Bad night for progressives and Democrats in House


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RI State House 4The Narrative is that it was a big night for Democrats in Rhode Island. But not so much in the state legislature.

In House of Representatives especially. The chamber controlled by conservative Democrat Nick Mattiello saw the GOP membership almost double – from six to 11 while Democrats dropped a total of six seats.

Linda Finn of Portsmouth lost to Republican Dan Reilly and Larry Valencia of Richmond lost to Republican Justin Price. Scott Guthrie and Lisa Tomasso, both of Coventry, lost to Republicans Robert Nardollilo and Sherry Roberts. And Donna Walsh of Charlestown lost to Blake Filippi, an independent from Block Island.

The good news is Aaron Regunberg, of the East Side of Providence and Shelby Maldonado of Central Falls won. That Peter Palumbo lost to Republican Robert Lancia can be seen as a wash to progressives if not Democrats.

Things weren’t quite as bad in the Senate, but Democrat Cathy Cool Rumsey lost to Republican Elaine Morgan.

Here’s a list of some of the legislative seats I was watching:

Portsmouth/Middletown (House District 72)

Linda Finn 45.9%

Dan Reilly 53.9%

Narragansett / Wakefield (House 34)

Teresa Tanzi 53.5%

Steve Tetzner 46.3%

Providence, East Side (House 4)

Aaron Regunberg 82.5%

Ethan Gyles 16.8%

Coventry (Senate 21)

Margaux Morrisseau 35.8%

Nick Kettle 54.7%

Coventry (House District 26)

Nick Denice 43.7%

Patricia Morgan 49.4%

West Warwick (Senate District 9)

Adam Satchell 55.7%

Michael Pinga 44%

North Kingstown (House District 31)

Julie Casimiro 46.8%

Doreen Costa 53.1%

North Kingstown (House District 32)

Sharon Gamba 47.8%

Bob Craven 51.8%

Richmond (House District 39)

Larry Valencia 42.5%

Justin Price 57.4%

Central Falls (House District 56)

Shelby Maldonado 83.4%

Albert Romanowicz 16.5%

Central Falls (House District 56)

Elizabeth Crowley 84.7%

Dan Bidondi 14.8%

Cranston (House District 18)

Art Handy 65.9%

Don Gendron 33.8%

Newport (Senate District 13)

Teresa Paiva Weed 54.6%

Mike Smith 45.1%

BREAKING: Elorza poll watchers show 3,500 vote lead

A contact within the Elorza campaign has told me that their figures compiled by poll watchers show Elorza winning with a comfortable 3,500 vote margin. Given a hypothetical turnout figure of 35,000 voters, which is substantially higher that the usual midterm turnout, that would be a margin of roughly 10 percentage points, depending on the Harrop count.

Poll watchers, which Elorza had at each of the city’s 80 polling places, mark each voter’s name as poll workers call them out. They then look up the name on their anotated voter rolls, which also track that voters support level for the candidate. With modern data tools, poll watchers have become a critical part of election campaigns and they generally predict the outcome with great accuracy.

UPDATE 11/4, 7:30am — Preliminary numbers from the Board of Elections show 35,472 votes cast for mayor of Providence. Elorza received 3,375 more votes than Cianci, making his margin of victory 9.5 percentage points. Just sayin…

Legislative races to watch


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The State House in November.
The State House in November.

Progressives already lost Providence legislator Maria Cimini this election season, but we’ve also picked up Lauren Carson down in Newport. Here are some of the races where the liberal left could pick up – or lose – legislative seats.

In Portsmouth/Middletown, Rep. Linda Finn is in a dog fight with young Republican Dan Reilly, whom she beat two years ago to first win the seat. Finn says Reilly has been claiming credit for legislation he didn’t author, and telling other tall tales on the trail.

Also on Aquidneck Island, Senate President Teresa Paiva Weed, who has the support of the Sierra Club, also has a challenge from Republican Mike Smith.

In Narragansett/Wakefield Rep. Teresa Tanzi‘s opponent Steve Tetzner, an NRA-supporting mortgage broker, spent more than $100,000 on his campaign touting fiscal conservancy.

On the East Side of Providence, Aaron Regunberg already passed one big test by beat Heather Tow Yick in the primary, but he still needs to fend off Ethan Gyles, who is running as an independent. Whomever wins will be replacing former House Speaker Gordon Fox.

