Progressive Dems urge Raimondo to issue executive order on driver’s licenses


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RIPDA logoDuring the 2014 gubernatorial race, Gina Raimondo made a campaign promise to the Immigrants in Action Committee that she would sign an executive order within her first year, issuing licenses to undocumented immigrants within Rhode Island. Raimondo further made her support clear in an ACLU questionnaire, that asked: “Do you support providing driver’s licenses to undocumented immigrants?”, to which Raimondo responded: “YES. I was the first candidate in the gubernatorial race to explicitly call for driver’s licenses for undocumented immigrants. This is an issue of fairness and public safety.” However, January 6 has gone by, marking the end of Raimondo’s first year as Governor, and instead of issuing an executive order, Raimondo has responded with inaction.

Speaker Mattiello encouraged the Governor to bring up the issue “legislatively,” so that public comment could be heard, and that legislators could then form a position on the issue. However, it is very unlikely that the General Assembly will act on this issue. In 2014, for instance, H 7262 was referred to the House Judiciary, and the hearing on it was postponed at the request of the bill sponsor. In the Senate, a similar fate befell its version of the bill: S 2241 was sent to the Judiciary Committee, and was simply not heard. In 2013, S 422 was referred to the Judiciary Committee, and sent to “further study” – effectively killing the bill. Thus, judging by these prior attempts, Raimondo’s choice to pursue the legislative route to address this “issue of fairness and public safety” is unlikely to result in meaningful legislative action, especially when the Judiciary Committees and Speaker Nicholas Mattiello remain determined to obstruct any opportunity of passing legislation to correct this long­standing wrong in the State of Rhode Island.

The Rhode Island Progressive Democrats continues to urge Governor Raimondo to issue an executive order, as she promised Rhode Island’s voters and the immigrant community during her campaign.

[From an RIPDA press release]

Mayor Elorza offering tax breaks Candidate Elorza opposed


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Elorza 002As a candidate, Jorge Elorza promised that tax deals would not be given out unless Providence could profit from the deal in some way. Mayor Elorza, however, seems intent on perpetuating the kinds of bad practices that lead inevitably to higher tax rates for home owners.

When the RI Progressive Democrats of America (RIPDA) were in the process of interviewing candidates for Mayor of Providence in search of the group’s endorsement, they took the liberty of recording the interviews. One of the questions that the group posed to then candidate Elorza was about Tax Stabilization Agreements (TSAs) which are essentially massive tax breaks given by the city to what it considers to be worthy investments. The idea behind TSAs is that a company might want to build in Providence, and in order to lure the company here, a tax break is given. This might spur building and development, and if used properly, is arguably a good idea.

However, in practice, these tax breaks are not doled out in ways that might spur growth or development, but are given out to developers who have back room connections to City Hall. It’s cronyism at its worst, and it costs Providence home owners directly, as their taxes are raised to cover the breaks given to insiders.

According to the Progressive Democrats, “The deals pending before the city right now are even more egregious than usual. That’s because the development has already happened. There’s no question of encouraging development–the developers want their special tax deals to continue. This is just giving the city’s limited tax dollars to big developers.  Pure and simple.”

Sam Bell, executive director of the RIPDA, said, “One of the things that really inspired us about Elorza when he was running was his commitment to crack down on the abusive culture of corporate welfare.  It’s very sad to see him change his tune now that he’s won.”

You can watch Elorza answer the question about TSAs below.

See more here: Details on Elorza’s tax breaks for existing properties

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Time running out for Raimondo to keep undocumented resident driver’s license promise


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2015-12-19 Driver's Licenses 028Community groups lead a march through Olneyville to remind Governor Gina Raimondo of her election year promise to sign an executive order giving undocumented residents of RI access to driver’s licenses. The groups carried the written promise with them as they marched, signed by the then candidate for governor when she met with them. The pledge originally said that as Governor she would issue the executive order within thirty days of being elected, but Raimondo crossed out thirty days and wrote in “one year.”

Community member Victoria Ruiz, who worked on the Community Safety Act, put the issue in terms of the criminalization of people of color. Not having a license, says Ruiz, is a path to criminalization, and is seen as “somehow not as bad or severe as other paths… but it’s all coming from the same system policing that wants to see all people of color criminalized…” Driver’s Licenses are a form of documentation, and a part of a “longer and bigger struggle for racial justice.”

The march was organized by the Comite en Accion, part of English for Action and a member of the We Are All Arizona coalition.About a dozen other states, including neighboring Connecticut, have a way for undocumented residents to obtained legal driver’s licenses.

The march started at the Price Rite on Valley St and continued through Olneyville Square.

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Despite promises, sports stadiums are not ‘revenue neutral’


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providence-stadium-rendering-april-2015I have previously written about PawSox owner Larry Lucchino’s public/private partnerships’ in building PetCo Park for the San Diego Padres and Camden Yards for the Baltimore Orioles. These are the two major projects that Lucchino’s spokesman Dr. Charles Steinberg boasts about on the so-called ‘Listening Tour’ the team has been holding across the state. I will now conclude this series with a brief discussion of several different stadiums, their funding schemes, and the resulting impacts on the surrounding communities.

Let’s begin with Fenway Park. According to the City of Boston Tax Assessor’s online portal, team owner John W. Henry owns four parcels of land that are affiliated with the Red Sox organization, properties he pays very substantial taxes to the city on, as seen below.

  • Fenway Park, Parcel ID 0504203000, FY2015 Total Assessed Value of $81,413,223.00, FY2016 Preliminary (Estimated) Total Tax Due $1,201,659.17 based on First Half of FY16 (Q1 + Q2), or predicted total FY16 Taxes of $2,403,318.34
  • 2 Yawkey Way, Parcel ID 0504199000, FY2015 Total Assessed Value of $5,526,206.00, FY2016 Preliminary (Estimated) Total Tax Due $81,566.80 based on First Half of FY16 (Q1 + Q2), or predicted total FY16 Taxes of $163,133.60
  • 12 Lansdowne Street, Parcel ID 0504200010, FY2015 Total Assessed Value of $16,557,920.00, FY2016 Preliminary (Estimated) Total Tax Due $244,394.90 based on First Half of FY16 (Q1 + Q2), or predicted total FY16 Taxes of $488,789.80
  • Brookline Avenue, Parcel ID 2100066000, FY2015 Total Assessed Value of $5,992,000.00, FY2016 Preliminary (Estimated) Total Tax Due $88,441.92 based on First Half of FY16 (Q1 + Q2), or predicted total FY16 Taxes of $176,883.84
    • Subtotal FY16 Predicted Taxes Due: $3,232,125.58

At the time of the original PawSox stadium proposal, the ownership claimed that their bid for a tax-free property was a reasonable and standard arrangement. This and other matters detailed below will demonstrate just how blatantly untrue that claim was and remains.

Consider the funding of the New England Patriots. When Gillette Stadium opened in 2002, it was a project that team owner Robert Kraft had asked for no public aid in commissioning or constructing. For an article surveying the costs of various venues in the Massachusetts, Bruce Mohl and Jack Sullivan wrote for CommonWealth Magazine:

Gillette Stadium in Foxborough also pays about $2 million, but not in the form of property taxes. Randy Scollins, Fox­borough’s finance director, says the town owns the land underneath the stadium under an arrangement set up in the early 1970s to help lure the NFL team to the area… Under the arrangement, the Patriots make in-lieu-of-tax payments to the town funded by ticket fees paid by fans. Foxborough receives $1.42 for every ticket sold to soccer and football games and $2.46 for every ticket sold to concerts and other special events.
Scollins says the ticket fees are likely less than what the town would receive if the stadium paid property taxes, but he says it’s an arrangement that has worked well, particularly since the Kraft family has opened Patriot Place near the stadium, adding significantly to the town’s tax base.

The Patriots are not a tax-exempt organization and this past March, NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell announced the NFL would be giving up its 501 (c) 3 status entirely.

