The cop-out of COP21 Paris climate talks


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News broke that a “historic” deal had been stuck in Paris by the largest gathering of states in human history at the COP21 United Nations conference meant to address climate change. Yet despite the self-congratulation, adulation from the lame-stream press, and over-glorified silliness, activists and scientists were adamant that the whole affair was simply a gigantic ruse, with Friends of the Earth International (FEI) calling the agreement “a sham”.

“Rich countries have moved the goal posts so far that we are left with a sham of a deal in Paris. Through piecemeal pledges and bullying tactics, rich countries have pushed through a very bad deal,” said Sara Shaw, Friends of the Earth International climate justice and energy coordinator. Dipti Bhatnagar, Friends of the Earth International climate justice and energy coordinator, said “Vulnerable and affected people deserve better than this failed agreement; they are the ones who feel the worst impacts of our politicians’ failure to take tough enough action.”

At the core of the deal currently being touted as a success are the following policy goals:

  • Limit global temperature rise to 2*C (3.6*F), if not 1.5*C
  • Limit greenhouse gas emissions beginning somewhere between 2050 and 2100
  • Review of each state’s contribution every five years
  • Rich countries will finance adaptation to climate change and transfer to a renewable energy grid in poorer ones

Yet as Amy Goodman of Democracy Now! reported all week from the City of Love, the agreement has always been lacking several key elements. It fails to protect women and indigenous peoples and does not include a mechanism allowing for states to claim damages from the large polluter nations and corporations that have already affected millions of lives with climate change. Consider what Dr. Bill Nye told The Huffington Post at the beginning of the month about how climate change had caused the war in Syria:

The news is filled weekly with stories of natural disasters, exacerbated by climate change, that cause cataclysmic events throughout the world. And when one considers that it has recently been revealed that the Exxon oil company knew in the 1970s that climate change existed and was caused by the burning of fossil fuels, one can easily see a clear-cut case of industrial malfeasance that resulted in catastrophic consequences for the population, not unlike the case of tobacco companies, especially since both the petroleum and tobacco companies intentionally misled the public about the harmful affects of their products. This would create the opportunity for governments throughout the world to file massive class-action lawsuits against the oil companies and even perhaps the nation states that aided and abetted this cover-up. Furthermore, as reported on Democracy Now! when Goodman interviewed Dr. Kevin Anderson, things are far worse than the public believes.

Well, those of us who look at the—running between the science and then translating that into what that means for policymakers, what we are afraid of doing is putting forward analysis that questions the sort of economic paradigm, the economic way that we run society today. So, we think—actually, we don’t question that. So what we do is we fine-tune our analysis so it fits within a sort of a—the political and economic framing of society, the current political and economic framing. So we don’t really say that—actually, our science now asks fundamental questions about this idea of economic growth in the short term, and we’re very reluctant to say that. In fact, the funding bodies often are reluctant to fund research that raises those questions. So the whole setup, not just the scientists, the research community around it that funds the research, the journalists, events like this, we’re all being—we’re all deliberately being slightly sort of self-delusional. We all know the situation is much more severe than we’re prepared to voice openly. And we all know this. So it is a—this is a collective sort of façade, a mask that we have. [Emphasis added]

How bad is it? Consider this recent article in Science Daily. A rise of 6*C in ocean temperatures, something that could happen by the end of the century, would cause phytoplankton to stop photosynthesizing. These phytoplankton are responsible for 2/3 of the planet’s oxygen, which would cause the planet’s air to have a massive drop in oxygen content, resulting in a massive die-off of animals and humans, something not dreamed of seriously perhaps since John of Patmos delivered his Book of Revelations.

Now consider also recent developments regarding the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The deal, revealed recently to massive outrage, would severely impact the ability to file class-action lawsuits against corporations and entities over consumer safety issues. Poorer nations, especially those island nations in the Pacific Ocean that face massive land loss within the next fifty years, should be able to sue for damages. Yet instead, the COP21 agreement foists onto these nations proposals for a neoliberal loan package that will entail greater hegemony for capital, parasitical debt resulting in cuts to vital social services, and no protection for those most impacted by climate change and who find themselves on the front lines of the battle. It as if an arsonist were to light your house on fire and then offer to sell you a garden hose to put the blaze out with a caveat that you become their indentured servant for an unspecified amount of time!

To quote the Bard at this point seems almost cliche. Yet I cannot help but recall the words of Cassius:

Why, man, he doth bestride the narrow world
Like a Colossus, and we petty men
Walk under his huge legs and peep about
To find ourselves dishonorable graves.
Men at some time are masters of their fates:
The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars,
But in ourselves

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Mass, Conn have already acted; is RI finally ready to tackle climate change?


