RIF Radio: DePetro to return Tues; gambling for charity; gravel mining in Westerly; income inequality, social mobility


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Monday Dec 16, 2013
North Kingstown, RI – Good morning, Ocean State. This is Bob Plain, editor and publisher of the RI Future blog podcasting to you from The Hideaway on the banks of the Mattatuxet River behind the Shady Lea Mill in North Kingstown, Rhode Island.

mill pond benchIt’s Monday, December 16 and Rhode Islanders have officially survived more than half of the holiday season without having to hear from John DePetro, though GoLocal reports (mindsets?) the notoriously nasty morning shock jock will be back on WPRO tomorrow morning … that’s got to be a dicey proposition for Alex and Ani, which could become the focus on storefront protests if labor decides to take its anti-DePetro protest to the next level…

Twin River is in the news today … the state-sanctioned gambling parlor in Lincoln is . And as news breaks that Twin River is hoping to expand into the Monte Carlo of the Deep South, several state lawmakers are catching flack for playing charity blackjack at Twin River … the big winners included Reps Scott Slater and Lisa Tomaso and Senator Mike McCaffrey.

In any case, I’m really glad Reps Scott Slater and Lisa Tomaso were able to redistribute a couple bucks from Twin River to local food pantries.

If it’s true that the Exeter recall campaign reflected the strong opposition to changing gun laws in Rhode Island, as Rhode Island Public Radio reported the day before the vote, then those who’d like to see stronger gun laws in Rhode Island should have nothing to fear from the NRA. 63 percent of this pretty rural and relatively gun-loving community voted against a recall that was, ostensibly, about the right to bear arms … or at least the right to get a permit to carry a concealed handgun from the local town clerk instead of law enforcement, as the rest of Rhode Island requires…

And kudos to Progressive Charlestown for beating the rest of the state on the Exeter recall story, by the way. This left-leaning blog that covers South County actually consistently has some of the best stuff in the state … for another example read Will Collete’s coverage of the COPAR quarry disaster wreaking havok with area drinnking water. The city of Westerly says COPAR is illegally mining a granite quarry for gravel, and while the issues is stuck in court, COPAR is allowed to go right on mining gravel.

Watch this weekend’s Newsmakers for a great debate on whether Edward Snowden was a hero or a criminal … my thought: the two aren’t mutually exclusive. For example, Nelson Mandela was both a criminal and a hero. So was Robin Hood, for that matter. And for a famous right-wing example of hero/criminal …  a bunch of pretty well to-do Boston merchants decided to launch about a million bucks worth of tea into Boston Harbor.

MIT, Harvard and Brown have a new study that shows there’s little to no correlation between high stakes test scores and “the ability to analyze abstract problems and think logically.”

Is economic inequality the “defining issue of our time,” as President Obama said recently?  Paul Krugman of the New York Times say so and Ezra Klein of the Washington Post has a more nuanced answer.

The key to this debate isn’t whether it’s fair or not that some of us get to be rich and others have to be poor … it’s the lack of social mobility. Put in Rhode Island terms, if you grew up in Barrington, chances are you are going to make a decent living as an adult. And if you grow up in Central Falls, chances are you’ll struggle financially.

Carcieri on Negative Campaigns, Casinos and Clean Water


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Of all the journalists former Governor Don Carcieri didn’t want to see at the polls today, I’m sure I was high on that list given all the grief I’ve given him over 38 Studios. But to his credit, he answered my questions (after, I should add, I pleaded with him that it would mean a lot to the small business I’m trying to get off the ground).

I was surprised how candid he was about the negativity in Brendan Doherty’s campaign.

In this one he talks about the casino referendum, the clean water and open space bonds (which he didn’t really want to talk about!) and whether or not he supported any Democrats this election year.

RI’s Gambling Addiction: Vote No on Questions 1, 2


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Every couple of years someone in RI has the same brainstorm: “Let’s balance the budget by increasing state gambling revenue!” There is often some time-critical imperative requiring that we do it immediately if not sooner. This election cycle it’s the threat/certainty of gambling casinos going up across the border in Massachusetts: our addicted gamblers will be drawn away from RI’s gambling dens to wager away their family’s resources, thereby causing RI state to lose revenue. RI’s solution, being voted on in ballot referenda 1 and 2, is to add table games to both Newport Grand and Twin River.

Rhode Island’s greater and greater dependence on gambling income has arisen because of the myth that gambling has no victims, because supposedly increasing revenue via gambling will not raise taxes, and because raising taxes in the open is anathema to the General Assembly. And forget about lowering spending. Supporting gambling seems the easy way out of the annual budget-setting crisis, but it is not only immoral (it amounts to a regressive tax on the poor, uneducated and minorities), it’s also really dumb.

In-depth studies have estimated that the economic costs of gambling exceed the benefits by three-to-one; also see: Gambling Economics: Summary Facts. That is, for every new dollar of revenue three new dollars of costs arise. This does not include the immeasurable emotional tragedies of broken families, bankruptcy, suicide, etc. that can result from problem or pathological gambling.

Investing in Fool’s Gold

Proponents point out that gambling is the third largest source of income to the state, so we can’t possibly get rid of it or have it threatened by competition from Massachusetts. However, it (so far) “only” composes 10% of state revenue.