But there is one interesting exception to that rule, the Green Bay Packers. The team is the only not-for-profit, publicly-owned major sports franchise in America, as laid out in a New Yorker Magazine article several years ago. According to this 1999 report from the Wisconsin legislature, the team has an interesting ownership and management diagram:

Approximately 109,700 individuals own shares of Packers common stock but do not receive dividends or profits as a result of stock ownership. The shareholders elect the Packers’ 45-member board of directors, whose members serve staggered three-year terms. The board appoints seven of its members to an executive committee that is responsible for monitoring operations, which includes hiring and evaluating the performance of the president and chief executive officer.

The New Yorker article by Dave Zirin is impressive and worth reading in full, but this quote especially stunned me:

Volunteers work concessions, with sixty per cent of the proceeds going to local charities. Even the beer is cheaper than at a typical N.F.L. stadium. Not only has home field been sold out for two decades, but during snowstorms, the team routinely puts out calls for volunteers to help shovel and is never disappointed by the response.

If one examines the Articles of Incorporation of the team itself, they state clearly that the actual act of playing football is merely incidental to its true mission, “a community project intended to promote community welfare and that its purposes shall be exclusively charitable“. In this 2012 paper for the Oregon State Bar Nonprofit Organizations Law Section, Bay Toft-Dupuy writes:

Guided by the nonprofit nature of its organizational articles and community ownership structure, the Packers operate in an arguably nonprofit fashion. All profits are either invested back in the team or donated to local charities with a six million dollar impact reported in 2012 for one fiscal year alone.

Staying in Wisconsin for a moment, there is a recent article by Michael Powell at the New York Times regarding the Milwaukee Bucks that shows what happens when a sports team talking like Lucchino gets its way:

We’ll keep the Bucks in Milwaukee, the owners said, if the public foots half the cost of a $500 million arena. (The owners spoke of their “moral obligation” to the city and pledged $100 million toward their arena, with the remainder coming from other private funds.) N.B.A. officials acted as muscle for the owners and warned that if Wisconsin did not cough up this money within a year’s time, the league would move the team to Las Vegas or Seattle… Gov. Scott Walker signed a bill Wednesday to subsidize the arena, which could cost the public twice as much as originally projected… Milwaukee County’s portion of arena debt amounts to $4 million annually for 20 years; if the county fails to come up with its payments, the state could deduct the money from annual aid to the county. Abele has spoken of scrounging up the county’s payment by allowing the state to crack down on the county’s many debtors. That sounds fine in theory. In practice, it could mean hounding working-class homeowners for property taxes or pursuing residents who have delinquent ambulance bills. No county can afford to let taxes go uncollected, but that strategy registers as a touch repellent. [Emphasis added]

As the discussion of stadium building has become a national conversation, thanks in part to a recent piece featured on HBO’s Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, the conversation has now evolved to the point where Gigi Douban of Marketplace Business asked in an August 13 piece whether funding a sports complex is an investment or a subsidy.

When a government pours money into a sports venue, sometimes it’s hard to tell whether it’s a subsidy or an investment, Mark Rosentraub, sport management professor at the University of Michigan, says.
“It becomes an investment when there’s a clearly defined set of returns that are worth the risk of any investment,” he says.
Rosentraub says if the arena anchors a bigger redevelopment plan, that’s when it tends to make a city money. But arenas alone don’t equal jobs and new businesses, especially in a quiet city like Milwaukee, according to Andrew Zimbalist, economics professor at Smith College.
“If you’re hoping to promote the local economy by attracting or keeping a basketball team,” he says, “it’s not something that happens.”

Jason Notte over at MarketWatch wrote a piece on July 21 I encourage you to read in full but which I will summarize. Titled 5 CITIES GETTING THE WORST DEALS FROM SPORTS TEAMS, he tells the tale of woe for Milwaukee and four other municipalities that are getting the raw deal from major sports. Minneapolis was promised they would only pay $500 million but are now on the hook for $678 million for a new arena for the Minnesota Vikings. Cobb County, Georgia is borrowing $397 million from the funds for infrastructure and education so to give the Braves baseball team a new home. Glendale, Arizona, a sports mecca, is forking over $308 million for the Arizona Cardinals football team, $225 million for the Arizona Coyotes hockey team, they paid millions more for spring training sites used by the White Sox and Dodgers, and lost money hosting the 2008 Super Bowl, with more losses predicted for this year’s big game. Finally in the District of Columbia, residents are paying $150 million to keep the DC United soccer club from heading to the suburbs, funds that are coming out of badly-needed school renovation line items.

Beth Comery of Providence Daily Dose posted a story on July 29 called ATTENTION JORGE: MAYORS EVERYWHERE SAYING NO TO STADIUMS where, taking off from the recent move by Boston Mayor Marty Walsh in effectively canceling the Boston Olympics, she strongly hints that approving a stadium might be political poison if the Mayor Elorza hops on the bandwagon. It’s a pretty well-duh statement to say that Nicholas Mattiello has reached the highest point in his career, his anti-choice, pro-austerity, and anti-gun control stances would never fly with the DNC, who help fund national House and Senate races. But Gina Raimondo and Jorge Elorza do not strike me as anywhere near finished with their ascendancies. If they wish to hold onto votes with the ever-valuable East Side of Providence, folks who are also known for their wonderful campaign fundraisers, and the fiscally-cautious hinterlands of Cranston, Warwick, Johnston, and South County, they need to show some real strategy and weigh their options. Do they obey the wishes of the PawSox owners and fold, potentially stamping a noticeable black mark on their records, or do they follow the great unwashed masses who will one day be deciding if they keep their jobs?

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Elorza reminded of campaign promises during inauguration


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As Jorge Elorza stepped up to the podium Monday to address a crowd for the first time as Mayor of Providence, almost a dozen signs were held in the air in an effort to remind him of commitments made during his campaign to enact “The People’s Agenda.”

The People’s Agenda is comprised of three parts:

1. The Community Safety Act, “a proposed ordinance currently being looked at by the Providence City Council which is aimed at curbing racial profiling by police,”

2. Public Money for Public Good, “a set of requirements local community and labor organizations want to see included as requirements for all companies seeking tax stabilization agreements” in Providence, and

3. Community Solutions to Violence, “a set of proposals by local residents aimed at curbing violence at its root.”

DSC_8984The coalition behind The People’s Agenda and the action at the inauguration includes the Providence Youth Student Movement, Direct Action for Rights and Equality, Rhode Island Jobs With Justice, the Mt. Hope Neighborhood Association, the American Friends Service Committee and the Olneyville Neighborhood Association.

Elorza agreed to use his power as mayor to advocate strongly for almost all the items on The People’s Agenda during the The People’s Forum, a mayoral debate held in October. You can see the responses of all the mayoral candidates, and get a fuller understanding of the ideas Elorza committed to, here.

Many politicians will say whatever they have to to get elected, or, after being elected, find that their priorities have shifted. It’s important for citizens and community groups to hold elected officials accountable.

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Mayor Elorza’s inauguration speech seeks buy in for his vision


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DSC_8959In Jorge Elorza’s inauguration speech, (video and full text below) which ran for the last half of an hour’s worth of prayers, singing, speeches and a hip hop performance, he outlined his vision for a “New Providence.” When all was said and done, the new Mayor of Providence mentioned five actions he personally would undertake to realize this vision.

1. “…my administration will audit the organizational structure of the Providence School Department to make sure that crucial resources are not tied up in bureaucracy or central administration but are making their way to the schools and classrooms where they belong.”

2. “I will lead the effort to double Providence’s imports and exports and create good-paying, blue-collar jobs that offer a real path to the middle class for all of our residents.”

3. “I will tap into this creative energy and lay the foundation for an arts and culture festival that draws visitors from across the nation and showcases all the great talent we have in Providence. And this festival will begin this summer and it will be a wonderful weekend to be in our city.”