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art handy memeThe newest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report was released today, and it isn’t pretty.

The Guardian summarized it well, saying

“The report from the UN’s intergovernmental panel on climate change concluded that climate change was already having effects in real time – melting sea ice and thawing permafrost in the Arctic, killing off coral reefs in the oceans, and leading to heat waves, heavy rains and mega-disasters.

And the worst was yet to come. Climate change posed a threat to global food stocks, and to human security, the blockbuster report said.

‘Nobody on this planet is going to be untouched by the impacts of climate change,’ said Rajendra Pachauri, chair of the IPCC.

Monday’s report was the most sobering so far from the UN climate panel and, scientists said, the most definitive. The report – a three year joint effort by more than 300 scientists – grew to 2,600 pages and 32 volumes.”

The bottom line is that nowhere near enough action has been taken to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions, and the urgency to do something increases with each passing day. Rhode Island can be considered among those that have failed to act, but that could change this year.

While Massachusetts and Connecticut passed comprehensive climate change legislation over 5 years ago, Representative Art Handy’s Climate Solutions Acts have consistently fallen flat at the State House. This year Handy, who chairs the House Environment and Natural Resources Committee, has taken a new approach.

His Resilient Rhode Island Act of 2014 keeps the same ambitious goals for mitigating RI carbon emissions and adds new provisions for climate adaptation, helping the State’s cities and towns coordinate in preparing for rising sea levels, increasing flooding, and more extreme weather events. By adding the adaptation piece, Handy hopes to build a stronger coalition of support behind the effort, as storms like Sandy and the floods of 2010 have convinced businesses, officials and residents alike that we need to be more prepared.

Considerable momentum has already been generated for getting this bill passed. The Coastal Resources Management Council has been conducting outreach around its Beach Special Area Management Plan (SAMP), Governor Chafee recently created the Executive Climate Change Council, the fantastic Waves of Change website was released, and Senator Whitehouse’s continued campaigning at the federal level is being heard here. The Resilient RI Act even has its own information filled website. Additionally, Brown University is devoting resources to the effort, and it is Sierra Club RI’s number one priority.

In fact, I started a petition in support of the bill yesterday that already has close to 150 signatures on it, and I invite you to be a part of creating even more momentum on Smith Hill. CLICK AND SIGN

Time is of the essence. The Resilient Rhode Island Act is going to be heard this Thursday in Handy’s committee. If you can, I urge you to come out and voice your support. The IPCC report and our own senses demand this urgency.

If we had had the wisdom to pass such legislation twenty years ago when the science supporting it was already demanding such action, we would not have suffered so badly from Sandy’s glancing blow, and we would have created the framework for building a clean energy economy that would have meant thousands of good paying jobs. Better late than never, right? Just ask Sheldon:

Global warming…? It’s freezing!


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nam_sfc_4panelOver the past several years, right-wing news talkers have made a winter ritual out of ridiculing global warming whenever there’s a big snow event in the mid-Atlantic or a major cold wave that reaches the South.

“Global warming…? It’s freezing!” they spew.

Except this kind of winter weather is, in fact, a result of global warming. What’s worse is that it’s going to be like this for a long, long time.

Global Warming, Climate Change and Weather

The best way to make yourself look like an ignoramus on this topic is to equate surface air temperatures with global warming. If it’s hot in the summer, it’s not necessarily global warming that’s making it hot. Summer is hot, right?

You have to ask, “Why is it hot? Is it that much hotter?” It may be that global warming is making it hotter than ever, or it could just be a hot summer.

Air gets hot; air get cold. Water, on the other hand, gets less hot and less cold. Water is a far more stable repository of heat than air. That’s why it’s cooler at the shore in the summer when it’s hot in the city. And warmer at the shore in the winter when it’s cold inland. Water temperature resists the day-to-day vagaries of air temperature.

And, mostly, air moves around a lot. Water moves, but much more slowly than the air, so it’s more stable in that regard as well. Unless it’s moving as vapor in the air.

Climate is the basic conditions—the raw materials of air, water vapor, land masses and, of course, that big old sun. Weather is what happens when these conditions interact on a day-to-day basis.

Evaporating oceans that become water vapor, ride in air over a land mass and then fall in the form of rain or snow is what makes life on this planet possible. If this were to stop, we would all die. Fast. But it needs to happen within a certain range and within a certain seasonal pattern for the ecosystem to work is such a way that our lives are possible.

