RI Pols Are Overhyping Fundraising Prowess


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Occupy's Best Visual Summation (via Oregon Live)

Perhaps I should be amazed and shocked by the “extraordinary” fundraising numbers that Barry Hinckley put up recently: over $300,000 by the end of the first quarter of 2012. I’m sure Mr. Hinckley’s campaign would like me to be. They certainly don’t want me to focus on the nearly ten times as much sitting U.S. Senator Sheldon Whitehouse had in his war chest last quarter.

But the fact is that I’m not. According to the tools provided by the Sunlight Foundation, 83% of the cash he’d raised through 2011 was from out-of-state donors. $50,000 of it is his own.

The Sunlight Foundation isn’t really clear on where Mr. Whitehouse’s money is coming from this year, mainly “Victory Funds”. But perhaps he doesn’t need it this year, after all, he gave nearly half a million dollars to himself to finance his successful campaign in 2006 (for the record, Mr. Whitehouse’s funding is 82% out-of-state).

But it’d be wrong to assume that our Class 1 Senate race alone attracts such strong self-financing; it’s typical of most of the state. The overall largest portions of our most prominent politicians’ campaigns come from themselves. Take Gina Raimondo. She raised nearly  a million dollars during the 2009-2010 cycle, and had a virtual 50-50 in-state vs. out-of-state contribution. But of the roughly $445,000 she raised in-state, $100,000 came from: Gina Raimondo.

It’s no better in U.S. Congressional District 1. Brendan Doherty: $50,000 raised from Brendan Doherty. Anthony Gemma’s already started raising money from himself, and he doesn’t announce until the 15th! Though, you have to go back to the ’09-’10 cycle to see Mr. Gemma’s real fundraising prowess: virtually all of his cash came from himself, especially in the waning days of the campaign (at least it’s in-state). David Cicilline’s numbers aren’t up for the ’11-’12 cycle, but he gave himself a pick-me up in the final day of the 2010 campaign, he gave himself $70,000.

The gubernatorial race wasn’t much better; nearly $100,000 donated to Frank Caprio came from the candidate himself. Now-Governor Lincoln Chafee gave over $1.5 million to himself.

In contrast to all of this, seven candidates ran in four races using public financing; as statewide candidates are allowed to do under the law. Of them, only A. Ralph Mollis and Peter Kilmartin won their races, for Secretary of State and Attorney General, respectively. The others, all Republicans and one Moderate, all lost. There’s a special irony in Republicans using public financing for campaigns, but given the tough fundraising hurdles any Republican candidate must face (namely, the perception of being about to lose), they do need to use anything that comes to their disposal.

The problem with all this is not that candidates self-fund, it’s that candidates will then use their fundraising numbers as a shorthand for how much support they have. “I have $1.5 million raised,” they’ll tell us. Rhode Islanders would be wrong to assume that number represents the willingness of Rhode Islanders to invest their money in such candidates. It most likely represents how much the candidate has invested in their own campaign. No wonder Rhode Island rarely gets regular folks to run for office. They can’t afford it.

Rebuilding RI’s Economy Via a Single-Payer System


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Rhode Island Hospital (via Brown Med)

It’s time to liberate capital. Of course, the General Assembly won’t do that, because we’re committed to one simple principle right now: austerity. Cut budgets, cut taxes on the rich, and watch the middle class flee the state while the impoverished remain behind.

See, we were facing a pension crisis and we had to tackle that. But the jobs crisis in Rhode Island? Well, we couldn’t possibly be bothered to pass a single bill aimed at alleviating that.

Luckily, Forbes magazine has the answer: single-payer healthcare. It will surprise our readership to discover that even some Republicans oppose the Affordable Health Care for America Act because they are holding out for single-payer.

Why? Because it makes fiscal sense. It’s simply cheaper to let the government cover healthcare than to force every business to pay a percentage of everyone’s ever-greater premium. And this is because, contrary to libertarian thinking, government actually is good for things. Infrastructure, education, utilities, etc.; these are all more affordable and more cost-effective when the government takes care of them than when the private sector does.

This actually isn’t something new. This is really old. We’ve mythologized the New Deal into this story of the Democratic Party under FDR taking drastic steps to establish things like the Works Progress Administration and Social Security. But the reality is that Roosevelt was opposed to large parts of the New Deal, which were enacted by Congress without his direction. Furthermore, Social Security wasn’t created just because some concerned legislators felt bad about poor old people, it was also advocated by rich businessmen who realized that they would have to end up paying pensions to their workers. Social Security acted as a relief, freeing capital up for use elsewhere in the company.