4. “I will take bold action and lay the foundation for Providence to become the first city of its size without a single abandoned and boarded home.”

5. “I will restore and strengthen community policing and continue to build the relationships between the community and law enforcement.”

Mayor Elorza promised a lot more than this of course, but these commitments were made with the less forceful wording, “We will build…” or “Let us create…”;  phrases that indicate a willingness to work with citizens, community groups and businesses to accomplish good things for the city if there exists a public will to do so.

The new mayor made a lot of promises during his campaign, of course, and I know there are groups out there eager to hold him to his word.

Friends, family and guests – good afternoon, and welcome to Providence! I want to begin by thanking some very special people in my life. I want to recognize my mother and father. All I can say is thank you for everything you have done. You are my heroes and everything I do is to make sure that all your efforts were not in vain. Los quiero mucho y me siento tan orgulloso de ustedes. Thank you to my sister, my brother-in-law and my nephew and niece. I love you so much and thank you for always being by my side. Thank you, Stephanie, for being with me every step of the way and for inspiring me with your courage and your strength. I love you, baby.

A PROUD HERITAGE

DSC_8829My parents came to this country to work in our factories and to strive for a better life. They chose Providence because this city offered the promise of steady work and it was a tolerant community that would embrace and welcome them. They came to work hard, and they made sacrifice upon sacrifice to build a life of even greater opportunity for my sister and me.

My family’s story is also Providence’s story. From its founding, Providence has been a city that offers the promise of a new beginning. And generations of families just like my mine have come here in search of that same promise, ready to make the same sacrifices.

Exactly four decades after my family arrived in this country in 1975 with little more than the shirts on their backs, we stand proudly as a family on the steps of City Hall as an example of what dedication, sacrifice, humility and industry can help us achieve. Ladies and gentlemen, the American Dream is still alive, and it is our responsibility to see to it that it endures for generations to come.

Most of the factory jobs that once existed slowly yet surely left our city, changing who we are in the process. We are no longer the industrial city we used to be; but that’s alright. We have to build the New Providence, along with a new economy, a new identity, and a new purpose. I stand before you with great optimism that by coming together and capitalizing on the many wonderful opportunities that our city offers, we will build this New Providence.

WAKE OF THE STORM

DSC_8918Now, doing so will not be easy. Providence is still regaining its footing in the wake of some of the most challenging financial times we’ve seen. My predecessor, Mayor Angel Taveras, led our city with great distinction during these times. I thank you – and Providence thanks you – Mayor, for making the important decisions our city needed to move forward.

Your leadership over the past four years, along with the leadership of Council President Solomon and the entire City Council, has been steady and inspiring, and Providence is a better place as a result of the work you have done.

As I take office, we still face difficult times, with projected deficits in the coming years. Council President Aponte, honorable members of the City Council, as we work to pass our first budget together, we will do so knowing that tough decisions and fiscal restraint will continue to be necessary to ensure that we remain on firm ground.

And as we work with a steady hand, let us remember that no city has ever cut its way to greatness. Now more than ever, we must be creative, we must be resourceful, and we must work together to launch our city forward. Providence’s prosperity depends on us. I am confident that, together, we will seize this moment and provide the leadership our great city deserves.

And as City leaders, we know we can’t do it alone. I thank our state and federal leaders for their presence and for their support. Governor-elect Raimondo, Speaker Mattiello, President Paiva-Weed, Majority Leaders DeSimone and Ruggerio, the esteemed members of Providence’s state delegation, and our esteemed federal delegation – I look forward to aligning our City, State and Federal priorities and reclaim Providence’s standing as a city of opportunity.

BUILD A CITY THAT WORKS

DSC_8938Just as with our State, I believe the City of Providence is on the cusp of a remarkable season; a spring of renewal and reinvention. It is said that the secret of change and progress is to focus all of your energy not on fighting the old but on building the new. We are going to “build the new” here in Providence. And we are going to do it so that every one of our residents benefits.

Together, we will make Providence the city that works!

The people who live, work and visit Providence deserve a government that is transparent, ethical, accountable and easy to navigate. Too often, when faced with red tape and outmoded ways of doing business, people shrug their shoulders and say that’s just the way it’s always been done. In my administration, “that’s the way it’s always been done” will never be an acceptable answer and we will always seek new ways of doing things.

We have to start from the bottom up and engage every one of our public employees. We will ask them for their ideas, no matter how small or how big, and give them a chance to change and improve the workplace. I believe we have it within us to bring the change that we deserve. We must do a better job of listening, and create new opportunities for me, my staff and department directors to spend time in our neighborhoods listening to residents’ concerns.

This will allow us to provide city services in a way that almost goes without notice. It will be a priority that we build the New Providence by building a City Hall that just works. I want potholes to be filled even before they are reported; I want our building permits to be ready for pick up even before the date they’re due; I want a parent to plan her morning knowing fully that the school bus will arrive on time. All of this is within our grasp. These nuts and bolts are precursors to having a strong city, and in my administration they will be a priority.

It is vital that we bring these kinds of changes to our School Department as well. Over the past few years, the Providence Schools have begun to show some important signs of progress. But I’ve become convinced that what’s holding us back from becoming a truly excellent school district is not a shortage of great ideas or great people. What’s holding us back is our ability to execute on those great ideas and support our great people. We also need a School Department that just works.

Beginning immediately, my administration will audit the organizational structure of the Providence School Department to make sure that crucial resources are not tied up in bureaucracy or central administration but are making their way to the schools and classrooms where they belong.

Our future depends on it, and our children deserve nothing less than a city and a School Department that just works. And frankly, given the tax burden our residents bear, we deserve first-class city services and schools that we can feel proud to send our children to.

BUILD ON OUR STRENGTHS

DSC_8839A friend of mine often says that “we can do anything, but we cannot do everything.” That means that we have to be strategic and intelligent and build on our strengths. Luckily for us, we have many assets and resources to build upon here in Providence. Everything we need to become a successful city is already here. We will build the New Providence from the raw material at hand.

There is no better place to start than on our working waterfront. With a deep-water channel, the port is significantly underutilized and ready for renewed investment and attention. As Mayor, I will lead the effort to double Providence’s imports and exports and create good-paying, blue-collar jobs that offer a real path to the middle class for all of our residents.

We will link local businesses with international firms; we will take part in trade missions; we will work to foster lasting business relationships; and we will connect Providence’s economy to the rest of the world. Our waterfront, our highways, our rail lines, and our international airport are our gateway to vast global markets. The New Providence, with its diversity and its homegrown entrepreneurship, will lead the way. Aside from our waterfront, we are so fortunate to have world-class universities and research hospitals here in our city. We have the human capital and the talent base that are the envy of the world – whether it’s all of the gifted young artists and designers at RISD, the master chefs of tomorrow studying at Johnson & Wales, or the many talented and idealistic people studying at RIC to be teachers and Brown to be doctors – we have world-class talent right before us.

But after graduation, too many of our college graduates cannot find a job and sadly leave our city and our state. As Mayor, I will lead the effort to reverse this “brain drain,” so that more and more of our talented graduates can choose to stay here in Providence. We will create new internship opportunities to connect them to our local economy; we will bolster our startup community and invest in innovation; and we will engage the Greater Providence business community, along with our great institutions, to be partners as we create and mold our new economy.

Governor-elect, Mr. Council President: my administration stands ready to work with you and our leaders at the State House to develop the 195 land and beyond. In the next four years, we have the chance to lay the foundation that will sustain our city and state for the next four decades. Let us seize our once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to reimagine our cityscape, to leverage our strategic strengths, and develop our new economy.

Providence is also blessed to be widely admired as one of America’s finest cities for arts, culture and cuisine. We must remember that creativity is the currency of our times. Our small city punches far above its weight when it comes to arts and culture and it is part of who we are. We are the Creative Capital. It’s in our DNA and it’s what makes us special. In my administration, the arts will be integrated into every aspect of what we do – from the economy, to our schools, to the vibrancy of our neighborhoods – the arts will be at the heart.