Global warming has deposited exceptional amounts of heat in the oceans, making them more evaporative. This increased amount of available water vapor has changed the climate in ways that we are still trying to understand. What we know for sure is that the exceptional weather results we see these days are unlike anything in our recorded history, and in some cases they are unlike anything at any time that science has been able to study through fossils or ice core samples.

North America’s January Started in Siberia…in October

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Dr. Judah Cohen is no hippie. He works for one of the world’s leading private weather prediction services. He gets paid quite handsomely to help companies anticipate weather months in advance and put risk mitigation strategies in place.

As I’ve written here repeatedly, major insurers are the leading climate alarmists. Exceptional weather events destroy property, and they’re the ones who have to pay.

Over the past 15 or so years, the northeast US has seen a substantial increase in major winter snow events—costly to cities and states—that did not correlate with an exceptional Labrador counter-current, a coastal down flow of Arctic waters generally associated with a snowy northeast winter. And the storms would sometimes track far south of the traditional path.

Dr. Cohen searched the climate data from around the globe and found something that correlated well: October snow in Siberia. Like the new winter weather in the northeast, these Siberian snows were also new. Typically, these areas of western Siberia remained barren rock through the autumn and into the winter. Suddenly, these remote areas began receiving significant amounts of snow in the month of October.

This change in Siberia in October affects our weather in January and February. Or so Dr. Cohen’s team—and all the companies that pay them so much money—believe.

When this area in Siberia gets covered in a smooth sheet of white snow, it radiates substantially more solar heat than the darker, rumbled rock formations did. This mass of rising warmer air becomes so powerful that it pushes the giant dome of frigid air that covers the polar region in the winter down over North America.

Interlude: Polar Ice

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Before addressing the madness that is the polar vortex, we should ask the question, “Why is it now snowing in Siberia in October?”

The answer is simple: because it can.

Rain or snow requires the right combination of temperature gradient (hot and cold temperatures near each other) and available moisture (water vapor). The North Pole is cold pretty much all the time; Siberia gets warm in the summer. So the temperature gradient has always been there.

What’s new is the available moisture, in the form of increasingly greater summer melt of the northern polar ice cap. The illustration (click for bigger view and attribution) compares the peak melt in mid-September of 1984 and 2012. Clearly, substantial amounts of new, open water can feed the prevailing westerly winds (moving roughly top to lower left) with moisture that then falls as snow in Siberia (left and lower left). That’s basic meteorology: more or warmer water means more precipitation.

Polar Vortex, Go Home. You’re Cold

The Siberian snowpack creates rising air that reaches the polar air mass and pushes it off its natural polar resting place so it more-or-less spills itself over North America.

The polar vortex is a weak, low pressure system that rotates counterclockwise. This 72-hour forecast loop shows the effect clearly. [NOTE: Link will open in a separate tab. Also, this link is time dependent, so if you’re not looking at this on or about January 25, 2014, it may not show what’s described.] As it spins, it polar air plunges down the western flank well into the South. For the first time ever, people in Louisiana are seeing their pipes burst because the construction of their houses does not account for this kind of weather.

Perversely, when the polar vortex descends over North America, it can sometimes be colder at the bottom of Hudson Bay than it is on the North Pole. Note how warmer air presses up over the northeast side of the system in the forecast loop.

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One thing the polar vortex can’t do is be stronger than the ocean. So it gets stuck in the triangle created by Siberia that is pushing it away and the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic. The illustration at right shows the 39 hour wind chill forecast: 15Z SUN 26 JAN 14 (about 10am local time on Sunday, January 26).

Looks like about -10 F in Little Rhody. So, yeah, polar vortex. Cold, horrible and anomalous. Also, not going anywhere.

Have a great Sunday!

Songs of Rage


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“What do I know that would cause me, a reticent, Midwestern scientist, to get myself arrested in front of the White House protesting? And what would you do if you knew what I know?” With these questions James Hansen opens his riveting presentation Why I must speak out about climate change on TED. Hansen, whom the Bush administration tried to silence in one of their numerous attempts to change reality by denial, is known for his 1980s congressional testimony in which he started raising awareness of global warming and its threat to the biosphere.

I too start with questions: “What would cause us, upstanding seniors, to stand on street corners, dressed like fools, singing songs with our own, supposedly epoch-making Raging Granny lyrics? And, you who know what we know, what are you doing?”

