Rare dramatic corruption distracts from real issues


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corruption3Gov. DiPrete dumpster-diving for his bribe, Mayor Cianci convicted for running a corrupt criminal enterprise, and a myriad of law enforcement agencies raiding Speaker Fox’s office. It’s easy for any of RI’s even casual political observers to rattle off a handful of dramatic events of convictions for or allegations of corruption. Among the exhortations to abolish the option to cast a vote for a single party (the “master lever”) was a suggestion that corrupt practices damage economic growth and that such practices would limit business growth in the state.

Color me skeptical. The problems of corruption tend to come when it overwhelms the reliability of basic government function. When it takes a greased palm to move services to act, this is a problem of corruption. When government is slow to act due to backlog or how it functions isn’t clear aren’t problems due corruption, but with bureaucracy and the unutterable phrase of a “too small budget.”

When marquee political names go down under a cloud of corruption, it sticks in the mind. So despite the inconclusiveness of various measures of political corruption in determining where Rhode Island ranks among states, we maintain a deep distrust of our government. And yet I’d gamble that only a small handful of Rhode Islanders have ever had to hand an official a bribe, and that if they have, there’s a high likelihood that official was charged with corruption at some point after.

I think that oftentimes we use “corruption” as a shorthand for all our frustrations with government and the political process. It is a word that encompasses our frustrations so well. It also makes it easier to prevent compromise. Facing an entrenched interest and a set of people who truly believe they are doing their best? Corruption. One cannot negotiate with corrupt forces; they must be utterly destroyed.

Thus when I see the usual suspects crowing over abolishing the master lever receiving a unanimously affirmative vote in the House as though it heralds the dawn of a new era I can do little but shake my head. Does anyone seriously think that removing a simple though confusing voting mechanism will really alter the balance of power in Rhode Island? Why is this energy not focused on better achievements, such as reducing the influence of money in our elections, fostering greater democratic participation, or even simply increasing the ability of constituents to access their representatives?

It’s far easier to focus on sideshows that don’t require much reflection about the government we truly want or require consensus-building. One thing the recent Gallup poll on trust in state governments noticed is that less-populous states are more trusting than more-populous states. I think that’s too simplistic; I think it is that more urbanized states are less trusting than less urbanized states. Rhode Island isn’t like other low-population states. As a highly-dense state population-wise, it’s virtually impossible for seriously corrupt practices to take place without the state’s media hearing of it. Contrast this with states where multiple small towns might be covered by a single reporter or news source and separated by vast geographical distances.

This also applies to the “you gotta know a guy” theory. That theory is brought up especially by people who do not, in fact, know a guy. Due to Rhode Island’s urbanized nature, the vast majority of people served by the state’s bureaucrats don’t know them. It’s a reasonably basic sociological principle that faceless bureaucracy breeds alienation; and undoubtedly Rhode Islanders feel alienated. Contrast that with a small town, where the local bureaucrat might be your childhood friend and knows everyone on sight. It’s much harder to feel alienated from them; it’s also far easier to forgive their transgressions.

But reducing alienation is not half as sexy an issue as “fighting corruption.” For one, it requires thoughtful investment in government and its employees; not a high priority for our fair-weather government reformers. And it offers none of the drama. No one is ever dragged out in handcuffs for alienating the citizenry. Target 12 and the I-Team don’t focus on callous government employees and process. “Bureaucratic processes confuse, frustrate citizenry” isn’t a Pulitzer-winning story.

To me, the hoopla over the master lever signals the lack of seriousness among so-called “leaders” for addressing problems within Rhode Island’s government. It’s a shallow issue for shallow people; up there with tossing loads of cash at 38 Studios (or any other corporation looking for a handout) or cutting taxes of the already-wealthy.

What the master lever and voter ID have in common


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Paper ballot with straight party option selected.
Paper ballot with straight party option selected.

All across America, Democrats – and quite frankly courts, too – are waking up to the oppressive reality voter ID laws represent for too many minorities, the poor  and the elderly. Judges in Arkansas, Wisconsin and other states have almost systematically ruled against voter ID provisions and well-respected Washington Post political scribe Chris Cilliza recently blessed the issue with this post.

The president of the United States even weighed in last month. “I am against requiring an ID that millions of Americans don’t have,” he said. “That shouldn’t suddenly prevent you from exercising your right to vote.”