Let’s be sure to support our local and organic arts scene because when it fully blossoms, it will return the favor ten-fold. Artists not only help us challenge convention but they enrich and enliven our souls. As Mayor, I will tap into this creative energy and lay the foundation for an arts and culture festival that draws visitors from across the nation and showcases all the great talent we have in Providence. And this festival will begin this summer and it will be a wonderful weekend to be in our city.

And we have so many other strengths here in Providence – our diversity, our historic architecture, our beautiful parks, our quality of life and much, much more. We have all the ingredients for success right here in our backyard.

PROVIDENCE PROUD

DSC_8822In order to build the New Providence, we must recognize what a charming and fantastic city this is. We must have concrete plans but that alone will not make us great; I firmly believe the future of our city depends, not just on bricks and mortar, but on the intangible element of building pride in Providence. We all want to belong to something bigger than ourselves – a city, a team, a tribe – something that inspires us to be greater than what we thought we were capable of. I believe the New Providence depends on a shared sense of community, responsibility and potential. And, here is how we achieve it.

We will instill new hope and pride in our neighborhoods by preserving our historic properties and by rehabbing our abandoned and blighted homes. Providence was hit hard by the nation’s foreclosure crisis – no neighborhood was spared and we still have between 500 and 600 abandoned homes. That’s 500 to 600 homes too many. As Mayor, I will take bold action and lay the foundation for Providence to become the first city of its size without a single abandoned and boarded home. We can do it, and we will do it!

Let’s rid ourselves of this blight; let’s breathe new life into these houses; let’s put contractors to work and families into homes; and let’s bring pride back to our gorgeous neighborhoods.

Those who know me know how important sports and recreation are for me. As Mayor, I will lead my team with the vision of making Providence the fittest, healthiest and most active city in all of New England.

We will reap all the benefits, because sports and recreation touch so many of the things we care about. Let us address childhood obesity by encouraging recreation and physical fitness with our kids; let us showcase our beautiful parks by drawing families to walk, run, or do Zumba in our public spaces; let us create camaraderie by starting a City Hall softball league and a chess club; let us enhance summer learning by connecting our Recreation Centers with our School Department; and let us reduce violence by supporting midnight basketball leagues and other activities for young adults. In short, let’s create an active and adventurous culture and bring people together from every walk of life, to instill pride in literally being part of a bigger team.

And all of our goals will only be possible if people feel safe and secure to live and work in our city. In fact, it’s impossible to have pride in our city if we don’t feel safe. I believe that every family should have a family doctor, a family dentist, and a family police officer. As Mayor, I will restore and strengthen community policing and continue to build the relationships between the community and law enforcement.

And as we do so, we must recognize that the stubborn persistence of crime will only abate once we truly address the very conditions that give rise to it. We must work with all of the tools in the toolkit because we know that stopping violence requires a full community effort – from our teachers to our legislators, from our employers to our coaches, and from our parents to our priests. We all have a role to play.

To truly address these issues, we must invest in real economic development that benefits everyone – from the corner office to the corner store. And we must support our small businesses and in particular those that hire within our city, such as our many women and minority owned businesses.

And, we need neighborhood schools that engage parents and bring together entire communities. We need a culture of excellence at every school and we need to invest in school infrastructure so that every child sits in a classroom that inspires her to learn.

We need to prepare our students for life after high school. And one thing I am convinced of is that we cannot quit on each other. We need mentorship and workforce development whether you have a clean record or you’re trying to get your life back together.

And we need a public transit system that meets the needs of our diverse communities. We want a city that’s on the move, with people on the move; a city where you can commute without owning a car, where you can bike to your favorite park, and walk to your local farmer’s market.

We need a clean city, and a sustainable city. From composting to community gardens, from solar panels to bike share programs, we want to think globally but act locally to be good stewards of our land.

This is my vision for a New Providence that we can all be proud to call home. We will achieve this vision and we will rise and succeed – but only if we rise and succeed together.

We’ve faced our fair share of challenges in Providence, yes. But the proud people of Providence have risen to every one of these challenges. We live in a city that is 140 years older than the United States. Providence has persevered through everything from the American Revolution to the Industrial Revolution, the Great Depression to the Great Recession, the Hurricane of ’38 to the Blizzard of ’78. And we have risen through every challenge that history has brought upon us.

As we rise yet again to meet the challenges of today, let all of us in Providence keep our heads held proud and high, and with our arms locked together and ready for the new challenges that will come our way.

As I take the oath of office as Providence’s 38th Mayor, I feel truly humbled by the confidence placed in me to lead our capital city. I take great comfort in having so many genuine well-wishers and supporters; and I pledge to work with every person, at every moment and take every opportunity to make this city great and to make you all proud.

We stand at a crucial moment; I will not shrink because I know you will not shrink. We will build the New Providence – a city that works, a city of great strengths, a city of great pride. And we will build this city together! We will rise and succeed, the only way we know how, as One Providence.

Thank you everyone and God bless.

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How blue is Rhode Island, by town


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In the sensationally titled “Revenge of the Swamp Yankee: Democratic Disaster in South County,” Will Collette argued emotionally that despite statewide wins for Democrats in Rhode Island two weeks ago, South County was a sad place for the party. He makes a strong case that local South County races, through low turnout and Republican money, had a night more like the rest of the country than the rest of Rhode Island.

Will focuses on General Assembly and Town Council races, but his post made me wonder how different towns around Rhode Island voted compared to the state averages. So I dug into the numbers for statewide races. Here’s what I came up with:

Democratic Lean by Town Population

RI_election2014

Democratic Lean by Town Density

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statewide election results_small

This is a little confusing; here’s what I did:

  1. I looked up what percentage of the votes in each town the Democrats and Republicans for each statewide office received.
  2. I subtracted the GOP candidate’s percentage from the Democrat’s for each town, giving the percentage margin the Democrats won (or didn’t) by.
  3. I then averaged together the margins for each statewide race, roughly giving each town’s Democratic lean.
  4. I then subtracted the average statewide Democratic lean from each of those town leans, giving us an idea of how each town compares to Rhode Island as a whole.

Those are the numbers you see above. Here’s my spreadsheet. A few observations:

  • Hardly anyone lives in New Shoreham. But we already knew Block Island isn’t a population hub. (These population numbers are from Wikipedia and could be wrong.)
  • There’s a clear trend of the denser and more populous cities voting more for Democrats than less populous towns. I ran the correlations and it’s 0.55 for population and 0.82 for density. Both are reasonably strong.
  • Imagine the vaguely logarithmic trendline that would best fit these points. For the density graph the formula for that trendline would be y = 0.084*ln(x) - 0.6147. It’s in relation to that trendline that I’ve made the map at right. Gray towns are those that voted about how you’d expect based on their density, blue towns voted more Democratic than density would suggest while red towns voted less Democratic.
  • Remember this is one point in time, November 4, 2014. It can’t tell us a lot about how things are changing or how all those people who didn’t turn out would vote if they did.

So at the end of the day, what does this tell us? Municipalities with higher population & density tend to vote for Democrats more than towns with lower populations. This isn’t just true in Rhode Island, it’s true across the country. But what is interesting here is how different areas of the state deviate from that implied trendline.

Revenge of the Swamp Yankee: Democratic disaster in South County


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south county votes fung
From the 11 South County communities.

While there was jubilation in the Rhode Island Democratic Party election night party because of the biggest sweep since 1960, that mood was not shared by Democrats in South County.

From Exeter to Westerly, Democrats, and especially progressive Democrats, took an awful beating in General Assembly and Town Council races. Majorities in several South County towns also shifted from blue to red in their votes for state offices.

Since I started living in South County in 2002 and covering local politics at Progressive Charlestown, I had enjoyed watching what seemed to be a steady shift from the region’s historic Swamp Yankee conservatism to more progressive politics. South County sent a high proportion of solid blue Democrats to the State House and voted mostly Blue in state and national races.