Raging Grannies protesting. (Photo by Danielle Dirocco)

What, in fact, do I know that deeply concerns my inner scientist-grandfather? As Hansen explains, greenhouse gasses cover the Earth with a blanket that makes it absorb more solar power than it radiates back into space. To restore the energy balance, the Earth heats up as required by laws of physics, laws soon to be repealed by an ALEC inspired legislature near you.

Let Hansen speak:

The total energy imbalance now is about six-tenths of a watt per square meter. That may not sound like much, but when added up over the whole world, it’s enormous. It’s about 20 times greater than the rate of energy use by all of humanity. It’s equivalent to exploding 400,000 Hiroshima atomic bombs per day 365 days per year. That’s how much extra energy Earth is gaining each day. This imbalance, if we want to stabilize climate, means that we must reduce CO2 from 391 ppm, parts per million, back to 350 ppm. That is the change needed to restore energy balance and prevent further warming.

Those of us who are not addicted to this so-last-century medium called TV know the problems caused by global warming, but not all may realize the magnitude and frequency of the extremes that have ravaged the Earth during the last decades. Yes, we have seen the heat waves, the droughts, the wild fires, and the record breaking hurricanes and typhoons. But nothing is more variable than the weather! So, why should we be worried by a list like this? Indeed, no particular item is anything new under the Sun, but new is the frequency of extreme weather events. Hansen and coworkers[1] did the statistics and found —emphasis mine— that:

An important change is the emergence of a category of summertime extremely hot outliers, more than three standard deviations (3σ) warmer than the climatology of the 1951-1980 base period. This hot extreme, which covered much less than 1% of Earth’s surface during the base period, now typically covers about 10% of the land area. It follows that we can state, with a high degree of confidence, that extreme anomalies such as those in Texas and Oklahoma in 2011 and Moscow in 2010 were a consequence of global warming because their likelihood in the absence of global warming was exceedingly small. We discuss practical implications of this substantial, growing, climate change.

How does the focus-group driven world of denial, aka American politics, respond to this string of disasters? In an interview with Jessica Sites of In These Times indefatigable Amy Goodman of Democracy Now!’ comments:

We are the ones making that connection; the corporate media does not. In all three debates between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, do you know how many times the words ‘climate change’ came up? None.

Am I the only one who thinks that these so-called leaders should be tried for complicity in a conspiracy to commit genocide? It seems that to those of us who do not have their brains washed by the Supreme Courtisans of the Corporate States of America this should be a clear a case:

Article II of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of Genocide: “(c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;”

“Group” here refers to that half of humanity who cannot afford privatized, distilled water, and filtered, cold air, to be sold by the Corporations of Mass Destruction that own government.

Oh well, those ElecToon debates took place before we won the elections, which, as we all know, ended in a mandate for change, as they always do. Yet, somehow, we are wasting time on inane fiscal cliff theatrics. Why? To further the bipartisan program of shredding the social contract by unbridled privatization and imperial overreach, brought to us by the “world’s best military.” Indeed, as Major Ralph Peters describes it: “The de facto role of the US armed forces will be to keep the world safe for our economy and open to our cultural assault. To those ends, we will do a fair amount of killing.”

Chief Sitting Bull (Tatanka Iyotake) diagnoses this sick conduct of the “developed” world like this:

Strangely enough, they have a mind to till the soil, and the love of possessions is a disease in them. These people have made many rules that the rich may break, but the poor may not! They have a religion in which the poor worship, but the rich will not! They even take tithes of the poor and weak to support the rich and those who rule. They claim this mother of ours, the Earth, for their own use, and fence their neighbors away from her, and deface her with their buildings and their refuse. They compel her to produce out of season, and when sterile she is made to take medicine in order to produce again. All this is sacrilege.

You can find this quote in Days of Destruction Days of Revolt, Chris Hedges’ and Joe Sacco’s agonizing account of their travels in “sacrifice zones,” those areas ruined in the name of unbridled profit, progress, and industrial advancement. This exchange between
Chris Hedges and Bill Moyers sums it up perfectly:

CHRIS HEDGES: There’s no way to control corporate power. The system has broken down, whether it’s Democrat or Republican. And because of that, we’ve all become commodities. Just as the natural world has become a commodity that is being exploited until it is exhausted, or it collapses.
BILL MOYERS: You call them sacrifice zones.
CHRIS HEDGES: Right.
BILL MOYERS: Explain what you mean by that.
CHRIS HEDGES: Well, they have the individuals who live within those areas have no power. The political system is bought off, the judicial system is bought off, the law enforcement system services the interests of power, they have been rendered powerless. You see that in the coal fields of Southern West Virginia.
[…]
And when we flew over the Appalachians, and it’s a terrifying experience, because you realize only then do you realize how vast the devastation is. Just as when we were both in the war in Bosnia, you couldn’t grasp the destruction of ethnic cleansing until you actually flew over Bosnia, and village after village after village had been razed and destroyed.