There has been the implication that the new RI gambling facilities will make up for a possible loss in business due to the new MA casinos. In order to examine this, the state arranged for a gambling impact study (January, 2012) of the forthcoming presence of gambling facilities in Massachusetts on gambling revenue to RI. However, the report shows that adding table games in RI will NOT make up completely for the lost revenue, in fact far from it. WITHOUT table games (the current situation) Gross Gambling Revenue to the state will decrease by $75M after the new Massachusetts casinos are established. WITH table games (if the referenda pass) the GGR will STILL decrease and by about the same amount: $59M. That is, adding table games will likely only save the state $16M annually on a roughly $8B budget (0.2%). Is this really worth the costs? NO.

The gambling income to the state discussed in the gambling impact study consists of only the raw revenue increase to the state, that is, there are only economic positives.  It makes NO mention of either economic or moral negatives, let alone does it try to measure them.  Of course, the human costs are incalculable.

However, a whopping percentage (perhaps 300%, as noted above) of any state’s revenue from gambling goes right out the door again in the economic costs of crime, broken marriages, abused children, etc. Thus the supposed increased revenue from gambling is just fool’s gold. In fact, what we should really do is eliminate all gambling in the state. We would save a bundle.

By supporting gambling and using it as a major source of revenue the state effectively imposes a (another) regressive tax on poor and lower-income residents. These people are the ones most likely to gamble and least able to afford it. They provide the supposed extra state revenue needed to balance the budget every year, not the well-off. Therefore the better-off residents are not paying their fair share of state taxes.

Let’s take a look at another supposed benefit of the added table games, in particular focusing on Twin River. The claim is that the expansion adds many jobs. This is a mirage. The new casino income arises both from the ‘entertainment’ of gambling and from increased patronage of on-premises restaurants and other onsite businesses. But all of this decreases the business to existing restaurants, theaters, and other independent businesses outside of the casino, and possibly far from it, which eliminates existing jobs. (Example:  In Atlantic City in 1978, just before casinos opened, there were 311 local taverns and restaurants.  19 years later there were 66.) Further, the casino jobs are low-quality, truly dead-end and low-status. Do parents brag about “our son, the croupier”?

On the Addicted Gambler

Gambling addiction is real. Problem gamblers make up about 0.5-2% of the population, nationally. (RI’s figures are similar to those of the whole country.) The percentage increases substantially the closer a gambler lives to a casino, particularly within 50 miles of a casino. This is the entire state of Rhode Island!

Like other forms of addiction, gambling addiction affects more people than just the gambler. It is estimated that typically 5-10 other people around him/her are also negatively affected. Therefore roughly 2.5-20% of the population is adversely affected by gambling (this does not even include the increased proportion arising from the closeness of the casinos). In RI that works out to be 25,000 to 200,000 people, perhaps a fifth of the state at the high end.

An addicted gambler is often 10’s of thousands of dollars in debt; he and his family are often financially ruined. Counseling is available to treat gambling addiction, and may be partially state-supported again in the future via the referenda. But providing counseling is like a drunk driver offering an accident victim with paralysis a wheelchair to make it right; it just doesn’t, the damage has been done, and there’s no way to reverse it.

Counseling doesn’t help everyone, and not necessarily permanently, as is the case with treatment of other addictions. In a study done right here in RI Dr. Robert Breen of Rhode Island Hospital found that eight weeks after intensive treatment, while many subjects had been helped, 28% of them had returned to gambling. That’s only eight weeks! Longer-term recidivism rates are unclear, but presumably are worse. So for many gamblers and their families, again, there is no going back. Further, the counseling and other social services for affected families can be a substantial monetary cost to the state.

Summing It Up

The humanitarian cost in shattered lives and families from gambling addiction is unacceptable. The economic impact is negative. There is no gain anywhere, only loss. Only one course of action is justifiable: VOTE ‘NO’ on Referenda Questions 1 and 2.

 

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These are my personal opinions. I have no affiliation with pro- or anti-gambling organizations and have no financial interest in Amazon.com.

Many thanks to Laurette for one heck of a lot of help with this!

 

Progress Report: Gemmapalooza


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Anthony Gemma

Anthony GemmaOne way or another, today’s Gemmapalooza press event will indeed be “game-changing.” While it remains to be seen how it will affect the CD1 Democratic primary, it will certainly have enduring effects on Anthony Gemma’s political career and public persona.

Here’s what we know about what will happen: The Projo reports that Gemma has indeed hired private investigators to look into voter fraud. John DePetro tells us there is video that it makes him “nauseous.” (who knows what it is that makes John DePetro sick to his stomach; it could be something honorable!) And Dan McGowan claims Gemma will call on Cicilline to resign. He also reminds us that he called on Cicilline to resign in 2010 too. WPRO will broadcast the presser live.

My guess is Gemma has some dirt on David Cicilline that won’t even come close to living up to the hype he has created about his announcement. My fear is that we have witnessing Anthony Gemma’s mental breakdown.

Narragansett Chief Sachem Mathew Thomas met with Gov. Chafee yesterday to talk about the possibility of a native American casino in Rhode Island.  According to the Projo: “Chafee said he had nothing to announce, but continued to view the gambling discussion as a jigsaw puzzle in which ‘fairness to the tribe was one piece,’ and ‘protection of revenue’ was another.”

Meanwhile, Ted Nesi reports that Twin River has spent some $700,000 to make sure they get to run a casino.

We wish Deborah Gist a speedy recovery. The state education commissioner has a small brain tumor that she is expected to recover fully from. All best, Deborah Gist.

Good for Jamestown Town Councilor Bob Bowen for casting the lone vote to locate a wind turbine on Conanicut Island. I’m really sorry this council didn’t approve the plan.

Mark Bittman: “We need real farmers who grow real food, and the will to reform a broken food system.”

Happy birthday, Yaz!