Rhode Island needs to think seriously about establishing a single-payer system of healthcare. Think about all of the costs associated with the current system: ER visits, premiums, the exorbitant cost of any procedure. These are things citizens and small businesses end up paying. Or not, as the situation may be (I’ve met plenty of homeless or formerly homeless folks who ran up so much debt on their healthcare they lost everything). Rhode Islanders will be willing to shoulder the costs of increased progressive income taxes if it means they can visit the hospital without worrying about the cost. The association between the tax increase and the service will be near impossible to break.

What does this mean? More spending. More hiring. More profits. Alternatively, we could decide to let ever greater healthcare costs decimate our small businesses and our people. It’s time to liberate capital. You can call it socialism, but I’ll just call it common sense.

Cassie Tharinger Returns Cider to Rhode Island


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Cassie Tharinger and John Bunker
Cassie Tharinger and John Bunker
Cassie Tharinger (L) and John Bunker (R) under a Black Oxford apple tree (courtesy C. Tharinger)

Hard cider was once the Drink of Americans. Every farm produced it. John Adams drank a tankard of it every morning. Children drank a drink called ciderkin. And the famous apples of the Johnny Appleseed legend? Apples intended to be turned into hard cider.

Even Prohibition, which utilized the destruction of apple trees as a symbol of temperance, included a passage in the Volstead Act explicitly allowing farmers to make cider while the rest of the country went dry. That proved to be its undoing, decentralized as it was, America’s large industrial brewers quickly pumped beer into throats of the newly-populated cities, and cider’s popularity plummeted.

But Rhode Islander Cassie Tharinger sees fresh life in it; in the last 5-10 years, cider has been returning to the American drink list. Just as the craft brewing industry has revitalized American beer, the craft cider industry has an opening. Perhaps one better than the craft brewing industry, as no single cidery dominates the market as Anheuser-Busch InBev and MillerCoors do among breweries.

Ms. Tharinger, raised in Vermont, moved to Rhode Island about twelve years ago and worked at the Rhode Island State Council on the Arts, while hobby fermenting cider on her own time. She also became the fruit coordinator for Urban Greens, a harder task back before farmers’ markets began to spring up. It required her to take trips to Hill Orchards in Johnston, RI, where the owner, Allan Hill, taught her more and more about growing apples. With her hobby cider-fermenting on one hand, and this newfound passion for apples on the other, “I saw my interests dovetailing,” she says.

But most of Johnny Appleseed’s hard cider apple nurseries have long ago been cut down, despite what tales will tell you. So Ms. Tharinger moved to Maine for a year and a half to study under John Bunker of Fedco Trees, a large tree nursery that propagates old apple varieties. According to Ms. Tharinger, Mr. Bunker’s philosophy is that the study of apples is worthless without propagation.

At this point, it’s good to understand how apples spread. “Each new seed produces a new variety, your Granny Smith seed does not equal a Granny Smith apple tree,” she says. Instead, branches of one tree are grafted onto another tree, so on one tree, many varieties of apple might grow. Fedco Trees has a research nursery, which Ms. Tharinger runs. “It’s a repository of varieties,” she says. A living library of apples.

Now she had a plan: “to root cider in good orchard growing.” Armed with both an understanding of apple-growing and cider-brewing, she returned to Rhode Island to create a cidery based around an orchard. With American hard cider apple varieties hard to come by while demand is growing; and no existing importation trade for English, French, and Spanish cider apples; the potential cidery needs to grow its own cider apples, she reasoned. For the last six to nine months, Ms. Tharinger has been pursuing her dream; putting together a business plan, networking, and doing outreach for the cidery.*

Hard Cider
A couple of glasses of cider (via Mother Earth News)

But it’s never just that simple. With cider (except for that dark brown liquid previously known as “apple juice”) out of the American drinking landscape for the last 90 years, cidermakers have had to start pushing for better rules about what constitutes cider. The dream, pushed for by cider advocate Steve Wood of Farnum Hill Ciders, is a cider section in your local liquor store. The Cidermakers’ Conference, which recently held its second annual meeting, is pushing for a legal definition and regulation. While there is a federal license, few state ones exist; Massachusetts and Vermont are exceptions. Rhode Island has nothing about cider anywhere. Indeed, its laws aren’t conducive to starting a cidery.

“I’ve thought about going somewhere else, but this is home,” says Ms. Tharinger, visibly troubled. She says that not only is land expensive, but the poor small business environment is daunting.

A bill introduced by Representatives Teresa Tanzi (D – Narragansett, Peace Dale, Wakefield) and Jared Nunes (D – Coventry, W. Warwick) would allow farm wineries to sell at farmers’ markets. But the liquor lobby has come down hard against it, and Ms. Tharinger says that it’s hard to get farm wineries to advocate for the law; angering distributors could impact whether their products make it to shop shelves. But Ms. Tharinger thinks it’s a good move. She’s spoken to other cider start-ups, and selling at farmers’ markets is a way many get started, it’s where most of their selling happens.