Not Rhode Island, though. We the only blue state (along with Hawaii) with such a law, and we seem more content with it than some pretty red states. The Senate had its hearing (you can watch all sorts of good government groups and equal rights activists testify against it here) but the voter ID law seems pretty safe here in spite of the widespread liberal and legal opposition.

That’s not to say there isn’t the political will for state legislators to address election law this session.

The anti-master lever bill passed the House last night 70 to 0. This puts amazing pressure on the Senate to do likewise – note the activist role the Providence Journal is taking by urging readers to call legislators.

The master lever, or straight party voting, doesn’t serve democracy well and should go. Ken Block in particular deserves great praise for leading the charge against it. I’d say it’s solid evidence he can effectively use a bully pulpit to affect political change, and that’s what he says he wants to do as governor.

To that end, I kinda find myself wishing voter ID laws hurt Ken Block supporters, too. Then he may have taken me up on my offer to tackle both voting rights issues. Because just as we should ensure the ballot is as straightforward as possible, we should also ensure that everyone has access to a ballot.

Rhode Island wasn’t mentioned in the Washington Post’s list of 13 states “to watch” on voting rights despite the big push here to end straight party voting. Maybe we could gain some positive national attention on a good government issue if we did away with both the master lever AND voter ID this year?

PS – I suggested this last year too.

Voter ID, master lever reforms both failed this session


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Paper ballot with straight party option selected.
Paper ballot with straight party option selected.

There were two high-profile election reform issues that failed to pass during the legislative session that just was: one would have stopped full implementation of Rhode Island’s controversial voter ID law and the other was the elimination of the master lever.

It’s too bad because the progressive/conservative coalition that came together to bind up the budget process this year probably could have worked together all session to champion a suite of election reforms.

I suggested this idea to Ken Block way back on January 13. “Maybe we should take a big picture look at election law, and include #voterid in the conversation,” I tweeted to him after he first asked me to endorse his “abolish the lever” efforts.

At the time, Block didn’t want to bundle the two issues, tweeting back to me: “Master Lever already stands alone in bills submitted in both chambers. Don’t add confusion to a simple effort. #abolish_the_lever

According to his op/ed piece in Sunday’s Providence Journal, he now knows that how a bill before the Rhode Island General assembly reads in January has no necessary relationship to what gets voted on in June. Or maybe he knew that then too, and just didn’t want to support voter ID reform for whatever reason…

In either case, few progressives, for whatever reason, helped Block in his crusade against the master lever either, even though there aren’t a lot of us (if any) who support straight party voting. In that same Twitter exchange Bob Walsh of the NEA said he supported doing away with it:, “Eliminate the lever! Makes down ballot D’s into real D’s, need progressive/labor support to win in November. ”

An important lesson I re-learned this legislative session is progressives and conservatives often have overlapping interests on the issues – Occupy Providence and the Stephen Hopkins Center proved this late in the session when they worked together to host a debate on repayment of the 38 Studios bond holders.

Maybe the takeaway here is that John Marion of Common Cause RI, which supports repeal of both the master lever and voter ID, has a vested interest in getting progressives and members of the Moderate Party to work together?

On the master lever, I am a hypocrite


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ML pic pulledOn Monday morning, I argued that abolition of the single party option (SPO, better known as the so-called “master lever”) should fail, even though it’s good policy to abolish it. In it, I argue the opposite for what I’d argued about five months before: that regardless of the benefit abolition would accrue for proponents, it should be eliminated as a matter of good policy, and even as a matter of good politics for the establishment.

As Ken Block, the lead advocate for the abolition points out, that makes me a hypocrite. Block also points that I’m essentially advocating to keep voter confusion for the elderly, less educated and black until such a time as a larger reform can be passed so a better system can be created. Basically, even though we know the car of elections has a whole host of issues, I’m suggesting we don’t fix this one part now.

I can’t deny that this makes me hypocritical. The earlier post is right and the second post is wrong. But that doesn’t comfort me much.

