance. Thus as we race for the governor’s office, we ask who has The Plan for reinvigorating our economy? Do we expect four budgets to somehow turn back the tide in this extended downturn? Or to erase our manufacturing collapse? The Governor is not some sort of ambivalent god who can protect our economy when we demand it. For that matter, neither is the General Assembly

We’re too focused on get-rich-quick schemes; and when we’re not proposing those, we’re claiming something that takes a lot of work can be done easily. We want to have all the positive indicators of other places; low employment, low crime, healthy people, clean and responsive government; but we don’t want to put in the time and money it takes to build those things. We want it cheap, and preferably we want to do it with as little change as possible.

Rhode Island’s pundits, like myself, are perhaps the worst. In the Sanskrit word it comes from, it’s supposed to mean “learned.” But I think of us as like the people in Plato’s Cave; watching shadows dancing upon the wall and proclaiming our interpretations as reality. But the pronouncements I read daily from opinionated people of all stripes rarely match the place I grew up in. A place of diversity and yet a true melting pot in the old sense; a single culture forged from many others. A place of decrepit and failing brick and concrete; yet with sinews of marble and cobblestone. I think of Rhode Islanders who have grimly read and heard of our doom for half a century or so, and wonder what they must think. Is there relief from it all? Or do we just grimace, ignore it, and keep going?

But when we cast everyone into heroes and villains, we must always be the hero striving to keep the villain from damning us all. That’s a terrible thing in politics. There aren’t fairy tales where the villain and hero reached a reasonable compromise and all parties walked away feeling decent about what they got. It’s easier, far easier, to think of the other person as evil. But the desire to do evil is rarely in anyone. Most of us are far more invested in our own righteousness.

There are a lot of would-be heroes out there now, heading towards the campaign season. Some of them are would-be Jeremiahs, convinced they’re speaking The Truth to the masses who just refuse to listen. Others are without a doubt egoists, who just want to be seen and accumulate as much power and influence as possible. Some might be over-inflated, convinced they have a ton of influence without really having much of anything. They’ll plot out plans and platforms, explain why they’re the force of good and their opponents are fighting to make us fail. And eventually one of them will get elected, and then eventually the economy will turn around, and they’ll declare victory without having done too much.

I often have heard it said that native Rhode Islanders are the most pessimistic about our state. But I find that hard to believe. If they truly are, then they must be mad for insisting on remaining here. The economy’s poor, and the weather sucks. I don’t think a bunch of outsiders who have decided to rest up here for awhile are going to save our state for us. It’s going to be the people who remain here through hurricanes and blizzards, economic downturns and mass layoffs and pension cuts.

What makes a Rhode Islander to me? A Rhode Islander can spend all day castigating the state and still love it deeply as they go to sleep. It doesn’t matter why they love it, it’s that they do. That’s what counts.