In Coventry, Margaux Morrisseau is hoping to win the senate seat currently held by Nick Kettle, who is best known for fake Facebook pages and disparaging homeless people. Morisseau runs the New Leaders Council, a training program for progressive activists, and for leading the fight for payday loan reform. And on the House side in Coventry Nick Denice hopes to unseat Republican Patricia Morgan.

Nearby in West Warwick, Senator Adam Satchel, a teacher and a Democrat, is defending his seat against independent Michael Pinga.

In North Kingstown, self-described conservative Democrat Julie Casimiro, a charter school supporter, is challenging tea party favorite Doreen Costa, who has the backing of the local fire fighters union in the race. The GOP could also pick up a seat if Republican Sharon Gamba beats conservative Democrat Bob Craven for a House seat.

Central Falls City Councilor Shelby Maldonado hopes to beat independent Albert Romanowicz and Dan Bidondi is running again Senator Elizabeth Crowley.

In Richmond, Rep. Larry Valencia is running against Republican Justin Price. In Cranston Rep. Art Handy is running against Republican Don Gendron.

One would think Rep. Mike Marcello would have a race on his hands, after making an unsuccessful run at being speaker of the House. He’s running against Lillian Jean Delmonico and Robert Quattrocchi.

Many urban progressives have already effectively won their races because they are unopposed, including Edith Ajello, Chris Blazejewski, Juan Pichardo, Gayle Goldin, Josh Miller of Cranston and Dave Bennett of Warwick.

What other races should I be watching?

Gina Raimondo for governor


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Gina Raimondo, Linc Chafee and Allan Fung at the unveiling of the Truth in Numbers report.
Gina Raimondo, Linc Chafee and Allan Fung at the unveiling of the Truth in Numbers report.

Gina Raimondo has the best ideas about how to better Rhode Island – and her middle class-friendly campaign message is far more appealing than Allan Fung’s policy proposals of cutting taxes and shrinking government. Couple that with Raimondo’s track record of being able to move political mountains and it seems like an easy choice.

But it wasn’t.

Maybe I’m holding a grudge because of her ability to shepherd through landmark pension reforms, which I still feel were too one-sided, but I’d like to think it’s more than that. I’m not sure I want to contribute to The Narrative of ‘A Democrat Can Screw Unions And Thrive’. There may be many short and long term wins to be had there (lower unfunded pension liabilities, for just one), but ultimately I’m far from convinced that’s the best row to hoe if we really want to fend off increasing economic inequality, which I firmly believe to be the root cause of much of our social and economic ailments.

Then there’s Wall Street.

It’s not a place in lower Manhattan, it’s a sector of our economy. Maybe the biggest, depending on how you define it, certainly it’s the strongest, and the only thing it makes is profits. This can be harmless in times of growth but, ultimately, can only be predatory unleashed on a society that consumes more than it produces. As such, Wall Street is the glue that solidifies increasing income inequality as the New American Way.

I’m not sure Gina Raimondo shares my thoughts on these issues. But I’m pretty certain Allan Fung doesn’t either. And in the short term, Raimondo will be far better for Rhode Island.

Payday loans don’t stand a chance with Gina Raimondo as governor. I bet she can whip the legislature into raising the minimum wage. I’m confident she can attract vibrant new businesses to downtown Providence and that she’ll be a fantastic ambassador for our tourist economy. She will not only defend our pioneering healthcare exchange, but I’d be surprised if she doesn’t find a way to make it even better. She will prioritize preparing for climate chance and sea level rise, and someday soon Rhode Island will regret if we are not.

Both Raimondo and Fung will support charter schools more than me. But I can see Raimondo turning the focus to a Constitutional right to an adequate and equal education for all. If one thing is obvious about education politics in Rhode Island it’s that we need someone to lead a high level conversation about where it’s going. I hope whoever is the next governor will pick up Bob Healey’s idea to fund education statewide as a way to offer both property tax relief and education equity. Raimondo is the only one who could pull this off.

I wanted to vote for Bob Healey, but it’s just too close with too much at stake. I think he’s the only one telling the truth on the campaign trail, even if he’s sometimes mumbling it. He may well be more popular if he had shorter hair, but instead he chooses to mock our political process. He’s the only one who earned my respect. But I think Rhode Island needs my vote, so it’s going to Gina Raimondo.

A post-Cianci Providence


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jorge elorzaImagine if there had been a Providence Renaissance in education? Responsive policing since the early 1990s? How many lives would be different? How many lives would still be here?

When my father first heard Cianci was running for office again, he was silent. Shaking his head, he sighed. “Well, everything is going back to normal.”