And the same was true in the Appalachian Mountains. And these people are poisoned. The water is poisoned, it smells, the soil is poisoned. And the people who are making tremendous profits from this don’t even live in West Virginia—

Of course, the World according to Peabody Coal Company and Bechtel Corporation, assisted by their flunkies of government by and for the Ruling Class was documented in Broken Rainbow(1985). Libraries have been filled with accounts of our colonial exploits. Indeed, in 1860 the Dutch writer known by his pen name Multatuli wrote about the former Dutch colonial sacrifice zone, today’s Indonesia, and lamented: “I told you, reader, that my story is monotonous.” Therefore, let us sing Songs of Rage by Grannies Marlies and Paige, and the Raging Grannies of Greater Westerly:

Miner’s Lament
(Tune of My Darling Clementine)

In the cabins
In the canyons
Live our families on the dole
They have asthma
They have cancer
And the wind blows black as coal

Oh my homeland
Oh my homeland
Oh my Blue Ridge Mountain home
Once I was a simple miner
Now the mountain tops are gone

With the treasures
In our valleys
We should all be millionaires
Corporations took our profits
Left the landscape scarred and bare

Oh my homeland
Oh my homeland
Oh my Blue Ridge Mountain home
You are lost and gone forever
And the mountain tops are blown
        (right off!)

Fiscal Cliff Talk
(Tune of Little Boxes)

Fiscal cliff talk as the globe warms,
Fiscal cliff talk as they dilly dally,
Fiscal cliff talk on the bube tube,
Fiscal cliff talk is a scam.
There’s the wild fires and the dust bowl,
And the heat waves and the hurricanes,
And the pols seem but to dilly dally,
And they all want just the same.

Fiscal cliff talk on the bube tube,
Fiscal cliff talk but to dilly dally,
Fiscal cliff talk, fiscal cliff talk,
Fiscal cliff talk is a scam.
There’s the Blue Dogs and the Red Dogs,
And the Dem talk and the Repub talk,
And they all seem but to dilly dally,
And they all want just the same.

See the people on the bube tube
Carry water for the ruling class,
Medicare cuts, Medicaid cuts,
Payoffs for gigantic greed.
And there’s home loans and there’s student loans,
And the debt collectors agencies,
‘Cuz the rich need their entitlements.
Let the common good be damned!

With austerity and with deep cuts,
They shall tear up social safety nets.
For all drama ’bout posterity,
Fiscal cliff talk is a scam.
With their pipelines and their tar sands,
They will sell off the environment,
But they don’t care ’bout posterity,
As they buy and sell the Earth.

1. Hansen, J., Mki. Sato, and R. Ruedy, 2012: Perception of climate change, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 109, 14726-14727, E2415-E2423, doi:10.1073/pnas.1205276109.

Progress Report: Woonsocket, Global Warming in RI, Little Money for Low-Income Housing, RIP Rodney King


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The Woonsocket City Council meets tonight to work on the spending plan it must send to the state-appointed budget commission prior to July 1. The two entities have about two weeks to shave about $6 million from city expenses … if they can’t do it the next option would likely be a receiver.

Not only do we have one of the worst economies in the country, we also seem to suffer the most from the effects of global warming. Remember this when temperatures climb into the high 90’s this week … no state is getting hotter faster than Rhode Island.

And yet another way the state is failing: Rhode Island remains one of a handful of states without a permanent stream of money for low-income housing, something state officials and homeless advocates say is a critical part of implementing a homeless prevention plan adopted by the state earlier this year.”

Rest in peace Rodney King, whose brutal beating by the LA Police in 1991 ended the the Cosby Show era of race relations in the United States … he also raised the most important question of a generation when he famously said during the 1992 LA riots after police were aquitted, “Can we all get along?”

The answer to his question is because of people like Sheriff Joe Arpaio.

The Projo lauds state Sen. Dawson Hodgson for making it to an East Greenwich fundraiser when the Senate was in recess on the last night of the legislative session … me too, considering the event was organized by my brother Matt Plain. While Mattie and me have pretty much never agreed on anything political in our lives, the rest of our family is as bipartisan as they come – our sister, mom and step-dad all attended both the RI Future/Working RI Netroots cocktail party just a few nights before they attended the Hodgson fundraiser.