Andrew Zimbalist’s ‘problematic’ history


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PawSoxSmith College sports economist Andrew Zimbalist has a long history delivering consulting reports that contain exactly what his clients want to hear. Has House Speaker Nicholas Mattiello hired the best person to “independently assess and review” the Pawtucket Red Sox proposal?

In 2013 Andrew Zimbalist was interviewed by Stephen Nohlgren for the Tampa Bay Times about moving the Tampa City Rays to a new stadium downtown. When asked if the Rays need a new stadium, Zimbalist was adamant that the answer was yes. When asked where the stadium should go, Zimbalist replied in a way that should be familiar to Rhode Island residents paying attention to his statements regarding the proposed downtown stadium.

Downtown Tampa. It’s very important in today’s economics that stadiums be located as close to a business district as possible — particularly baseball, that can play six or 7 games a week. It enables the team to attract members of the business community to the stadium at the end of the work day and sell season tickets and premium seating.”

Andrew-Zimbalist-590x900It was at this time that Tampa Bay sports reporter Noah Pransky first discovered that Zimbalist was a paid consultant for Major League Baseball. The Tampa Bay Times, in response to this information, said, “The Times did not know of any ongoing relationship between Zimbalist and Major League Baseball when it published an interview with him on Jan. 21. If we had, we would have disclosed that to our readers.”

Zimbalist seems to make a habit of avoiding full disclosure. Amy Anthony of the Associated Press exposed Zimbalist’s ties to Major League Baseball for Rhode Island readers the day after Speaker Nicholas Mattiello hired Zimbalist as a consultant for $225 per hour. This was not information either Zimbalist or Mattiello felt the need to disclose when the hiring was announced.

Zimbalist and Mattiello further failed to disclose that Zimbalist had toured the proposed downtown Providence site for the PawSox stadium with the late James Skeffington. It is impossible to imagine that Skeffington, who co-owned the PawSox with Boston Red Sox owner Larry Lucchino, did not give Zimbalist the full on sales pitch with the tour.

ProductImageHandlerNeil deMause is a journalist and a regular contributor to Vice Sports, Al Jazeera America, Extra!, City Limits, the Village Voice, and other publications. He’s the author of Field of Schemes: How the Great Stadium Swindle Turns Public Money into Private Profit for which Zimbalist was an important source.

I asked him about Zimbalist’s reputation as a gun for hire.

“I think gun for hire may be overstating it a little bit,” said deMause, “he is certainly willing to work for anyone who wants his services. And at times, it has caused problems for him.”

Zimbalist, says deMause, “was one of the first economists to really look seriously at stadium financing and has done a lot of great work on that. He also, in the last 10 to 15 years, has started doing a lot of consulting work. He has worked for various different sides. He has worked for cities trying to evaluate whether or not they should spend on teams and he has worked for the owners of the Brooklyn Nets, trying to argue that New York City should put money into an arena.

“One reason I think its problematic is that once you start taking money from someone who has a stake in the game, you have an incentive to spin your findings to make who’s paying you happy.”

One “problematic” example from deMause is a blog post he put together entitled “Zimbalist v. Zimbalist” in which Zimbalist’s statements made at different times for different audiences are contrasted.

Most of this public spending will be of direct benefit to the community, and a significant share will come back to the state and city. … As an investment, the Yankees‘ stadium plan is a winner for the Bronx and all of New York.
-Andrew Zimbalist, New York Times op-ed, 1/22/06

Practically every stadium that’s come on stream in the last 20 years in the United States has been accompanied by a consulting report – these are hired-out consulting companies – that are working for the promoters of the stadium. They engage in a very, very dubious methodology. They make unrealistic assumptions and they can produce whatever result they want to produce.
-Andrew Zimbalist, NewsHour with Jim Lehrer, 12/22/04

Together with the development of surrounding commercial space and the prospect for a new Metro-North platform, the project will be a major facelift for the area and help gentrify the South Bronx.
-Andrew Zimbalist, New York Times op-ed, 1/22/06

The notion that you’re rejuvenating the waterfront because you put a baseball stadium there frankly is silly. … It’s used for four hours a day when it’s used. And those four hours have tens of thousands of people inside the stadium. They’re not outside milling around on the streets buying shirts and hot dogs. They’re inside spending money on concessions that are managed by the owner of the baseball team.
-Andrew Zimbalist, NewsHour with Jim Lehrer, 12/22/04

At the time, deMause found Zimbalist’s opinions on a proposed Yankees stadium “puzzling” and “baffling.” deMause called an op-ed Zimbalist wrote for the New York Times, “shoddy work.”