But that changed on November 4.

Of the 11 South County communities, only four voted for Gina Raimondo over Allan Fung.

In addition to going GOP for governor, South County lost three terrific progressives – my own state Representative Donna Walsh, Sen. Cathie Cool Rumsey and Rep. Larry Valencia. Each of them faced appallingly unqualified opponents. Donna Walsh lost to a radical “Tenther” who doesn’t even seem to live in the District. Cathie Cool Rumsey lost to Hopkinton’s honorific Town Sheriff who was caught using her uniform to impersonate a police officer.

Larry Valencia lost to a guy whose only previous experience was running as a delegate to the Republican National Convention as a delegate for Ron Paul – and who came in fifth out of five.

In Charlestown, we were totally crushed, losing every single elected office in the town to a group called the Charlestown Citizens Alliance (CCA Party), an off-shoot of the RI Statewide Coalition. If you mixed the Tea Party with the Nature Conservancy and the worst rich people’s homeowners association you can imagine, you’d get something that looks like the CCA.

The CCA Party gets more than 60% of its funding from out of state donors. They provide vacation property owners with the ability to vote with their checkbooks in local elections. The CCA Party has increasingly put Charlestown on a “pay to play” basis where the attention you get from town government is in proportion to the amount you donate to the CCA Party.

But those of us in Charlestown were not alone in our misery. Exeter Democrats also took a terrible beating. Exeter rejected all five state general office winners and provided winning margins for Tea Party Rep. Doreen Costa (R) to be re-elected and for progressive Sen. Cathie Cool Rumsey (D) to be ousted.

It was only 11 months ago that Exeter Democrats rallied to crush a gun lobby-sponsored recall of their Democratic Town Council majority. The “Exeter Four” won a huge victory last December 14 only to see two of the four defeated on November 4, costing them the Town Council majority. The level and sophistication of campaigning in Exeter for the general election bore little resemblance to the way Exeter Democrats won last year’s recall.

Larry Valencia’s home base in Richmond also went very bad. Voters rejected the state slate except for Seth Magaziner and also flipped their Town Council from a Democratic majority to Republican control.

Even in Westerly, a Democratic stronghold, Democrats lost control of the Town Council. So it went in North Kingstown, Narragansett and Hopkinton. When the dust settled, the only solidly Democratic town left in South County is South Kingstown.

South Kingstown was the only municipality not swept up in the red tide. South Kingstown was one of only three South County towns to vote for all five Democratic state office candidates. They also re-elected progressive Democrat Rep. Teresa Tanzi by six points despite a $100,000+ campaign mounted against her by mortgage banker Steve Tetzner.

In another closely watched race, South Kingstown also elected Democrat Kathy Fogarty over her Republican opponent, Lacey McGreevey. Fogarty defeated incumbent Rep. Spencer Dickinson in the primary to get her shot at the seat. She won the general election by 16 points.

On top of all that, South Kingstown voters also elected three Democrats and two independents to their Town Council. One of those independents is RI Sierra Club lobbyist Abel Collins.

So what happened?

Like elsewhere in the country, 2014 voter turn-out in South County was low. It was lower than expected even considering the normal drop-off in non-presidential election years.

In Charlestown, we expected turn-out to drop by 900 from the 2012 count for the presidential race. But the drop-off ended up being more than 1,100. With a total voter registration of just over 6,000, that drop-off had a huge impact on the results.

Challengers to incumbents trumpeted the state GOP’s lead issue – 38 Studios – 24/7. Forget that it was unlamented ex-Governor Donald Carcieri’s (R) idea. However, 38 Studios did not affect the state office races or act as much more than buzzkill in most races. Even Republican Attorney General candidate Dawson Hodgson, who probably banged the 38 Studios drum the loudest, admitted after the election that maybe the issue wasn’t so potent after all.

However, 38 Studios may have had a disproportional effect among our South County Swamp Yankees as it was in just about every one of the many mailers, ads and flyers attacking Democrats.

In many South County races, the conservatives out-spent and out-hustled Democrats. In the House District 36 race, Rep. Donna Walsh’s “Tenther” opponent out-spent her 13-to-1 going into the final month.

But money doesn’t always make the difference, as re-elected Rep. Teresa Tanzi can attest. Tetzner went into the final stretch of the campaign having raised three times as much money than Tanzi, mostly through loans he made to his campaign. Tetzner outspent Tanzi by six to one, but she still won.

By contrast, progressive incumbents Larry Valencia and Cathie Cool Rumsey both out-raised and out-spent their Republican opponents, Justin Price and Elaine Morgan respectively, by wide margins, but still lost.

After reviewing Price’s and Morgan’s campaign finance reports, it looks to me that there was a lot more money in their campaigns than they reported. Morgan, for example, reports having spent only $322 on her campaign up to the last week, but she had campaign signs plastered all over Richmond, Exeter and Hopkinton as well as campaign mailers. She only reported $444 in in-kind donations.

There are still unresolved pieces of the puzzle. At some point, Rep. Donna Walsh will get a hearing in front of the state Board of Elections on her charge that her opponent lied about where he lives and is not really a resident of the 36th District. There may be charges filed in other campaigns for misreporting, ethics violations or campaign sabotage. There are a few recounts to be done of some races for town office.

But in the end, there is a new political reality in South County.

Perhaps with more time and perspective, we’ll be able to figure out what went wrong, but we now live with the reality that on November 4, South County flipped from blue to red. We have to figure out how to flip it back.

Elorza on city minimum wage ban: ‘We’ll see’


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Elorza 001Providence Mayor-elect Jorge Elorza walked back his promise to join with advocates and demand that the General Assembly repeal the state ban on municipal minimum wage rates.

Inspired by ALEC, the General Assembly inserted a line in its budget preventing cities and towns from setting their own minimum wage floors without bringing the measure before the public for discussion. This was to prevent the Providence hotel workers from placing such a measure on the ballot so that voters might democratically decide on the issue. In doing so, the General Assembly trapped thousands of Rhode Islanders in poverty wages with no political recourse.

Readers might recall Elorza’s performance at the People’s Forum on October 22 when he told a cheering crowd that he opposed the state’s overreach and, if elected Mayor of Providence, would actively seek to overturn it. At the same forum, Mayoral Candidate Buddy Cianci agreed with Elorza that a $15 minimum wage was “fair.”

But Elorza sang a different tune on 10 News Conference. When asked by reporter Bill Rappleye if he would work to repeal the law now that he’s been elected Mayor, Elorza said, dismissively, “We’ll see,” before diverting the question to his usual rhetoric of growing the economy through tax breaks and regulation reform.

Note: A copy of the video below was sent to the Elorza campaign for comment over the weekend. We will update in the event of a response.

And here’s a link to the entire People’s Forum, for context.

 

Four ideas that will improve Rhode Island


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robert-healeyAlthough the electorate chose another for Governor, I still wish to share my ideas for a dynamic Rhode Island in hope that there can be some support for these visions. There are four ideas, all of which I had spoken of during my recent campaign, that I believe could profoundly change the game and restore Rhode Island to prosperity.

  • A statewide teacher contract
  • A state bank
  • A state monopoly over marijuana sales
  • And a revision of the election process

Statewide teacher contract

The idea of a statewide teacher contract for wages and benefits has great potential. By negotiating a teacher contract statewide on election years prior to the filing deadline for candidates for office would be a boom for Rhode Island.

By using the income tax system instead of property taxation to fund such an endeavor, the property taxes in most communities could be cut dramatically, fifty percent or more in most communities. This reduction in property taxes would result in seniors and others on fixed incomes being able to remain in their homes. It would also put the burden more fairly on those earning incomes, who, coincidentally, are the people who have children in schools.

The secondary benefit is that having low property taxes can serve as a lure for economic development. Presently, a high property tax rate would make business reluctant to locate. Just moving here places the responsibility of education costs on them, and, not having children in the system, they are in essence paying up front for services they don’t need.

With lower property taxes, a business would look favorably on locating, creating the jobs that would pay the income taxes required for education. It would work for economic development and by creating an environment of jobs, would then provide for education. It doesn’t change the cost, but it favorably changes the paradigm.

Sure, there is a possibility of a statewide teacher strike, but what sort of a deterrent is that? Yes, there will be resistance from entrenched teacher unions, but that can be negotiated away. There are ways to create a formula for the different wages that currently exist. It is not difficult.

Against these negatives, weigh the even greater potential for education. Local school boards, freed of the task of contract negotiations, would be liberated to focus on education policy, the very essence of their elected duty.

State-run bank

The second idea postulated was one of having a state bank. Since we pay roughly one half of a billion dollars a year to finance our state, why not become the bank? In doing so, we pay ourselves, freed of Wall Street and its ratings.

It is not a novel idea. North Dakota has been doing just that for almost a century. The problems relate to powerful banking interests that would clearly resist in that there is no money in it for them. Quite frankly, I see the biggest challenge in finding those honorable enough to serve in management, given the past struggles Rhode Island has had with corruption.

If we could get past this hurdle, and chart a well intended course to provide our own funding, we could seriously save the state billions of dollars and not worry about our debt servicing, since we are merely servicing our debt to ourselves.

Marijuana monopoly

A third idea is to have the state legalize marijuana sales and hold a monopoly. The state could utilize its land grant college, the University of Rhode Island, to grow the product. Under a legalized system, the state would then sell the product to the public. There would also be an educational benefit related to the agricultural program at the state university, a win-win as they say.

With the power of a state monopoly, the state could set its price to be twenty percent below the street value. In doing this, it would retain all the profits instead of the drug dealers. It would, in short, have a benefit of lowering drug crime in that it would put drug dealers out of a profitable business.

While states have legalized marijuana only to tax it, such an idea falls short. Taxing a product raises its street costs. Why would someone purchase taxed pot when they can get it on the street without taxes? The idea in creative public policy is to get a benefit to the state.

Selling the product below the street cost cuts out the middleman and provides all income to the state. Anyone purchasing the product will certainly not go on the streets to purchase it at a higher cost. In turn, this would reduce the criminal prosecution related to marijuana sales and use, saving precious law enforcement and corrections time and energy. It is that simple.

While there are some who will argue that legalization is fraught with danger, to legalize only to tax is not an alternative. The real value of legalization is for the state to be the grower and the dealer. Given the fact that we have the means of production, we are poised to exploit an opportunity.

And finally, it is time to step into the future with election reforms. Our state of the art election machines have now seen their age. We will be in need of new machines in the very near future. Why not use this as another opportunity to modernize our voting?

Instant runoff voting

It is without a doubt that multi-party elections are in Rhode Island’s future. The system that was designed for two party voting methods no longer holds as a viable position. In the last several elections there have been many elections by less than a majority. While we have legal provisions for election by plurality, it would be beneficial to all citizens to have a method that assures a majority of support.

There are two ways viable methods to resolve this problem. One is a simple system that requires a runoff election for the two candidates with the highest vote total if one hasn’t received over fifty percent.

There is, however, a far greater, and less expensive, method that can provide a better result. This system is used in Australia, Cambridge, and other communities in the United States. It is called Instant Runoff Voting, or IRV.

Under an IRV, a person ranks the choices for a particular office. That ranking is translated into a number of points based on the number of people running for office. For example, in a four person race, the first choice would get four points. A person’s second choice would get three points, and so on.

In this day of computerized everything, including vote tallying, this system is completely workable, and it will ensure that the person elected has the general support of the entire population. It is far more representative of the people in that your ‘second choice’ may win based on your individual preference.

Sure, this system will be resisted by the political powers that be in that it may threaten its power, but it is in the interest of the people that such a system can benefit Rhode Island in that it will restore faith in the election process.

Given that we will be looking to purchase new voting machines in the near future, it is time we consider a voting process before going out to bid. By stepping into the future, by giving the power to the people, by demonstrating that Rhode Island can make changes for the betterment of its people, we can then show the world that Rhode Island has escaped from its tortured past.

To continue on the course without entertaining change will merely lead nowhere. It is time to chart a new course, embrace a new vision, experiment with novel ideas. We have an opportunity, I urge those in power to consider them. Even though these ideas were based on my campaign, I freely encourage all to take them and implement them in a way that is responsive to the needs and the people of Rhode Island.

The old saying is that when all you have is lemons, make lemonade. In Rhode Island, even this is perverted. Stocked with lemons, to open a lemonade stand in Rhode Island would require a state permit to make sales at retail, zoning approval, and other regulatory compliance. Unless and until common sense prevails, and we actually work to exploit our resources, we will only have lemons.

PVD mayor’s election: complicated city, not class warfare


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class-warfare-2014In the 2014 Providence mayoral election, municipal unions broke unanimously for Buddy Cianci, as did the Teamsters and others. When a huge margin from the East Side put Jorge Elorza over the top, Cianci’s union supporters immediately called it “class warfare,” saying there were two Providences—the East Side and everywhere else.

The data don’t support this assertion in general or in the particulars. It would be more accurate to say that the two Providences are the northern and western suburban precincts and everywhere else. But even this is too broad truly to capture the results. Like most things in life, it’s complicated.

Who won what by how much?

Alex Krogh-Grabbe, who was an Elorza operative and ran his website, produced this map of precinct level data drawn from the Board of Elections website. This map is different from other maps you might have seen because Mr. Krogh-Grabbe went to the extraordinary effort to hand collate precinct data, which is the only way to render these data into a manipulable format.

(This means he went precinct by precinct, hand copying the results into a spreadsheet or JSON file, then mapping that to precinct boundaries. The heavy lines are not the city’s wards but some sort of neighborhood breakdown. Great will be the day that all these data—precinct results, precinct boundaries, ward boundaries, etc.—are available from the city and state in open data standards. Until then…)

This map shows that there are many cities, or more aptly put, one complicated city. Cianci won most strongly in the most northern and western suburbs; Elorza won most strongly east of the Moshassuck River. In between, there is an interesting and complicated patchwork of support, with more of the city breaking for Elorza than for Cianci.

Look, for example, at the Valley. Two precincts that don’t just abut but seem to over-cross each other, broke more than 20% for each candidate. Likewise, the Jewelry district and Hospital district abut, but broke strongly in opposite directions.

Cianci clearly has support on the South Side, but Elorza countered in Elmwood, the West End and Reservoir. In a shock to many, Elroza took Federal Hill by a narrow margin.

Class warfare? Not so much.

Those crying “class warfare” need to step back and consider that Providence might be more complicated than they’d like it to be. Consider, for example, that Fox Point broke for Elorza by more than 20 percentage points or that Mt. Hope did the same by more than 10. Olneyville, Reservoir, deep in the West End and the brutal section of Smith Hill between Smith and Orms (my first PVD ‘hood) broke for Elorza.  Elorza also won portions of Hartford and Silver Lake. Not one of these neighborhoods fits the profile convenient to the argument that only rich, white people support Elorza.

It could be that the East Side / South Side coalition was a short-lived experiment that won’t be repeated. Or it could be that changing demographics and changing attitudes have produced a new electoral equation in the city. Or it could be that Buddy Cianci made a whole lot of people a whole lot of money during his multiple terms in office, and that money trumps pretty much everything.

Whatever happened in this election, I am certain of one thing: it wasn’t class warfare.

What next in ward 3?


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ward3-2When RI Future first broke the story of Marcus Mitchell’s write-in campaign, the mainstream media wouldn’t give it so much as a mention. But on the Wednesday after the election, it was big, big news. Ahead by a mere 22 votes in the “machine count,” Mitchell would ultimately lose to the incumbent Kevin Jackson on the mail-in ballots.

Regardless of anybody’s opinions of either candidate or their campaigns, we all should recognize that we have witnessed a near-historic exercise in the power of electoral participation. As I have written repeatedly, candidates running unopposed in the primary and/or general election are the hallmarks of a political machine, and political machines destroy communities.

Whether you like it or not, a large portion of Ward 3 made a powerful statement that they were dissatisfied with Jackson’s leadership and wanted a new voice. That portion of the ward proved just smaller than those who supported Jackson. And that’s how it goes in an electoral government.

The question now is: how will Jackson respond to the uprising against him?

Respond or retaliate?

There was a sense in the final week leading up to the election that the real winner in Ward 3 would be Ward 3. Suddenly faced with a serious challenge, Jackson remembered that there was a ward to be taken care of. Seemingly overnight, all the dangerous trip hazards that had lingered for many years on the commercial section of Hope Street were fixed.

But now that we’ve all recovered from the euphoria and/or depression and/or hangover, it has occurred to some in the Mitchell camp that rather than responding to their long-ignored issues, Jackson may chose to retaliate against those who opposed him. He was Cianci’s co-chair, the thinking goes, and we all know how Mr. Cianci dealt with such issues.

So far, I have heard nothing either way, nor was I out looking for it. This man does not live by politics alone. Were I one of Jackson’s advisers, my counsel would be to win over his detractors by acting on their behalf…you know, like an elected representative. Four years is time enough to heal the wounds and rebuild the coalition.

Conversely, those opposed to Jackson may well be wondering why they didn’t challenge him earlier. The conventional wisdom was that his stronghold would prove unbreakable. But if a last-minute, write-in candidate can take him to a hand count of the mail-in ballots, imagine what a proper campaign for the Democratic primary could achieve.

Jackson likely knows this as well. At a certain level, it doesn’t matter what he does over the next three-and-a-half years. If I were a gambling man, I would bet folding money that there will be a Jackson-Mitchell rematch in 2018 and this time for the Democratic primary.

Just like with the Mitchell write-in campaign, remember, readers: you heard it here first!

Democrats party at the Biltmore

Raimondo 002When Gina Raimondo took the stage as a newly minted governor elect, she pledge to build a government in Rhode Island that works for everyone, not just connected insiders. Was this mere rhetoric, or a shot across the bow of Speaker of the House Nicholas Mattiello, who presides over the Harwood/Murphy/Fox machine, the ultimate black box of Rhode Island politics?

There are things Raimondo and the other statewide office holders have said they want to do, such as repeal voter I.D., raise the minimum wage to $15, reform Rhode Island’s gun laws, tackle the issue of racial profiling and restrict the interest on usurious payday loans, (to name only a few) but tackling these issues in an even more conservative General Assembly seems an uphill climb.

Gorbea 001The Grand Ballroom of the Providence Biltmore was the wrong place for these kind of thoughts last night as the Rhode Island Democratic Party rocketed to victory in all the big races. Last night was a celebration. Representative David Cicilline, stepping off stage after delivering his victory speech, rushed back to the podium, a huge smile on his face, to announce Nellie Gorbea’s Secretary of State win to a cheering crowd. Treasurer elect Seth Magaziner’s victory speech was short and sweet and Lt. Governor elect Dan McKee’s speech went on way too long, but the best speeches came from Gorbea and Raimondo.

The night was not without suspense. There was a collective sigh of relief when channels 10 and 12 called the Providence mayoral race for Jorge Elorza, preventing the embarrassment and inevitable scandals of a third Cianci administration (for the next four years anyway, will a 77 year old Buddy try again in 2018?) Elorza was obviously pleased: I’ve never seen him so relaxed and at ease. He has a tough four years ahead of him, and he’ll be working with a City Council with more than a few new faces and a new, yet to be determined Council President.

Elorza 003 Passing by almost unnoticed was the defeat of Proposition 3, which would have called for a Constitutional Convention. The measure failed despite a drumbeat of support from the Providence Journal. I credit the hard work and enormous talent of anti-ConCon campaign coordinator Jenny Norris, but I’ll throw a special shout out here to Mike Stenhouse, of the RI Center for Freedom and Prosperity, who helped tank the idea by inviting Grover Norquist to Rhode Island in support of the measure.

Perhaps voters intuited something about this election that both supporters and opponents of the ConCon missed: this election will have a big impact on state politics. We have a new Governor, Lt. Governor, Treasurer and Secretary of State. We have very different General Assembly, a new mayor of Providence and a different Providence City Council. As a state we just voted in a lot of change, (not all for the better in my opinion but change nonetheless) and the addition of a ConCon was just a step too far.

What is sure is that the future of this state depends as much on organization and advocacy from the public as it does on its shiny new political leaders. This state is only going to get better if we hold these new political leaders accountable.

Did RI move right or left last night?


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gina
Photo from Raimondo Facebook page. Click the image for more.

Congratulations, Gina Raimondo! You’ll soon be Rhode Island’s 75th governor, and you’ve also broken the so-called glass ceiling to become the Ocean State’s first ever female chief executive.

Raimondo is also the first Democrat Rhode Island has elected governor since 1990. That’s a really long time for a state some call the bluest in the nation. Since hope springs eternal, here’s hoping she will also be the most progressive governor since Frank Licht in the early 1970’s. He’s most famous for “push[ing] through a state income tax to end Rhode Island’s fiscal crises of the 1960’s” and is also said to have “approved more business projects than any other Governor in Rhode Island’s history.”

I’ll be happy if she’s as liberal-leaning as Governor Chafee.

Democrats swept the statewide offices last night, but only two of the five had the endorsement of the RI Progressive Democrats – General Treasurer-elect Seth Magaziner and Secretary of State-elect Nellie Gorbea. Only Magaziner had their endorsement in the primary. Still, most new statewide officers will move their newly acquired positions left with the noticeable exception of Dan McKee, who will replace Elizabeth Roberts as the lt. governor.

So does Rhode Island have many conservative Democrats, as the New York Times reported this weekend? Or is there a liberal majority in the Ocean State that doesn’t know how to play nice in the sandbox with each other? It’s pretty easy to argue that he greatest strengths of the Raimondo campaign turned out to be Clay Pell and Bob Healey.

Bob Healey was the big winner last night and, once again, is officially a Rhode Island cult hero. He spent $35 and won 22 percent of the vote. That’s amazingly hopeful news if you hate money in politics. He’s the ’73 PC Friars of Campaign 2014 – the irreverent underdog who broke all the rules and maybe, just maybe, could have even beaten the dynasty team if they got to go one-on-one.

Ward 3 on the verge of history; write-in Marcus Mitchell ahead


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Head shot of candidate Marcus Mitchell

The word "win" in white, all capital letters on a black backgroundIt is possible that Marcus Mitchell will win the race for Providence City Council Ward 3 with a write-in campaign.

If he does, it will be an historic achievement. Has Providence ever seen such an occurrence?

The preliminary count shows “write-in” with a 22-vote lead over incumbent Kevin Jackson, 1,829 to 1,807. Emergency ballots and mail-in ballots have not yet been counted, and the write-in ballots must be certified. Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck typically receive a few votes in nearly every political contest, and misspellings could also erode Mitchell’s count.

Many in Ward 3 feel that even if Jackson holds on to his seat, he will be a very different councilor. His support for Cianci put him on the wrong side of the electorate, and he must surely know that he will face a vigorous primary challenge in 2018. This race showed him a weak incumbent.

A tale of two turnouts

The single most striking take-away for me was the low turnout in precinct 2818 that includes most of the Camp Street neighborhood. Jackson won this precinct roughly 2:1, but with fewer than 600 votes cast. Compare this to the 2012 election when over 1,600 votes were cast in 2818.

Of course, 2012 was a presidential election and this was a midterm, and redistricting makes a comparison to 2010 impossible. But consider this: precinct 2816 at the north end of the ward cast nearly 1,300 votes compared to about 1,800 votes in 2012.

In other words, turnout in 2816 fell about 1/3 while turnout in 2818 fell by 2/3. The common wisdom said that Camp Street was Jackson’s base of power, but when challenged, he could not turn out the vote. Results from precinct 2880, which includes the northern end of Camp Street, showed tepid activity with fewer than 450 votes cast total.

If Jackson had turned out the vote in these precincts, he would have won handily.

What’s next?

Your Frymaster is in uncharted territory here. I need to find out how and where the ballots will be counted. As always, I’ll let you know what I find.

Cautious celebration


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pvd2
Photo by David Uttam Lawlor

Providence’s progressive community has a gift – a seemingly honest, if very untested, administration.

Thank you to everyone who voted and worked for a different Providence.

Jorge’s donor list includes dear, dear friends in community work, art, and education, but another swath of Elorza’s supporters are the out of touch developers who help spark the resentment that feeds Cianci.

Providence, like many cities, needs competence- an easy to navigate city hall, transparency, and many day to day infrastructure improvements in schools and parks across the city. There are well placed individuals who will lobby Elorza hard for fantasy plans about street cars for magical wealthy consumers, state subsidized condos, and a million other ways to spend cash downtown, not in the neighborhoods. The challenge for progressives – no, the challenge of all people who care about the city – is how to do good in the next four years.

My late aunt would be impressed.

Maureen Lawlor was a child of Providence – in her 1970s era high school science fair project she was studying the effects pollution on neighborhoods in Providence. After working in adult education in the ACI, she served at the Massachusetts Department of Education before becoming a professor  at a community college outside Seattle. When she returned to visit in the early 2000s, around the time of Plunderdome, I remember her ruefully remarking, “It’s like I never left.”

She would be impressed and proud to see that Providence voted for a new chapter, with Jorge Elorza defeating Vincent A Cianci, Jr.

She was also wise. Excited by change, she would likely caution not to get too carried away or hopeful- plan a next step. Her late husband, my Uncle Sherman, definitely would encourage planning ahead.

Like many old mill cities, there is a great agenda awaiting of rebuilding and re-imagining neighborhoods and civic institutions. There are people with goofy plans to spend millions on one side of the highway only -don’t let them.

The campaign for One Providence continues.

Bad night for progressives and Democrats in House


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RI State House 4The Narrative is that it was a big night for Democrats in Rhode Island. But not so much in the state legislature.

In House of Representatives especially. The chamber controlled by conservative Democrat Nick Mattiello saw the GOP membership almost double – from six to 11 while Democrats dropped a total of six seats.

Linda Finn of Portsmouth lost to Republican Dan Reilly and Larry Valencia of Richmond lost to Republican Justin Price. Scott Guthrie and Lisa Tomasso, both of Coventry, lost to Republicans Robert Nardollilo and Sherry Roberts. And Donna Walsh of Charlestown lost to Blake Filippi, an independent from Block Island.

The good news is Aaron Regunberg, of the East Side of Providence and Shelby Maldonado of Central Falls won. That Peter Palumbo lost to Republican Robert Lancia can be seen as a wash to progressives if not Democrats.

Things weren’t quite as bad in the Senate, but Democrat Cathy Cool Rumsey lost to Republican Elaine Morgan.

Here’s a list of some of the legislative seats I was watching:

Portsmouth/Middletown (House District 72)

Linda Finn 45.9%

Dan Reilly 53.9%

Narragansett / Wakefield (House 34)

Teresa Tanzi 53.5%

Steve Tetzner 46.3%

Providence, East Side (House 4)

Aaron Regunberg 82.5%

Ethan Gyles 16.8%

Coventry (Senate 21)

Margaux Morrisseau 35.8%

Nick Kettle 54.7%

Coventry (House District 26)

Nick Denice 43.7%

Patricia Morgan 49.4%

West Warwick (Senate District 9)

Adam Satchell 55.7%

Michael Pinga 44%

North Kingstown (House District 31)

Julie Casimiro 46.8%

Doreen Costa 53.1%

North Kingstown (House District 32)

Sharon Gamba 47.8%

Bob Craven 51.8%

Richmond (House District 39)

Larry Valencia 42.5%

Justin Price 57.4%

Central Falls (House District 56)

Shelby Maldonado 83.4%

Albert Romanowicz 16.5%

Central Falls (House District 56)

Elizabeth Crowley 84.7%

Dan Bidondi 14.8%

Cranston (House District 18)

Art Handy 65.9%

Don Gendron 33.8%

Newport (Senate District 13)

Teresa Paiva Weed 54.6%

Mike Smith 45.1%

BREAKING: Elorza poll watchers show 3,500 vote lead

A contact within the Elorza campaign has told me that their figures compiled by poll watchers show Elorza winning with a comfortable 3,500 vote margin. Given a hypothetical turnout figure of 35,000 voters, which is substantially higher that the usual midterm turnout, that would be a margin of roughly 10 percentage points, depending on the Harrop count.

Poll watchers, which Elorza had at each of the city’s 80 polling places, mark each voter’s name as poll workers call them out. They then look up the name on their anotated voter rolls, which also track that voters support level for the candidate. With modern data tools, poll watchers have become a critical part of election campaigns and they generally predict the outcome with great accuracy.

UPDATE 11/4, 7:30am — Preliminary numbers from the Board of Elections show 35,472 votes cast for mayor of Providence. Elorza received 3,375 more votes than Cianci, making his margin of victory 9.5 percentage points. Just sayin…

Legislative races to watch


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The State House in November.
The State House in November.

Progressives already lost Providence legislator Maria Cimini this election season, but we’ve also picked up Lauren Carson down in Newport. Here are some of the races where the liberal left could pick up – or lose – legislative seats.

In Portsmouth/Middletown, Rep. Linda Finn is in a dog fight with young Republican Dan Reilly, whom she beat two years ago to first win the seat. Finn says Reilly has been claiming credit for legislation he didn’t author, and telling other tall tales on the trail.

Also on Aquidneck Island, Senate President Teresa Paiva Weed, who has the support of the Sierra Club, also has a challenge from Republican Mike Smith.

In Narragansett/Wakefield Rep. Teresa Tanzi‘s opponent Steve Tetzner, an NRA-supporting mortgage broker, spent more than $100,000 on his campaign touting fiscal conservancy.

On the East Side of Providence, Aaron Regunberg already passed one big test by beat Heather Tow Yick in the primary, but he still needs to fend off Ethan Gyles, who is running as an independent. Whomever wins will be replacing former House Speaker Gordon Fox.

In Coventry, Margaux Morrisseau is hoping to win the senate seat currently held by Nick Kettle, who is best known for fake Facebook pages and disparaging homeless people. Morisseau runs the New Leaders Council, a training program for progressive activists, and for leading the fight for payday loan reform. And on the House side in Coventry Nick Denice hopes to unseat Republican Patricia Morgan.

Nearby in West Warwick, Senator Adam Satchel, a teacher and a Democrat, is defending his seat against independent Michael Pinga.

In North Kingstown, self-described conservative Democrat Julie Casimiro, a charter school supporter, is challenging tea party favorite Doreen Costa, who has the backing of the local fire fighters union in the race. The GOP could also pick up a seat if Republican Sharon Gamba beats conservative Democrat Bob Craven for a House seat.

Central Falls City Councilor Shelby Maldonado hopes to beat independent Albert Romanowicz and Dan Bidondi is running again Senator Elizabeth Crowley.

In Richmond, Rep. Larry Valencia is running against Republican Justin Price. In Cranston Rep. Art Handy is running against Republican Don Gendron.

One would think Rep. Mike Marcello would have a race on his hands, after making an unsuccessful run at being speaker of the House. He’s running against Lillian Jean Delmonico and Robert Quattrocchi.

Many urban progressives have already effectively won their races because they are unopposed, including Edith Ajello, Chris Blazejewski, Juan Pichardo, Gayle Goldin, Josh Miller of Cranston and Dave Bennett of Warwick.

What other races should I be watching?


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