Normal. Normal in Providence doesn’t have to be synonymous with a nod and a wink. It doesn’t have to be synonymous with job trading, cash payments, hurting children and neglecting neighborhoods. It doesn’t have to be connected individuals – some with a history of violence- calling the shots. It doesn’t have to be razzle-dazzle downtown, and “Buckles” Melise on the side streets.

Cicilline worked hard, and then worked easy, cowardly vaulting to Congress to avoid difficult budgets and real choices. Taveras worked hard to clean up the fiscal mess left by Cianci and Cicilline, before he launched a failed run for Governor. Yet even with all the goofy insider behavior of the last 12 years, there were fewer homicides, and an improving graduation rate.

During Cianci’s last four years as Mayor:

  • there were more homicides in the city than in the past four years.
  • high school graduation rates fluctuated from the low 60s to low 70s.
  • a police chief was forced out of office for running a corrupt department
  • there was more child poverty than in 1989

During his 1990 race, Cianci manipulated people’s religiosity as a tool to gain votes. As he put it in his book, “I was in a close race, and I knew there were a considerable number of pro-life zealots looking for a candidate. I ended up getting a list of pro-life voters from the diocese.” Throughout the 1990s, Cianci repeatedly said he was against adult entertainment, but from 1991-2000, the number of adult clubs in the city grew by 300 percent – from 4 to over 12. This time around, Cianci is vowing opposition to charter schools. Why trust him? Cianci lies for power.

Charismatic and abusive, Cianci has left his mark on the city. He has attracted his share of idealists, but also plenty of the abusive, violent and manipulative.

It is long past time for a new chapter.

Vote Elorza, tell your friends to vote Elorza – and then work like hell to make Elorza deliver for the people and families across Providence.

What kind of mayor will Jorge Elorza be?


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DSC_5991Providence Mayoral candidate Jorge Elorza campaigned on Broad St. Monday afternoon in the company of Senators Jack Reed and Sheldon Whitehouse, visiting businesses and glad-handing pedestrians along the way. State Representative Grace Dias led the tour and State Senator Juan Pichardo came along for the stroll.

DSC_5951Closer to downtown Providence, also on Broad St., Buddy Cianci, the once and (he hopes) future mayor was followed by a small group of reporters as he campaigned, but I was more interested in watching Elorza take half of Rhode Island’s congressional delegation on a tour of a vibrant, yet financially struggling part of the city.

Cianci, in my estimation, is willing to say anything to anyone in the hope of getting a vote. Elorza, by contrast, is running as a progressive, and I am interested in seeing how he navigates issues such as class and economic inequality under that identifier.

Traditionally, people from struggling communities like South Providence have been underserved by the political class, who only show up every couple of years to secure the votes needed to keep their jobs. Yet ironically it is these same communities that often have the power to determine election outcomes. Elorza and Cianci both know this, which is why they are campaigning so hard here, but this truth is not lost on those in the community.

DSC_6100“He’s just complaining,” said Representative Dias, roughly translating the words of a man who stopped the delegation in the Family Dollar parking lot. In Spanish, the man had asked Elorza and the senators if they will be out walking in his neighborhood when his vote wasn’t needed. To be fair, Dias wasn’t being condescending in dismissing the man’s question. The political reality is that these visits are made to secure votes and listening to the concerns of voters is a secondary consideration.

But still, the man’s question implied an important point: Providence mayors too often get bogged down in developing projects downtown, or dealing with issues of interest to the East Side and Brown University. When money is tight, services are cut, and those services aren’t always central to the well being of most East Side residents and college students. Instead, service cuts, like the brunt of economic downturns, affect the poorest communities disproportionately.

So what the man seemed to be asking was, “If I am there for you with my vote tomorrow, will you be there for my community as mayor?”

DSC_6079

As Elorza and his supporters continued to walk door to door, currying votes from business owners and workers, they focused on likely Democratic voters, bypassing businesses that had large signs supporting Cianci or Republican gubernatorial candidate Alan Fung. They also bypassed people like this man, collecting plastic soda bottles from trash cans.

DSC_6255After all, the clock is ticking, and the mayoral campaigns needs the support of engaged voters, not the marginal, the forgotten and the underclass. As Elorza’s campaign passed by, the man didn’t look up from his shopping cart and trash can. There are two worlds here: the world of the political campaign and the world we live in. Rarely do these worlds communicate, which is a shame.

I hope Jorge Elorza will be the kind of mayor who tries to close that communications gap.