Despite the obstacles, Cassie Tharinger sees the potential in starting a cidery here in Rhode Island. And after nearly a century of its absence, Rhode Islanders might just be a thirsty for a little cider.

______________________________

*Previously, this article incorrectly referred to the process of cidermaking as “brewing” rather than “fermenting” and in one instance referred to a “brewery” rather than a “cidery”. I have also corrected a mistake which claimed that European apple varieties were expensive to import; rather trade is non-existent.

A Possible Progressive Flameout in CD1 Race


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Rep. David Cicilline (D - RI 1)

The line I’ve been toting is that Congressman David Cicilline isn’t as beatable as his approval ratings suggest. First off, I doubt that his approval ratings are low because of his time in Congress, where’s he’s been a reliable progressive vote (as he was always going to be). What seems to be the zeitgeist is that Mr. Cicilline is disliked because Providence is having budget issues.

I still think without a progressive anti-Cicilline in the primary race, progressive voters who fear that Mr. Cicilline might lose aren’t going to abandon him. Progressives are warming up right now, though they haven’t caught fire (they seem to have a knack for picking disappointing candidates).

If soon-to-be-announced primary opponent Anthony Gemma runs as he did last cycle – like he was running for a different office – then the only way he’ll win is through voter antipathy towards Mr. Cicilline, and not for any love of Mr. Gemma.

Let’s consider that possibility for a second. If you’re a progressive, here’s the question I have to ask: where do you go from there? Who do you vote for in November? Do you vote for Brendan Doherty and give a seat to the Republicans on the off-chance that Doherty will be defeated in 2014? Do you vote for Mr. Gemma, a right-wing Democrat who appears more likely to side with the Republicans than the Democrats and who’s competence you don’t have much faith in, but if elected is likely to stay there for years to come? Or do you just skip voting in CD1 come November?

I’m suspecting the last one for many progressives. The issue is that there is no “white knight” in the wings. Since progressives are over-reliant on the Democratic Party, there’s no way to do an end-run around the Democratic nomination process and run a progressive independent. That independent would also have to be well-financed and well-known (and at least popular with a decent swathe of Rhode Islanders); or otherwise risk media marginalization (a very stark possibility). If Mr. Cicilline goes down in a primary duel with Mr. Gemma, that will be it. Two non-progressives will battle for the center-right of Rhode Island voters.

It’s a sad problem to have. The only progressive candidate is terribly flawed, making what should be an easy waltz to reelection an obstacle course.

The Chafee Endorsement Matters For Cicilline


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Governor Lincoln Chafee (Independent)

The big political news of the yesterday was Governor Lincoln Chafee’s endorsement of U.S. Representative David Cicilline for Congress in 2012. First, Chris Fierro of Mr. Cicilline’s office tweeted last night that Gov. Chafee attended a fundraiser for the incumbent representative.  Then the Governor’s office confirmed as much in this statement.

There’s a danger of reading too much into this, but it appears to be a good sign for both Mr. Cicilline and Gov. Chafee. It definitely hurts the campaign of Mr. Cicilline’s challenger Brendan Doherty, who could’ve bolstered his argument of being an acceptable Republican for Rhode Island by winning Gov. Chafee’s endorsement, Rhode Island’s last federal delegation Republican (it’s unlikely Mr. Doherty ever sought the Governor’s endorsement). But with no non-Democratic statewide officeholders left to endorse him, Mr. Doherty will have to rely on obscure RIGOP apparatchiks, conservative media, and the nationally-despised national Republican Party.

Mr. Cicilline won’t be overly-bolstered by this endorsement. As Mr. Nesi points out, the Governor and the Congressman are the two most disliked politicians in Rhode Island right now (of those politicians included on polls). If this was two years ago, such an endorsement might’ve shored up Mr. Cicilline’s progressive supporters, which it will somewhat help to do now. But Governor Chafee is not the same as Candidate Chafee, and his low poll numbers are likely due to a collapse in support from the labor-progressive coalition that propelled him into office in 2010. It does mean that potential Democratic primary opponent Anthony Gemma is increasingly isolated in Rhode Island’s political landscape.

I think Gov. Chafee actually benefits the most from this endorsement. There’s no doubt that the Governor has been pulling reliable duty as a Democratic Party workhorse; co-chairing President Barack Obama’s re-election committee, endorsing Senator Sheldon Whitehouse who ousted him from office, appearing with Providence mayor Angel Taveras, and now this. If the Governor makes the switch from Independent to Democrat, he might might be able to get more cooperation from the General Assembly in time for 2014, perhaps preside over a few legislative successes and stay in the limelight by virtue of party affiliation.