Because now we’re in a discussion about tactics for long-term change. Winning a battle isn’t winning the war, and if your war is for greater representation in our democracy, then the master lever is a not particularly important battle and it absorbed far too many resources and far too much time. It’s a sideshow campaign; we know that early voting increases turnout. We know that first-past-the-post voting systems (where a candidate only needs a plurality to win) favor two-party systems with one or two exceptions in the world. And we know that Rhode Island’s electoral system is rigged (both presently and historically) to favor two parties, and usually the incumbent one at that. We also know that eliminating the master lever reduces the number of erroneously filled-out ballots. It’s not a sea-change issue.

It’s also an issue that, unfortunately, encompasses Ken Block.

And due to his advocacy it’s something that really can’t be divorced from him, and by extension, his political party. That’s probably why it’s pretty much dead at this point. Passing it would be a political win for the Moderate Party and they don’t even have an elected politician. The problem with Block is that he can’t recognize that his position as Moderate Party chair makes him a partisan (it’s literally is derived from a word for “defender of the party”). It means that everything he touches becomes tinged by politics. He says he’s a partisan “for non-ideologically based politics and governance” in which case he’s a partisan for unicorns. Politics without ideology is politics without politics. There is no such thing as a non-ideologically driven political actor and for Block to profess to be such an actor makes him either a liar or a fool.

Let’s get back to tactics, because talking about Block reminds me of a good comment Jason Becker made on Monday’s post; that it’s bad to throw out good policy because of the messenger. Block isn’t really the issue, he’s the quintessential do-gooder who does no good. I’m not worried about what happens when the master lever issue ends. Will that be it? We’ll hold a celebration, everyone will slap each other on the backs for a job well-done and they’ll all go home. Elections solved! Democracy free and fair!

A few people will make fewer mistakes. But the resources devoted to abolishing the master lever won’t return to advocate for the next issues in improving our elections. Higher turnout increases Democratic votes; so don’t expect the Moderates and Republicans to join in on anything that would do that. Campaign finance reform will help people who aren’t beholden to corporations or high-money players, so don’t expect businessmen concerned about “economic competitiveness” to start howling for that. This isn’t a bill in most of the advocates minds about helping the less educated, or elderly, or black. It’s a bill about breaking an institutional advantage for Democrats.

How do we know that? Because let’s look at the events that preceded John Marion’s piece in RI Future. The SPO abolition camp had never pointed to the seven-year-old study Marion cited until the Monday of the Boston Marathon. I applauded Marion for that piece at the time, because it rescued the SPO issue from Block’s poor shepherding of it.

When faced with the setback of the bill being held for further study, Block attacked Speaker Fox and Sen. Harold Metts as needing the SPO to win their races. And it stunk of politics. It reeked of political anger. Block had passed around erroneous ballots, but it wasn’t clear what that meant, whether they’d been scratched on purpose or whether they were the result of legitimate confusion. The problem with anonymous voting systems is you can’t ask people what they meant to do.

Marion saved the anti-SPO campaign from itself, in my view. I would never dream of speaking for him, because Common Cause is in it for the long haul and wants good government whether you’re Dem, GOP, Mod, Green, or Indy. Which is typical of an advocacy organization. When Marion writes, it’s from a place of deep expertise and understanding.

When I write, it’s from a place of passion, and often speculation. I warn readers about that pretty consistently. Push back, question me, etc. I enjoy the fight. I also enjoy watching the Moderate Party, because I enjoy watching fringe political movements. The Moderate Party is a fringe movement. It’s a fringe that claims to be in the center. But frankly, so what? Every fringe claims to be mainstream. There’s only one person in the Moderate Party who matters; Ken Block. Why does he want to abolish the SPO? He’s been quite forthcoming about it; potential Moderate Party candidates won’t run if the master lever bogeyman is out there. How was this issue not politicized and ideological?

Block’s mismanaged the master lever campaign. He made himself the face of it. And did he offer up a win to politicians? No. He didn’t bother. He didn’t bother doing the political part of politics. Contrast this with the marriage equality movement. Not only did the marriage equality forces offer up a real threat in the form of primary and general election challenges to anti-equality politicians, but they also offered support and publicity for pro-equality politicians. Marriage equality played a long-term game, they fought, and when they faced a setback they came back with a vengeance. And it worked.

Can Block offer this same combination of stick and carrot? No. He can’t even get more than a few people to stand up for their political beliefs (their ideology) and actually run. And he can’t offer politicians support, because none of them are Moderates; nor does Rhode Island have a system of electoral fusion to allow candidates to run under multiple party banners (another reform that could help). Instead, he’s focused on a paternalistic shame campaign targeting the House Speaker and Senate President. And the genuine mainstream responds to the fringe the way it generally does, with a shrug.