For an example of seriously shoddy work from Zimbalist though, we have to go to 2008, when Zimbalist appeared in court as an expert witness in a dispute between the City of Seattle and the Sonics. As reported by Greg Johns,

“Zimbalist… told attorneys in a pretrial deposition that he produced a unique report on the Sonics’ situation after researching the situation, seeking up-to-date opinions from other economists and spending 20-25 hours writing the paper.

“But [Sonics attorney Paul] Taylor put page after page of Zimbalist’s Seattle report on a screen, adjacent to a 2005 report the Smith College professor prepared for a similar case involving the Anaheim Angels.

“The wording was virtually identical in both reports, with ‘Anaheim’ or the ‘Angels’ simply replaced by ‘Seattle’ or the ‘Sonics.’

“‘Did you just go into your computer and change words?’ Taylor asked.

“‘I have notes I use to draft my reports,’ Zimbalist responded.

After Taylor presented more and more identical pages, Zimbalist allowed that ‘it seems to be the same language.’

When Taylor asked Zimbalist ‘how many thousands of dollars’ he charged the city of Seattle for preparing his report, Zimbalist replied, ‘I have no idea what I have invoiced to date.’

“I think the problem,” said deMause to me in our interview, “is less the billing than that he took the same research and came to the opposite conclusion. That was a little problematic.”

When Zimbalist was working as a consultant for the New York Nets to secure public financing for a new arena in Brooklyn, says deMause, he was trying to find out, “how many people would go to a game in Brooklyn from outside New York. This is a huge issue, because is [the arena] really going to bring in new spending or will it be the people who are going to be in the city any way?”

deMause continued,

So he didn’t have Nets season tickets residents numbers, I don’t know why he didn’t, so he took the Jets number and he said, okay, they play in New Jersey, it’s pretty much the same thing… and uh, maybe? I mean, they have a different fan base, people travel to football games on weekends and basketball games during the week…

“That wasn’t necessarily the wrong thing to do, but it’s a temptation to say, okay, this will show the finding that I’m being paid for. It will make the client happy. It’s economically legitimate,  so sure, why not?

“That’s where Andy runs into criticism. Is he sticking to what he thinks is the absolute best economic answer to some of these questions, or is he justifying what the client wants?”

Speaker Mattiello is paying Zimbalist $225 per hour plus expenses, according to the contract acquired by RI Future. For this Zimbalist is to act as a consultant and adviser to the House Policy Office, “independently assess and review the Pawtucket Red Sox Proposal,” “provide a weekly progress update to the Director of the House Policy Office [Lynne Urbani]” and “be responsible for submitting to the Joint Committee on Legislative Services a summary” of his findings.

Zimbalist is “still a good economist,” says deMause. “I learned a ton from him when my co-author and I were working on our book. And he’s inspired a good, new generation of economists.”

However, “There are so many people out there who do not have this conflict of interest you could hire that it seems questionable to hire Andy Zimbalist when you could get Victor Matheson or a Brad Humphries or all these other people.”

Patreon

Video: Victor Matheson’s PawSox presentation


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Dr. Victor Matheson

The presentation Dr. Victor Matheson, professor of economics at College of the Holy Cross, gave to a capacity crowd at the Blackstone Valley Visitor Center in Pawtucket last Wednesday on the economics of public money funding sports stadiums, and specifically on public money building a new stadium in downtown Providence for the Pawtucket Red Sox (PawSox), has many people wishing that they were able to see and here it.

My write-up could only skim the surface of Matheson’s compelling presentation, which was an in depth condemnation of the very idea of public money for stadiums or an economic boom commensurate with such and investment. As we wait for sports consultant Andrew Zimbalist to complete his report for Speaker Nicholas Mattiello and for Governor Gina Raimondo to resume negotiations with the PawSox owners in the aftermath of the surprising and sudden death of the stadium’s chief proponent, James Skeffington, I can present Dr. Matheson’s complete talk, with the original slides from his PowerPoint presentation.

Maybe not as good as being there, but it’s a close second.

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Patreon

Speaker’s consultant toured proposed PawSox site with Skeffington in April


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Andrew Zimbalist

James Skeffington treated Andrew Zimbalist to a private tour of the downtown Providence site he envisioned as the new home of the Pawtucket Red Sox on April 15, two weeks before the influential sports economist became a $225-an-hour consultant to House Speaker Nicholas Mattiello on the idea.

“I wasn’t in town for the tour,” Zimbalist told RI Future. “I was in town for a lecture at Brown that I was committed to for many months. Skeffington and I spent about 30 minutes together total. We shared no meals or drinks. I had never met him before. I requested a tour after multiple requests from RI media to comment on [the] stadium.”

When asked how the tour and the meeting with Skeffington affected his opinion of the proposed stadium, he said, “I didn’t change my tune.”

House spokesperson Larry Berman, told RI Future that the Speaker “was made aware that Mr. Zimbalist requested a brief tour of the proposed site when he was in Providence attending an event at Brown University.”

Mattiello and Zimbalist both said there was no involvement from PawSox owners in Zimbalist’s hiring. The Providence Journal reported that “Mattiello said he asked the House policy director, Lynne Urbani, to research experts in the field of baseball stadiums and Zimbalist came ‘highly recommended.'”

Berman said Urbani came to recommend Zimbalist after she “read several articles which [Zimbalist] authored and/or was quoted on as an industry expert on sports economics and stadium proposals.”

Zimbalist first entered the Pawsox story on March 27, when RI NPR’s Scott McKay quoted him in a commentary piece.

Andrew Zimbalist a Smith College professor, is one of the foremost baseball economists in the country. He says, in general, that taxpayer subsidies for a stand-alone stadium with little else nearby ‘tend not to pay off economically.’

“Yet, Zimbalist says that there are psychic values to having a baseball franchise. As those of us who love baseball can attest, teams create community and civic pride. A new stadium could be a venue for high-school state championships and clinics for the young.”

Zimbalist struck an equally cautious tone when he was quoted in the Boston Globe on April 15, on the same day he toured the proposed stadium site with Skeffington.

Andrew Zimbalist, a sports economist at Smith College, countered that the cultural significance of bringing the PawSox to Providence could justify some public spending.

“‘I think this is a tremendous opportunity for the city and the state,’ he said.”

After the tour with Skeffington, Zimbalist became more excited with the project, as this April 17 piece from RI NPR’s Elisabeth Harrison shows. Note that this piece does not mention Zimbalist’s tour with Skeffington, though it is obvious that he has visited the site.

“But from his office at Smith College, sports economist Andrew Zimbalist said this proposal is different. For one thing, it involves the actual game of baseball, not some virtual game. And the site on the banks of the Providence River can hardly be beat.

“‘This ballpark is spectacularly situated. It’s close to downtown, it’s on the river, coming along with a riverwalk, it probably will promote hotel development there, there’s going to be a miniature baseball field, lots and lots of parking. It’s just a wonderful synergy possibility,’ said Zimbalist.

“By synergy, Zimbalist means the potential to bring visitors and other economic activity to downtown Providence. He said the PawSox estimate of $2 million in annual tax revenue from the ballpark is conservative. He believes the real number could be considerably larger down the road. And he points out the team is not asking the state or the city to shoulder any bond debt or cover cost overruns from construction.

“‘The fact that the owners of the team are putting forward $85 million, I think puts this in fiscal terms on the more generous side of these deals.’

“Zimbalist said the PawSox proposal should be seen as a starting point for negotiations. And he and Matheson agree the stadium would be a draw for the Providence waterfront. But the question remains just how much public money is worth plunking down to achieve it.”

Though Zimbalist insists that he didn’t change his tune, the evidence from news sources indicates a shift in his enthusiasm for the project after the tour with Skeffington.

This is the second time that Zimbalist’s neutrality on the subject of the moving the PawSox to downtown Providence has come under scrutiny. Zimbalist’s close ties to Major League Baseball, as a consultant, were revealed shortly after his hiring was announced on May 4.

When Speaker Mattiello hired Zimbalist, said Berman, quoted by Amy Anthony of the Associated Press, he “was aware of Zimbalist’s consulting work” with Major League Baseball and his relationship with the owners of the Boston Red Sox. Red Sox Owner Larry Lucchino is one of the owners of the PawSox.

“Anyone with that type of expertise has to be engaged in the industry,” Berman told the ProJo.

Patreon

Sports economist Victor Matheson: No public subsidies for new ballpark


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Victor Matheson

Dr. Victor Matheson, professor of economics at College of the Holy Cross, spoke to a capacity crowd at the Blackstone Valley Visitor Center in Pawtucket on the economics of public money funding sports stadiums, and specifically on public money building a new stadium in downtown Providence for the Pawtucket Red Sox (PawSox).

Overall, Matheson was not very amenable to the idea.

Matheson is an engaging speaker, an economist who specializes in sports. He prepared his remarks and his PowerPoint presentation for the price of a PawSox game, a hotdog and a beer, a far cry from the money Speaker Nicholas Mattiello or Governor Gina Raimondo are spending for their experts.

“Let me just lay it on the table here,” said Matheson at the start, “I’m going to be a critic of public subsidies for stadiums.”

providence-stadium-rendering-april-2015Showing the ubiquitous artists rendering of the proposed downtown stadium, Matheson said that it “would be a fantastic stadium for the owners to spend their own money on.”

Studying stadiums and their impacts, said Matheson, generates the “weird impression that the newer the stadium, the higher the attendance or the older the stadium, the higher the attendance.” McCoy Stadium, where the PawSox currently play, is the one of the oldest stadiums in the country.

Built for $1.5 million, McCoy was the most expensive stadium ever, in 1942. It’s construction, said Matheson, was a “massive debacle.” In 1966, when owners talked of moving out of the region, $100,000 in upgrades were done to McCoy, mostly taxpayer supported. In 1999, taxpayers ponied up for most of the $14.9 in needed upgrades, once again because the  owners threatened to move.

Matheson is not a fan of “Economic Impact” studies. If there is one thing to take home from his talk, said Matheson, it’s that “any economic impact study published by the people who are trying to justify public subsidies, you should always take with a grain of salt. And many grains of salt.”

There is, “remarkable agreement among economists finding that spectator sports result in little or no measurable economic benefits on host cities,” said Matheson, pointing out that money spent on such ventures is then not spent on other things a city needs. (Such as infrastructure, school repair and Medicaid, I will point out.)

Matheson then went on to explain how modern stadiums, unlike Fenway Park in Boston or Wrigley Field in Chicago, are not centers of economic activity that benefit surrounding businesses. Instead, modern sports stadiums are self contained oases surrounded by parking. The restaurants and amenities are not located throughout the city but within the stadium itself, generating revenue for the stadium owners, not the city.

Matheson compared minor league baseball teams to average 16-screen movie mega-plexes. In general, they perform about the same economically, yet no one is suggesting that movie theaters be publicly subsidized in anything like the kind of deal that baseball stadiums traditionally receive. “Are movie theaters exempt from sales tax, property tax, market value leases, etc.?” asked Matheson, “We would say that’s crazy.”

The kind of low paying jobs a minor league baseball stadium would generate will end up costing the state around $80,000 per year, per job. Matheson compared this number to the good paying jobs lured into South Carolina with the new Volvo plant. Good middle class jobs there cost the state $3,500 per year, per job in subsidies.

Towards the end of his presentation Matheson explored the possibility of the PawSox moving out of state in the event that they do not get the deal and the land they want in Providence. Looking at population statistics and the current locations of Major League, AA and AAA baseball teams, Matheson doesn’t see many viable options.

Matheson talked about the threats made by the owners of the Patriots when they talked about moving to Hartford or Providence. After not getting the deal they wanted from these other cities, they decided to stay in the Boston area, and built Gillette Stadium, because it was the best location, just as the Providence region (which includes Pawtucket) is the best place for the PawSox.

I hope to have the slides from Matheson’s talk soon and will post a video of his talk with the slides as soon as possible.

Patreon

Progressives, conservatives unite to fight downtown ballpark


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SkeffingtonAn unlikely coalition of opponents to the proposed downtown Providence stadium deal greeted new PawSox owner Jim Skeffington as he exited his chauffeured ride and quickly entered the Rhode Island Commerce Corporation (RICC) offices at 315 Iron Horse Way.

Representatives and members of the RI Tea Party, The Republican Party, the Progressive Democrats of Rhode Island, The Green Party, Direct Action for Rights and Equality, Occupy Providence, The Rhode Island Sierra Club, RI Taxpayers, The Rhode Island Libertarian Party, and the Capital Good Fund stood side by side to take a stand against corporate welfare.

This event was put together by Coalition Radio’s Pat Ford and David Fisher, with help from Lauren Niedel of the Progressive Democrats. Ford acted as emcee for the event, in which 13 speakers and one poet spoke to a crowd of about 80 people. Inside the RICC offices, more than 100 more people attended the meeting where Skeffington and other PawSox owners revealed that they were amenable to negotiating a better deal.

Gina Raimondo essentially rejected the first deal offered, which would have, in the words of more than one speaker, “socialized the risk and privatized the profits” of the new venture.

Pat Ford spoke first, saying that “it is not the role of government to subsidize risk for private enterprise.”

Lauren Niedel of the Rhode Island Progressive Democrats put the deal into stark economic relief: As Rhode Island prepares to carve $90 million out of Medicaid, how can we justify giving away millions of dollars to millionaires?

Andrew Posner, executive director of the Capital Good Fund, said that “every day I look at families that are hungry, that are poor, that don’t have jobs… that’s what we should be spending our time and money talking about.”

The Tea Party’s Mike Puyana said that the deal is “something called crony corporatism, it’s as far from equality under the law as it’s possible to get.”

“I don’t think I ever imagined that i was going to be at a rally with the Tea Party on the same side,” said Fred Ordonez of DARE, “but here we are!”

On a more serious note, Ordonez said, “Every time we see a huge development get all kinds of tax breaks and tax subsidies, the poor communities in providence get poorer and poorer.”

Larry Girouard, of Rhode island Taxpayers, said that a new stadium downtown is the last thing we need to spur economic growth. “The issue is taxes, regulation, infrastructure. This is just a diversion from the real problems.

The Green Party, represented by Greg Gerritt, brought up some of the environmental concerns, such as the risks of moving the new sewer line. “When you do things like that, you can do it right, but often it introduces more leaks into a system.”

“The state of Rhode Island has no business taking money out of the hands of taxpayers and giving it to millionaires,” said Gina Catalano of the Rhode Island Republican Party, “to be expected to make that investment with zero return, is ludicrous.”

Representing the Sierra Club, Asher Schofield, owner of the small business Frog and Toad, hit the crowd with a baseball metaphor, and tried to inspire us all towards something better.

Providence is not a minor league city. We are what we dream ourselves to be. What we want to be. And we want to be major league. These are antiquated notions, the idea of public financing of private enterprise. This [deal] is not the grand notion that we need to have as a city moving forward… These minor league aspirations are beneath us.”

This deal, says Rhode Island Libertarian Party leader Mike Rollins, “is the exact opposite of everything we stand for.”

Occupy Providence’s Randall Rose made excellent points, and even read from a textbook about how bad it is for cities to invest money in minor league baseball teams. Rose read from the book Minor League Baseball and Local Economic Development, noting that, “there have been books on this, the scam is run so often.”

“The economic impact of a minor league team,” read Rose, “is not sufficient to justify the relatively large public expenditure for a minor league stadium.”

Steve Frias of the Republican Party, noted that the assembled crowd was comprised of people with “different viewpoints, but we all agree that this is a stupid deal.”

Roland Gauvin, an independent political activist, promised politicians who support such efforts that “a vote for this is the last time [politicians] will ever be voting, because we will vote them out of office.” Gauvin had especially choice words for Speaker of the House Nicholas Mattiello, saying, “And I will be willing to go to any district in Rhode island, starting in Mattiello’s district, and work my way down.”

Finally, before the crowd moved inside to join the RICC meeting already in progress, Cathy Orloff lead the crowd in a participatory poem against the stadium, with five baseball references built in.

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Patreon

Jim Skeffington and Jon Brien want a downtown ballpark


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skeffington10Is a new ballpark in downtown Providence corporate welfare or economic development? It doesn’t have to be either/or – but isn’t the real question: what is the best way to develop that land?

On NBC10 Wingmen, Jon Brien and I debate whether moving the Pawtucket Red Sox to Providence is the highest and best use of the I-195 land or is it another baseball boondoggle.

Below that, watch NBC 10 News Conference’s Bill Rappleye interview new owner PawSox Jim Skeffington.

News, Weather and Classifieds for Southern New England

Bill Rappleye interviews Jim Skeffington:News, Weather and Classifieds for Southern New England

News, Weather and Classifieds for Southern New England

NBC 10 Wingmen: The PawSox belong in Pawtucket


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wingmenI’m sad as hell Pawtucket might lose the PawSox. It’s where I witnessed my first pro baseball game and dozens more since then – highlight: Pedro on a rehab assignment or getting Steve Lyons autograph right from the dugout.

Nostalgia aside, it’s hard to resist the allure of watching the next generation play in downtown Providence. I could take the train up from Wickford, stop downtown for dinner and then watch the sunset on the water from the cheap seats while young adults play a kids game, vying for spots in my memories. It sounds idyllic, and very easy to confuse with economic development.

Rhode Island’s economic needs really have very little to do with where the Red Sox AAA affiliate will play their future home games. That privilege goes to Mr. James Skeffington and the new PawSox ownership group. At the end of the day, those very successful businessmen will be locating the team where they can make the most money – and that has much more to do with where I’d like to watch a baseball game than what’s best for the state’s economy.

News, Weather and Classifieds for Southern New England