His fortunes are tied to those of the state’s of course, and Democrats might prefer that the Governor remains apart; setting up what could be an easy pick-up for current Treasurer Gina Raimondo without the risk of an unpopular candidate harming any down-ticket party members.

Dear RI: Where’s the Work?


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For those who have never had a day of unemployment that they did not choose, there are no words which can describe the state. For those who, like me, have, you know the feelings. You know the self-loathing, the worthlessness, the despondence, the anger. But most of all, the fear. There is a special terror reserved for the jobless, a dark vicious terror that constantly lurks in the back of one’s mind. It is the terror that the bills will catch up with you. The terror that this may not be temporary, that you may never work again. That it will catch you, and in the end, kill you. And you carry that with you for months.

The job hunt is nearly as disheartening. Each letter sent out is a gamble, each interview a risk. Plenty will offer you tips, plenty will suggest you talk to so-and-so, plenty will say “perhaps if you tried here.” And you force yourself to nod, because you think to yourself, “I have done all of that already,” but you do not wish to get into a fight. But no one will treat you with respect; be it the callous souls who tell you, even in the midst of the worst economic catastrophe since the Great Depression, to “get a job,” or the people whom you are applying for a job with. You will be left on the line for weeks, sometimes without ever getting a response telling you someone else has been hired. Alternatively, they will send you some of the cruelest words in the English language, “thank you for your interest…”

I have sympathy for employers; it is not easy to pull the trigger and tell the job-seeker they will not be hired. But I have no sympathy for the politician who sees the suffering of their policies and yet continues with their madness. The politician says that they have imposed their policies so cities and towns “will get their fiscal house in order.” But they have not imposed fiscal order; they have imposed pain and suffering. Tell the victims of these policies that the political leadership has brought fiscal order. Tell the family who has abandoned their home and is living in their car because property taxes went too high, or the landlord forced to raise rents on tenants they know cannot afford it. Tell the vast majority of the people of this state who pay taxes at a rate nearly twice that of those who can most-afford it that we are bringing fiscal order. Our political leadership has a perverse definition of “order”.

Where’s the work that was promised? I was fortunate enough that I could work for free as a volunteer while I searched for a job. Most are not that lucky. They languish, in trouble, waiting for work that will end their weariness and replace it with accomplishment. Through this hell that has been imposed, they march onwards, driven by the idea of hope, our state motto. The motto so sacred to Rhode Islanders that we placed it on our flag so that it might symbolize us. The Statehouse should be the house that hope built. Instead, it is hope’s marble mausoleum.

The party in power names itself “democratic”. Perhaps they need a lesson in democracy. The word means the people rule. The people. Not the Speaker of the House nor the President of the Senate. If the representatives of the people delivers a bill, “democracy” means the leadership must consider it and bring it to vote by those same representatives, not hold it for further study, their epithet for saying they have killed it. This means that if the people cry out for fairness in our taxes, you cannot dismiss this cry as not having a chance. The people get to decide that, too.

But our “leadership” tells us that we must wait, that the tax policies they enacted six years ago during good times have not yet had their full effect. And yet, our unemployment rate has risen back to 11%, while the rest of the nation sees declines. Our “leadership” tells us we must not tax job creators, while the state loses the very jobs we are asking the creators to create. Our “leadership” tells us business favors tax consistency, but only if that consistency is going down. Our “leadership” tells us they want Rhode Island to be a place where anyone can live, but their policies force cities and towns to raise property taxes so high no one can live here.

I say this as a Rhode Islander. I say this as someone who only recently found a job in this state after nearly a year of trying, and I was not confining myself to only the state. I looked beyond our borders reluctantly, because deep in my heart, I know there is truly no other state for me. I am not ashamed or abashed to say I love Rhode Island, in all its oddities. I do not believe any true Rhode Islander can contemplate fleeing this state without any regret or sadness. And yet, that contemplation has been very real to me. And it is real to the thousands of Rhode Islanders who remain without work, many who have been searching longer than I have, many of whom are more deserving then I am.

There are those who will despise me for what I’ve written here. They will attack me, perhaps call me a demagogue. They will find fault with whatever I say, and seek to undermine my reputation. I do not care about my reputation though, I care about Rhode Island. The naysayers will point to our 11% unemployment rate and deride the citizens of this state as stupid for not abandoning it. They will insult the place of my birth, and me, not knowing or comprehending that the reason the unemployed stay is because as much as circumstances prevent them, they also have hope. They believe in this state. The naysayers look at an idea and say “we cannot do this,” and they will find such and such a reason to stop it. But those with hope will look at an idea and say, “how can we make this work” and search for ways until they have exhausted all possibilities.

Ship Building

We want to make our state work. We want to rebuild this state with our own sweat. We are not asking the politicians in the government to break a sweat, we will do that. We will work the hours, we will do the labor. We ask merely that the politicians on Smith Hill have the decency to relieve the pressures that prevent us from doing so, that they reverse their mistaken policies and free the people of this state to work. That they keep those already working employed. That they enforce policies that actually will bring the idle gainful work. That they take no more from those who have already sacrificed too much.

There is a dividing line between people. On one side are those who do not love this state, who cannot imagine a way out of this crisis, who call for it to be abandoned or else denigrate its people and its government. On the other are those who wish to give their lives for this state, who wish to improve it, who see its possibilities even in the midsts of its failures. I ask the leaders of this state to be the leaders that we know they can be, and lead this state to greatness. Where’s the work? It is before us.

Don’t Fear the Hoodie


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American Flag Hooded Sweatshirt
Geraldo Rivera Screenshot
Geraldo Rivera (via TalkingPointsMemo)

So, when the Trayvon Martin slaying entered the national consciousness, it became clear to most that a single person acting alone had killed a harmless youth and not faced any penalties for it. The youth’s crime? Being black, mainly; although his killer, George Zimmerman, claims he looked drunk.

Obviously, this set-off a whole host of people to debate the events of the night, and names like Emmett Till were tossed around. Some have focused on Florida’s “stand your ground” law, which allows someone to utilize self-defense to justify a killing even if they didn’t make an attempt to flee from their assailant. So, it appears to me that a single man, with a history of bad judgement calls, killed a teenager for no reason other than his suspicions.

But you know what, there was a possibility I hadn’t considered. Trayvon Martin was wearing a hooded sweatshirt. And Geraldo Rivera thinks this was as much a cause of his death as anything else. Now, this started creeping into territory that gets me a little scared. See, I’ve been to Britain, and in Britain, Mr. Rivera’s remarks would not be that far off from what people are willing to think. See, in Britain, the hooded sweatshirt has been transformed from an unobjectionable piece of clothing to the dreaded “hoodie” bringer of riots, crime, and destruction. I don’t know where along the way “hooded sweatshirt” became reduced to “hoodie” but I think that reduction could possibly be part of the problem. A hooded sweatshirt is just a sweatshirt with a bit of cloth to keep your head warm. A hoodie is a whole style of clothing. I actually think I grew up without distinguishing between a regular sweatshirt and a hooded sweatshirt when speaking.

American Flag Hooded Sweatshirt
(via kissied.wordpress.com)

It’s gotten so bad that a six-year old was actually banned from a supermarket for wearing a hooded sweatshirt that had been bought from said supermarket. That’s where Britain’s paranoia has brought it. They also rely on the famous “Anti-Social Behaviour Order“, labeling a whole generation “ASBOs” in slang for such innocuous activities as “loitering” or “spitting”. Luckily, ASBOs may be going away.

Fear of the hooded sweatshirt may not. Mr. Rivera is right in that it’s a pretty useful garment in avoiding a camera. But does that mean we go about stigmatizing what is a really comfortable and useful piece of clothing simply because of a few bad apples? It’s like banning cars because they kill people. Or because they’re used in crimes. At the end of the day, it shouldn’t matter what type of clothing you wear; whether you’re white or black, whether you’re Latino or Asian. You have the right to walk to the corner store and not be killed.

Bits & Pieces: Spring in America and Underdogs


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(via Wikipedia)

Al Jazeera Examines Occupy Wall Street: Occupy Providence has thrown the buzzwords “American Spring” around on their Google Groups page a bit, and I’m still skeptical, but this video on Al Jazeera English’s “Fault Lines” program gives us a reminder of just what was going on then. Undoubtedly, Occupy changed the debate. Since Occupy retrospectives seem to be in vogue (bringing some attention to Rhode Island due to the negotiated ending), this one is good.

“Fault Lines” is a pretty good program, and I’ve largely enjoyed each new one. Most interesting to Occupiers is probably this one on Chile’s mass actions. I’d argue that Chile, with its Chicago School-designed free market economy, relative modernity and democratic government is far more similar to the United States than either Spain or Greece or any of the Arab nations that have faced mass movements, and it’s been far more successful at mobilizing youth despite a far more traditional organizing model.

How Underdogs Can Win: Malcolm Gladwell provides a on the idea of David vs. Goliath, and dissects how undermining the rules of the game creates havoc when facing more traditional-minded opponents. For anyone who’s ever had to run on tight resources, it’s definitely rewarding. Mr. Gladwell is/was a tobacco industry shill, but there’s no denying he’s a capable writer. Though… I’m still not sure if on closer examination the whole thing doesn’t fall apart.

RI 10th Least At-Risk for Corruption In Nation: According to the corruption risk report cards released by the State Integrity Investigation. Since I’ve previously written about how RI isn’t really corrupt versus other states, I feel vindicated. Unfortunately, we got a C overall and the least corrupt was New Jersey with a B+. The naysayers are bound to point out that we got an A in redistricting, despite the CD1 maneuvers. But we got Fs in Judicial Accountability and State Civil Service Management, so I guess that’s where the conversation should focus (it probably won’t). The next step for the Investigation is to suggest solutions. Keep an eye out.

New Hampshire Libertarian Republican/Democratic Coalition Defeats Marriage Repeal: In a 211-116 vote in the House, libertarian Republicans and state Democrats joined up to defeat a socially conservative Republican attempt at repealing the extension of marriage to cover homosexual couples. Given that in Rhode Island, it was a struggle even with a gay Speaker of the House to pass civil unions, this defense of the right of marriage by social liberals in New Hampshire proves that it doesn’t matter what letter stands next to your name, you can still defend people’s rights. The question for the Republicans is if this means that the party’s social conservatives are finally facing a backlash after their success in 2010.

96% of Americans Admit to Receiving Welfare (When Told What Counts As Welfare): Yes, apparently when you don’t have to check in with a government agency to get welfare, you don’t acknowledge it as welfare. However, when you’re aware you’re receiving government welfare, you’re much more pro-government. Ezra Klein’s post for Washington Monthly ends up reinforcing the notion that our welfare system is dangerously screwed up. Basically, tax policy transfers a lot of wealth from the poor to the wealthy. The post doesn’t go into it, but in many ways, deficit spending does the exact same thing. Poor people don’t buy government bonds.

Rhode Islanders Take On Payday Lenders:* Speaking of tax policy, over at the Barrington Patch, a large group of people, churches, politicians, and advocacy groups have a letter laying out why reforming payday loans is a smart idea. It’s pretty clear that the industry makes an exorbitant profit and won’t go belly up if they have to deal with reduced profits, nor that the current rate (260% APR) is particularly necessary. In case you missed it, Cracked.com’s John Cheese wrote an article long ago about how one gets screwed being poor, and payday loans took #4.

__________________________________

*Correction: Earlier, this letter was falsely attributed to Barrington Patch editor William Rupp. Apologies for the mistake.

Homeless and Advocates Fight for Help at Senate Hearing


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The ACI
Sen. John J. Tassoni, Jr.
Sen. John J. Tassoni, Jr., Chair of the Senate Housing and Municipal Government Committee (via Smithfield Democrats)

The State Senators of the Committee on Housing and Municipal Government met to hear testimony from homeless people and their advocates about the state’s emergency winter shelter and the move of the men’s shelter currently situated at Harrington Hall to the Gloria MacDonald building at the ACI.

Homeless people, advocates, service providers, and their supporters packed the room, with a number of people remaining standing throughout the roughly hour and a half long meeting where it was made clear that the state cannot continue on its present path.

With 88 beds, Harrington Hall is unable to meet demand and is often over capacity. Men looking to reserve a bed can do so if they agree to follow conditions laid out in a contract, about 40 have done so; another contract allows use of the 30 lockers available, all of which are currently reserved. Four showers are available.

When asked about the state of the bathrooms, which serve far more than 88 men each day, Sean Trott, a shift supervisor, said they are horrendous, but by shelter standards “we’re considered clean.” Trott described some shelter residents starting their days at 3:00 am to avoid waiting for the bathroom; “they are the hardest workers I know,” he said. When he ended his testimony, Trott received an ovation from the crowd for his full description of the conditions. Sen. John Tassoni, a Lincoln Democrat, said, “I wouldn’t even let my dog stay in that shelter.”

Sen. Tassoni and Sen. DeVall both spoke about being appalled by the conditions of Harrington Hall. Sen. DeVall expressed frustration that a year after viewing the shelter, conditions hadn’t improved and a solution had not yet been found. “The leadership needs to go over there and see what it’s like,” said Sen. Tassoni.

The senators also expressed surprise when a worker at Emmanuel House said that the shelter run by Crossroads Rhode Island on Broad St. in Providence maintained a policy of keeping half its beds empty, a revelation which was met by murmurs of knowing displeasure from the viewing crowd. The senators agreed to call a representative of Crossroads Rhode Island to the next meeting.

John Freitas, a member of the Rhode Island Homeless Advocacy Project (RIHAP) who is himself homeless said that shelter was not the solution, “housing is the solution.” Mr. Freitas stepped away from the podium without fielding a question from the senators. Indeed, not a single currently homeless or recently homeless person who gave testimony was questioned by any of the senators. The senators were more willing to engage with advocates, whom they often asked pointed questions to.

Early on, Sen. Hanna Gallo (D – Cranston) entered the meeting and was invited to ask questions. Most pressing to the senator from Cranston were five sex offenders who currently reside at Harrington Hall. Citing walking distance to a library and a baseball field, Sen. Gallo opposed moving the shelter to the new location. Sen. Gallo received support from Sen. Pinga and Sen. Maher. Jean Johnson, Executive Director of the House of Hope, responded by noting that House of Hope registers the sex offenders as residing there. If any fail to return at night, the police are notified. Thus, the location of said offenders is known and watched from 7 pm at night to 5 am in the morning. No such protection exists for sex offenders not registered with the shelter. Sen. Tassoni said that this was the result of a few residents in Cranston getting their neighbors worked up over nothing, noting that 82 sex offenders currently reside in Cranston.

Sen. Crowley asked Ms. Johnson what happens to a typical resident in the morning. “They get on a bus and go to where we know people usually congregate, such as Providence,” replied Ms. Johnson.

“What’s to stop them from getting off at Pine St.?” said Sen. Crowley.

The ACI
The ACI in Cranston

“Nothing,” said Ms. Johnson. She went on to note that in House of Hope’s time running Harrington Hall, sixteen sex offenders had found housing, while seven were returned to prison. However, only the one of those was due an incident of recidivism; the others were due to parole violations.

Jim Ryczek, Executive Director of the Rhode Island Coalition for the Homeless, gave testimony to the committee where he said that many of the issues with the sex offenders were problems that the House of Hope had taken on upon themselves, providing a service to the state that the Department of Corrections would otherwise have to fill. Sen. Maher acknowledged that the senators were aware of this lack in the Department of Corrections. Sen. Pinga also expressed a desire to separate the five sex offenders from the rest of the residents at Harrington Hall. Neither senator offered suggestions for how such a thing might be done. Mr. Ryczek, a resident of Cranston and father of two young children, noted the jarring experience of receiving a sex offender notice in the mail, but asked the senators to look beyond that to dealing with people who need assistance.

Sen. Pinga did note that all towns and cities in Rhode Island are required to have 10% of their housing stock be affordable housing, which would help in alleviating homelessness. Sen. Tassoni pointed said that only 40% to 50% of municipalities had so far met that goal.

John Joyce, co-director of RIHAP, delivered some of the last testimony. “It seems like year after year the conversation about homelessness ends when the winter shelters end,” said Mr. Joyce. He said that the state’s commitment to the homeless doesn’t end, and pointed out that Dr. Eric Hirsch, a Professor of Sociology at Providence College, had calculated it cost the state $8,000 more to keep someone in a shelter than in permanent supportive housing with wraparound services (Dr. Hirsch also gave testimony earlier in the meeting). “We can end homelessness in Rhode Island,” said Mr. Joyce.

Gemma’s Suspicious Facebook Followers


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Anthony Gemma

Anthony GemmaAnthony Gemma is running for U.S. Congress as a Democrat. He hasn’t formally announced yet, but it’s pretty clear.

For instance, type “Anthony Gemma” in any search engine. See the first result? “Anthony Gemma for Congress 2012.” He’s also taken a leave of absence as CEO of Mediapeel after selling it to Alex and Ani. Mr. Gemma needs to stop beating around the bush and announce already. The ongoing speculation feels like it’s being used as an attempt to drum up buzz, and it’s not helping him. He has been running since he lost in 2010. We know this. I saw Facebook advertisements back in 2011. Mr. Gemma has been attacking U.S. Congressman David Cicilline since the latter took office, every chance Mr. Gemma gets. It’s long past time for him to announce.

Unfortunately for Mr. Gemma, Democrats don’t want him. Maybe it’s the fact he only affiliated with the Democrats when he decided to run for U.S. Congress the last time. Maybe it’s that, as WPRI’s Ted Nesi put it on Newsmakers, “he’s sounding more like a Governor or an EDC chairman” than a congressional candidate. Joe Fleming also makes clear in that video that Mr. Gemma has almost no support from the left or the establishment wings of the Democratic Party, and even his support among its right wing will be shaky. The Party will lock shields around Mr. Cicilline.

Mr. Gemma doesn’t belong in politics. He belongs in business, where he can at least hide somewhat from public view and people are less inclined to challenge him openly. Unfortunately for the all-but-declared primary contender, politics is a public process, where scrutiny comes at you whether you want it to or not. Which is why it’s interesting to see that the candidate’s campaign page on Facebook suddenly leaped up in likes during the month of February.

A sudden jump in Anthony Gemma for Congress' number of likes; apparently, he's popular in Germany

Just as interesting are the subscribers to his personal page. Who are the 20,000+ people subscribed to Anthony Gemma’s Facebook? And here’s a better question: what’s up with many of their unusual names? And why do most like “Unicorn City Film” as a movie? Or why do Kevin Ubtryvh and Heideo Uthrdl have the same 16 friends (and only 16 friends), the exact same likes in sports teams, music, books, movies, and television, and yet somehow aren’t friends and grew up and went to schools in completely different places? Why are a large majority of their friends sporting the last name “Hic” or else some slight variant on that? Is Penix Jermainebrianne even a real person, or should her parents (assuming they exist) simply be examined for naming her such? Why do so many of Mr. Gemma’s Facebook subscribers follow this basic pattern of an odd first name followed by a last name made up of two names which are usually first names?

Mr. Gemma is about to go up against David Cicilline, a well-financed opponent who has a strong base of support among the Democratic Party apparatus. But Mr. Cicilline may have the money and ground games ready, he doesn’t have anything like Mr. Gemma’s Facebook numbers; totaling a mere 3,456 likes (this is comparable with numbers put up by Senator Sheldon Whitehouse). Mr. Gemma racked up 41,764 likes on February 23rd alone (a date he issued a press release attacking Mr. Cicilline; this doesn’t usually brings tens of thousands to click “Like” on one’s Facebook page). Looking just at his Facebook numbers, Anthony Gemma should be Rhode Island’s most popular politician. Which is why he sits 13 points behind Republican candidate Brendan Doherty in the latest WPRI poll (in comparison, Mr. Doherty has only 5,523 likes).

Now, there’s no conclusive proof that Mr. Gemma is not popular in Germany, Spain, Indonesia, and Dubai; countries where many of his subscribers are from. There’s no conclusive proof that Corinem Yers doesn’t exist (he’s also a fan of Unicorn City Film). But these people don’t show up on a Google search in any other place except Facebook. In contrast, most people tend to at least show up  somewhere other than Facebook, because they have lived full lives. Examples include websites for their colleges, or their jobs, or in newspapers, or even the online white pages. Maybe those following the not-yet-a-candidate are merely people who are so cloistered from modern society they’re only allowed limited Facebook access. And maybe Anthony Gemma appeals to those people. In which case, he should be applauded to reaching out to a forgotten segment of our society.

But alternatively, people (especially those who are a bit tech savvy) could take a look at this and come away thinking one thing: Anthony Gemma is utilizing bots to inflate his social media numbers. Even if that’s not true, the appearance is what matters. Anyone looking for big numbers is going to think that more likes on Facebook equals a better candidate. But therein lies a problem. If your social media followers aren’t dedicated, if they aren’t real, then you’ve just lost a social media battle. To technologically competent people, nothing’s worse than a social media phony. People might begin to think like Facebook user Alex Avalos, who put it thusly to Anthony Gemma:

 

______________________________________________

Updates: RIFuture has attempted to contact Mr. Gemma for a response, but so far, he has not yet responded.

Sadly, an astute reader has pointed out that the Facebook account Penix Jermainbrianne no longer exists.

We also have been getting some emails and Facebook responses about this story. Readers have pointed out that Mr. Gemma’s Twitter followers are likewise odd, and he seems to be able to rally online support in online polls. Last election cycle, the Providence Journal‘s PolitiFact was unable to conclusively evaluate claims made by Mr. Gemma’s campaign about his status on LinkedIn. Likewise, a couple of readers have said this recalls late last year when Republican Presidential candidate Newt Gingrich was revealed to have followers who were roughly 80% dummy or inactive accounts. However, that was evaluated to be not far off from a standard political account. The second-to-last paragraph of that story leaves us with the idea that we should apply caution to all online interactions and not take things at face value.

So there is no smoking gun to suggest that Gingrich, or any of these politicians, bought any of their followers. But what this kind of analysis also reveals, says Topsy [a social media search company], is how hard it is to say which Twitter accounts are for real and which aren’t. Spam bots are getting more sophisticated; many now have fake profile pictures, fake bios and generate fake tweets. “The fact is, a large proportion of all Twitter accounts are inactive anyway,” says Ghosh [Topsy co-founder].

The Moderate Party Needs An Identity


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Moderate Party RI's Logo

Moderate Party RI's LogoIn 2010, Kenneth Block, Chairman of the Moderate Party took a run at Governor. His decently-publicized (for a third party) campaign achieved 6.5% of the vote (22,146 votes); enough that if only half his voters had shifted to Republican candidate John Robataille, Republican would now be in their fifth term as governor. Considering voter rolls the year before placed the number of registered Moderates at 52 in the entire state, