Lower Taxes Don’t Always Mean Better Living


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As some legislative leaders continue to balk at rolling back income tax cuts as a way to correct Rhode Island’s budget deficit, saying they still need to let the flatter taxes play out to see if they stimulate the economy, maybe there’s something they should consider.

“There is no reason for states to expect that reducing or repealing their income taxes will improve the performance of their economies,” according to a new report from the left-leaning Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy that shows that the nine states with the highest income taxes are faring better economically than the nine states that don’t have income taxes.

Here’s a link to an article about the study, since .pdf links are clunky.

While contrary studies from the right-leaning organizations exist, the ITEP study says they miss some key points: growing states, whether they have high or no income taxes, are doing better than shrinking or static states and states with no income taxes tend to get money from natural resource extraction.

Rhode Island has been rolling back its top level income tax bracket since 2007, but this year a new bill gaining steam at the State House would put the top income tax bracket back at 9.9 percent for those making more than $250,000. Speaker Gordon Fox initially said the bill would go no where this year, but later issued a more cautious response as the legislation gained momentum.

Budgeting for Disaster: Medicaid in the Budget


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FY2013 budget

FY2013 budgetIn volume II of the budget, you’ll find there the Executive Office of Health and Human Services (EOHHS), which contains the Departments of Children Youth and Families (DCYF), Health (DoH), Human Services (DHS), and Behavioral Healthcare, Developmental Disabilities, and Hospitals (BHDDH).

Collectively these departments spend over $3 billion, about 40% of the overall budget. In the Governor’s budget, only about 40% of that is actual tax dollars, and the rest is either federal money or restricted receipts, such as fees for service.

The big kahuna in the Human Services budget is, of course, Medicaid, so we may as well begin there. The expense for Medicaid has been moved from the DHS budget to the umbrella EOHHS. This, of course, means nothing to the budget’s bottom line, only that the accounting for that expense appears on page B2-118 for years before FY12 and before, and on B2-12 for FY13 and beyond.

So much for where to find it. How much is it? The Medicaid budget for next year is projected to be $1.66 billion, approximately the same as was originally budgeted for this year.

The same as this year? But what about the skyrocketing medical inflation? It’s there, but masked by offsetting cuts in service. The “Managed Care” portion of Medicaid that you see in the breakdown of the Medicaid costs is also known as RIte Care, and it has more than doubled in ten years, though it still amounts to only about a third of all the Medicaid. The annual cost increase for Managed Care has been about 7.5% each year. Eligibility rules tightened, but demand increased, so that includes a very minor decrease in enrollment over that time. What’s worse, federal reimbursement paid for 55 cents of every dollar in 2003, almost 64 cents in 2010 (part of the stimulus package) and only 51 cents in 2013.

In order to control these costs, the state has added or increased co-pays and restricted eligibility several times in recent years. Apart from that, there has been little more than some studies and planning from Lt. Governor Elizabeth Roberts in response to this ongoing disaster—remember, this affects everybody, not just the state budget—and this year is no different. The Governor’s 2013 budget will cut all dental care for adults to save $2.7 million. “Refinements to Medicaid managed care programs” will save another $2.5 million [ES-56]. Lots of these refinements involve cutting services, though some, like providing more care through “Patient-Centered Medical Homes” are potentially good ideas, depending on how they’re implemented.

One problem with the push for managed care is that in some cases it may well insert a new layer of bureaucracy where none is needed. A director of a residential care provider pointed out to me that his agency is already providing managed care for most of their residents. That is, with the advice of a consistent array of medical professionals, the agency selects care options for its residents. This is pretty much what the medical home concept suggests. If new requirements simply force them to add a layer of doctors to what they’re already doing, it won’t necessarily reduce any costs or improve any care. (It also calls into question the cost savings estimates for the managed care push.)

The other big component of cost saving in Medicaid is a proposal to save another $14 million by simply paying 4% less for the care.

Paying less? Who knew you could just solve the health care cost problem so easily. Why didn’t we think of this years ago? But yes, the Governor’s budget proposes paying 4.14% less for all Medicaid coverage that require a monthly per-person fee (“capitation”). This is mostly Neighborhood Health Plan, though  United Health also has a share of that market. Neighborhood, though, has the misfortune of being in the business of serving the Medicaid population almost exclusively, so they will be much harder hit than the other two. Obviously any cost cutting reform has to start somewhere, but it’s hard to see how this will do the trick.

It’s worth an aside here to mention one of the factors in health care cost inflation that seems never to come up in serious discussions of the rising cost of health care. After all, what’s the fastest-growing component of a medical practice’s expenses? More likely than not, it’s health insurance for its employees. For all the fancy machinery of modern medicine, it’s still a labor-intensive business. A giant facility like Rhode Island Hospital puts more than half its budget towards salaries, and a small practice will see an even higher fraction, 70% or more.

A physician’s assistant earning $65,000 a year is probably receiving a health benefit worth around 20% of that if he or she has a family. What’s more, all those pharmaceutical firms, medical device manufacturers, and bandage makers also have to deal with rising health care costs. In other words, a significant part of what an increase in health care costs pays for is… an increase in health care costs.

This sounds like a dopey little irony, but engineers call this a feedback loop, and electronic systems with less feedback than this also spiral out of control. Obviously there are plenty of factors driving health care inflation—not least the vast number of people who see health care as a way to get rich—but at root, linking health care and employment creates an unstable system, prone to amplify increases.  Could that not be worth some attention?

Next: Food inspection dereliction
Read more from this series

Sen. Crowley vs. Bob Flanders on Bankruptcy’s Benefits


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Bob Flanders, the receiver for Central Falls, and Elizabeth Crowley, a state senator from Central Falls, are both offering Woonsocket advice on whether or not to pursue bankruptcy. Whose advice should Woonsocket put more stock in? Let’s compare…

Crowley has to live with the effects of bankruptcy. Flanders doesn’t even show up for public meetings in Central Falls, and will get paid more than a third of a million dollars because of bankruptcy.

Crowley went to Central Falls High School, and worked for 40 years there as a city clerk. Flanders went to Harvard Law School, lives in East Greenwich and I’ll bet had never been to Central Falls before becoming its receiver.

Crowley has said bankruptcy has been bad for Central Falls’ morale. Flanders told the Projo “it’s not a mark of shame.” But he also made some pretty pointed jokes about it at the Follies, for which he was roundly criticized.

Crowley said Central Falls lost its public libraries and community center because of bankruptcy. In East Greenwich, where Flanders raised his family, the school committee recently decided to spend $1 million renovating its school library. Oh yeah, about a third of that project will be paid for by the state. In 2010, East Greenwich renovated a historic gym into a community center for $3 million.

Woonsocket may indeed decide that bankruptcy is the best option for it to right its fiscal issues. But it would be wise to consider Crowley’s perspective on it more than Flanders. Doing otherwise would be like asking the fox, rather than the farmer, for advice on protecting the hen house.

RI Called ‘Hostile’ on Pro-Choice Issues


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A Guttmacher Institute map shows in dark red the states that it lists as "hostile" on pro-choice issues, including Rhode Island.

If it’s true, as Nancy Pelosi said recently when  she was here in Rhode Island, that the recent dust-up over reproductive freedom for women is an election year tactic, it might just prove to be a successful one in Rhode Island.

While we may like to fancy ourselves a left-leaning state, such is not the case when it comes to abortion rights.

The Guttmacher Institute, a public policy group that specializes in reproductive health, has listed Rhode Island as being the only northeastern state listed as being “hostile to abortion.” And it’s been listed that way since at least 2000. Check out these three maps to see how the country has become more hostile to abortion rights since 2000.

It’s not surprising that Rhode Island would be listed as hostile as only a third of overwhelmingly Democratic House of Representatives are on record as being pro-choice, according to Planned Parenthood of Southern New England. The Senate is even more hostile to reproductive rights, with only seven of 38 members identifying themselves as being pro-choice or 18 percent – and one of the them is Republican Dawson Hodgson of North Kingstown.

Given this, it’s no wonder Rep. Karen MacBeth’s bill that would require Rhode Island abortion doctors to perform an ultrasound and to ask the woman if she would like to see the picture might gain traction – even though it carries very high fines for doctors who don’t comply: $100,000 fine for a first offense and up to $250,00o for a second offense.

A Republican legislator who is pro-choice but doesn’t go on record for political purposes recently told me that abortion issues are losers for social liberals. Abortion politics, they said, energize only the anti-choice side of the debate.

To that end, it is no surprise that FOX News told MacBeth, she said, they are ready to report on Rhode Island if and when her bill comes up for a vote. Seeing how well economic issues are going for conservatives, they may as well try to move the debate over to social issues.