Some days I agree with Ken Block. I want SPO gone so more third parties can succeed. I want the Moderate Party developed so we can actually see it in action. And then I see what he does with any kind of press, and I hope he never has success because the Moderate Party under his leadership will try to save our social safety system by destroying it. That the Moderate Party in Rhode Island are just re-branded Rockefeller Republicans.

F. Scott Fitzgerald once wrote that “the test of a first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposing ideas in mind at the same time and still retain the ability to function.” I would never profess to have a first-rate intelligence, but I can hold two opposing ideas in my mind. And I’m still functioning. Hypocrisy.

What’s really wrong with the master lever


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Bob Plain has spent a lot of time in a back and forth with Ken Block about the issue of eliminating the straight-party option (a.k.a. master lever), even bringing in Speaker Gordon Fox to defend its place on the ballot. I’d like to move the debate away from questions of political motivation and toward some facts. My argument is simple; the straight-party option discriminates against the elderly, African-Americans, those with less-education, and those with less experience using technology.

Voting is the interaction of four factors; the voter, the ballot, the machine used to tabulate the results, and the institutions governing the election. Typically studies about how voters behave have to rely on aggregate level data because of the secret ballot. As I will show later we now have micro-level information about voter behavior that will demonstrate problems with the straight-party option, particularly for some groups of voters.

In Rhode Island state law dictates that a paper ballot be used and the names of candidates be arranged by office [referred to in the literature as an office bloc ballot compared to the older party-column design].  Paper ballots are the only way to produce a truly verifiable trail for recounts (though Carlos Tobon can attest other changes in state law are needed to ensure that) and RI shouldn’t consider moving away from their use. There is no better system for verifying the results than the use of paper.

State law also requires use of an optical scanner to tabulate the results. While there are advantages to touch screen voting, particularly for accessibility, optical scanners with the requisite paper ballots are much better than black box touch screen systems. Optical scanners are by no means infallible, just read this scary report from the Brennan Center to see why we need to start auditing the results of our scanners.

The final pieces of the puzzle are our institutional structures. Typically in a Rhode Island election you have a number of different offices (federal, state, local) and ballot questions (state and local) that are a result of the many institutions that govern us. This too plays into why the straight party option is harmful.

Straight-party voting becomes a problem because of the interaction of those four factors.  Optical scanners, for all their positive properties, cannot tell the voter that they have made an inadvertent error on the ballot.  One of the few redeeming qualities of the old mechanical voting machines (sometimes referred to as the lever machines) was that when you pulled the actual “master lever” the only way you could bullet vote was to physically undo your vote for an office and then bullet vote (see pictures) and if you undervoted for it was literally staring you in the face.

Machine with straight-party option not selected.
Machine with straight-party option selected.
Machine with straight party overridden.

Compare the old machine to the current paper ballot (see pictures below).  With the new ballots and scanners if you chose the straight party option nothing on the ballot will tell you what choices you made (or did not make) further down the ballot.  And if you make a change, the ballot does not indicate what impact that might have on other parts of the ballot.

Paper ballot with straight party option not selected.
Paper ballot with straight party option selected.
Paper ballot with straight party option overridden.

Of course because of the secret ballot we cannot know what the voter was really thinking when they used the straight party option and whether what we perceive to be undervotes and errors are intentional.

Fortunately, social science comes to the rescue.  Several political scientists conducted an extensive experiment funded by the National Science Foundation (funding attacked recently in an amendment born out of the ignorance of Senator Tom Coburn) using the same type of ballot and brand of scanner (albeit a newer model) that we have here in Rhode Island.[1]  Because their work was experimental, they could interview voters and examine their ballots to determine if the voters’ expressed preference were captured in the tabulation and thus avoid the ecological inference problem.  And because they were using an experimental design they used a diverse set of participants and could test for how the interaction of ballot [similar in design to Rhode Island], machine [same brand, newer model than Rhode Island], institutions, and humans worked.

The best way to present the results is to quote directly from the authors:

 Our research demonstrates that ballot design matters. It influences the number of errors of commission—that is selecting an unintended candidate—and omission—so-called undervoting.  Voters who use standard office bloc ballots make fewer candidate-selection errors than those who use ballots with a straight-party option. These are the most serious type of error because not only do they deprive a candidate of a vote, they also give it to one of the candidate’s opponents. Wrong candidate errors also occur with substantial frequency—as the 2000 presidential election showed. Ballot style does not have a uniform effect on all voters. Older, less educated, and Black voters, are more likely to commit wrong candidate errors when using a ballot with a straight-party feature than a standard office bloc ballot. The same is true of voters who are using a specific voting system for the first time.[2]

Put into plain English, the researchers found that when using paper ballots with optical scanners and an office block ballot design, older, less-educated, African-Americans and those with less exposure to the optical scan voting machine all had more problems casting the correct vote when the straight-party option was available.  It’s not that they undervoted (failed to cast a vote down ballot), but they actually voted for a candidate other than the one they intended to vote for.  There were instances where the presence of the straight-party option led to undervotes, but that problem was minimized by the optical scan system, and dwarfed by the problem of actual errors being committed by the voters.

In Speaker Fox’s interview with Bob Plain he says, “you have to presume that they [voters] know what they are doing and that they are using the master lever.”  We believe that the analysis we highlight here shows that, unfortunately, many voters do not.  The mix of voters, ballot design, machine type and institutions we currently have just doesn’t work.

Hopefully providing this analysis allows us to move past the arguments about political motivation for removing the straight-party option.  Quite simply, its presence does a disservice to a significant number of voters by preventing them from having their true preferences recorded as a cast vote.  The bill to remove the straight party option has been “held for further study” once again this year.  We have provided all the “study” that is needed to prove that it’s time for it to go.


[1] Paul S. Herrnson, Michael J. Hanmer, Richard G. Niemi, The Impact of Ballot Type and Voting Systems on Voting Errors, April 2008, accessed at http://www.bsos.umd.edu/gvpt/apworkshop/herrnson-hanmer08.pdf.

[2] Ibid, pp. 20-21.

Master lever politics: Fox responds to Block


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Ken Block

Here’s my unedited interview with House Speaker Gordon Fox, who expressed no small amount of frustration with Ken Block for the way in which he has handled his campaign to make straight party voting more difficult in Rhode Island. Important update: I’m told this is the first time Fox has publicly taken a position on straight ticket voting.

Ken Block surmises that more than 68 percent of the East Side residents who employed straight ticket voting for a Democrat didn’t intend to vote for Gordon Fox, the incumbent Democrat who by the way has one of the most influential seats in state government. Rather than writing that Block is making a circus out of the political process I will note that it is my opinion that he is making an erroneous assumption.

It reads to me like the more-respected/more-articulate political opinion blogger Scott MacKay agrees.

My opinion is that Ken Block is playing incredibly fast and loose with statistics because he knows the media doesn’t have a lot of effective tools for calling out that kind dishonesty. I thought it was a pretty intelligent political calculation until he put this one out there into the marketplace of ideas.

Why Ken Block Wants To Kill The Master Lever


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Ken Block

Ken BlockKen Block seems to be on a mission to distract Rhode Island from issues that actually matter to our economy. This week it’s the master lever again. Last week it was temporary disability insurance. The week before that it was food stamp fraud.

What these issues all have in common, besides being among Block’s favorite things to talk about, is they will each have less effect on Rhode Island’s economy than debating calamari or passing marriage equality.

It’s enough to suspect that Block’s off-year political strategy is to grandstand on issues that don’t really matter all that much, just so he can question the integrity of anyone who doesn’t agree with him.

Consider what he wrote on Facebook about Sen. Stephen Archambault’s decision not to join his anti-master lever mob:

Pathetic. Smithfield Senator Stephen R. Archambault tells Ian Donnis that he is not in favor of eliminating the Master Lever – calling the effort to ban the Lever a ‘minority push to level the playing field’. This means he doesn’t want to get rid of the Lever because it disadvantages certain candidates! When will our legislators start legislating for the common good, instead of their own self-interest?

There’s great irony in this. Does this mean those who favor getting rid of the master lever do so because that advantages certain candidates? After all, if it’s in the majority party’s interest to keep the master lever doesn’t that mean it’s in the minority party’s interest to do away with it?

It’s fair to wonder whether Senator Archambault or anyone else is putting their own self interest before the common good. But I think the better question is whether Ken Block is trying to legislate it away for is own self-interest rather than the common good.

From my vantage point, doing away with the master lever seems like a fine idea. I just don’t think it will have any real effect on elections. (If I did, it would be a no-brainer for me as it would probably benefit the kind of anti-establishment candidates I tend to like best!) But my guess is most people who pull the lever will simply vote straight party the long way – with some instead voting for candidates with surnames similar to their own.

Some may also vote for a so-called “Moderate” Party candidate thinking that the name implies the candidate is indeed moderate. My informal polling tells me most people who understand electoral politics AND aren’t trying to hamstring Democrats agree.

Lose the Lever


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Rhode Island is one of only 15 states left that still offers the option of party-line voting, and the only state in the Northeast. It appears as if 2013 will see a renewed and strengthened effort to remove this vestigial electoral organ. Ken Block is leading a petition drive to push the issue. [You can sign the petition here: http://www.masterlever.org/]

Block is not alone in this fight. Already 24 of the state’s 39 municipalities have passed resolutions calling on the State House to get rid of the master lever. Additionally, good government groups from across the political spectrum are in favor of requiring each voter to vote for every office on the ballot separately.

I can’t say with confidence that taking away the lazy option of voting for a straight party ticket with the single stroke of marker will lead to voters becoming more educated about each race, but I do know that it can’t hurt. Because our ballots are simple to understand and our vote tallying machines are quick and clean, I also can’t see any benefit to keeping the option.

Thus by abolishing the master lever anachronism, we risk nothing and stand to gain at least a somewhat better informed electoral process. What are we waiting for?

Sign today.

Quiet Conservatives by Banning Master Lever


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Gromit from Wallace & Gromit pulls a lever (via animatedheroes.com)

Moderate Party chairman and possible gubernatorial candidate Ken Block is out with a new website, masterlever.org, which petitions the Governor and the General Assembly to eliminate the ability to vote solely based on party line (a.k.a., the “master lever”).

As a case study for why it should be banned, Mr. Block offers up the 9000+ Rhode Island voters who used the option to vote for the Moderates, despite only three candidates running under the Moderate banner (two Moderates ran in nonpartisan races).

I personally think this is a good idea, the option is archaic, and obviously damaging in nonpartisan contests (of course, I also oppose nonpartisan contests, but that’s beside the point). Yet there’s a cynic in me that has to guess what may come. I worry political leaders in the General Assembly might attempt to squash this merely to prevent the Moderate Party any sort of win. I think this is short-sighted. Let me offer the cynic’s perspective on why the lever should be banned.

Republicans have long advocated the elimination of the master lever, and in this case it’s no surprise to see virtually every local politician from the Grand Ol’ Party backing Mr. Block’s crusade. In fact, non-Democrats often point to the master lever as a reason why they can’t compete in this state.

So, it will be refreshing when the convenient cover of the master lever is eliminated. Perhaps non-Democrats will have to face the unpopularity of their policies for a change. More likely, they’ll rely more heavily on the “stupid Rhode Islanders” line that their candidates and supporters have been throwing around lately. I’m sure that will do wonders for their popularity.

General Assembly leaders should speedily remove the master lever, or at least mandate its placement at the very end of the ballot. Mr. Block rightly points out that his party gained 9000+ votes with the lever alone; votes which the Moderates might not necessarily have received had people had to vote race by race. It’s likely the top-ballot placement gave the Moderate Party the most exposure it got during the last cycle.

With the elimination of the master lever, perhaps non-Democrats will start focusing on issues that affect Rhode Islanders more than once every other year or so. They might consider following in the footsteps of former Sen. Bethany Moura and former Rep. Daniel Gordon; who both spent a great deal of their time fighting foreclosure in our state, much of it fraudulent in nature. I believe conservatives are supposed to care about protecting citizens’ property.

Don’t Rule Moderates Out


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Moderate Party RI's Logo
Moderate Party RI's Logo
Logo of the Moderate Party

In a year where there were only four candidates across the state marked as belonging to the Moderate Party on the ballot (most people never saw them and the fifth and sole successful Moderate Party candidate ran in a nonpartisan race), 9249 voters used the so-called “master lever” to vote for the Moderate Party.

With only 971 Moderates registered in the state as of October 1, 2012, the master lever gave the Moderates a 952.52% amplification of what its registration should’ve provided. Moderate chair Ken Block referred to this as “horrific” on Twitter, and proceeded to lay out the case for abolishing the master lever, claiming that 20 potential Moderate candidates didn’t run because of the lever.

While the master lever is a major hurdle to organizing a third party (and its abolition would be good), it was particularly short-sighted of those candidates to refuse to run. For one thing, the more candidates running under a party’s name increases name recognition for the party, translating into more votes. Furthermore, in communities where there were no Moderates, many of those votes were wasted.

Fear of the master lever is no excuse for failing to contest elections, nor is the master lever the sole problem that the Moderate Party has (the same should be said of the Republicans). Abolition of the lever is no guarantee that the Moderates will suddenly see their vote numbers increase (they might actually see the opposite). The best exposure the party got all year was that their name and symbol were at the top of the ballot across the state. Voters are still capable of reading party affiliation, and rejecting the parties whose platforms or candidates they reject.

The Moderate platform, while containing admirable ethics and environmental sections, is essentially the same corporate economic and education systems espoused by Republicans and laissez-faire Democrats: don’t increase taxes, give cash away to unproven businesses and charter schools, rely on unreliable data to measure school progress. This platform is simply not that popular among voters in the core urban areas (the data bears that out, Mr. Block did better in the exurbs during his 2010 run for Governor). I’ve mentioned these criticisms before.

But make no mistake, the Moderates are growing. There were 971 of them on October 1st of this year. Three years ago in 2009 there were only 52 on October 1st. Yesterday, WPRO’s Dee DeQuattro placed their registration at 1068. That’s a pretty substantial increase, about 10% growth in about a month and a half.

Ken Block
Kenneth Block, Moderate Party Chair (via Rotary Club of Providence’s facebook)

The Moderates face a major test in 2014. It sounds as if Mr. Block is not committing himself to running for governor, saying that he has confidence in whatever candidate his party fields to clear the 5% bar to keep the party on the ballot. That’s a good thing. It would be disastrous for the Moderates to be tied too strongly to Mr. Block, merely because if his energy flags or fails, so does the party’s. Though if they can’t find a candidate, I assume the Moderates will put Mr. Block up again rather than let themselves fail.

Hopefully, a new candidate can gain over 5% support, though once again they’ll have to build name recognition. If that candidate doesn’t make 5%, the media is waiting with the narrative: the Moderates were merely moderate Republicans and in 2014 they decided that they didn’t want to spoil a real Republican’s chances. While that narrative may or may not be true, it’s out there, waiting for the Moderates to prove it wrong.

The Moderate Party has a long way to go. Focusing on appealing to voters across Rhode Island and getting candidates is its major work right now (as I’m sure Mr. Block is far more aware of then I am). Then it has to prevent brain drain from its organization (a couple of its alums joined Governor Lincoln Chafee’s administration). But the Moderates have one advantage the Republicans don’t when contesting elections. No one would mistake a Moderate for a Republican.

As an extra, if you avoided the link to WPRO (don’t get stuck in an echo chamber!), Mr. Block had a killer takedown of the RI GOP in the comments:

Dee DeQuattro gets this one all wrong. 6.5% of the vote in a competitive 4-way race starting from zero is a monumental achievement – I am certain the 5% threshold was written into law because few thought it could be done by a brand new party.

Her biggest swing and miss is that RI does in fact need a new political party – because the state GOP has utterly failed for the 2 decades I have lived here to bring political balance to our state. Whether it was the striking out Strike Force or the empty Clean Slate, to a large extent the state GOP has been tone deaf, missing what RI voters really care about.

The State GOP did not get wiped off of the political map in 2012 because of the existence of the Moderate Party. There were no legislative races where a GOP and Mod showed up on the same ballot. The State GOP is flailing all of its own accord – with a substantial boost from the national GOP messaging which works in TX but not so well in RI.

I am always amused by the hand wringing done by stalwarts in the GOP who fret that silly Rhode Islanders keep voting for the same Dem jokers so they deserve what they get. The more appropriate observation should be why does the GOP think that running the same folks with the same failing message will result in a different electoral outcome.

It will not.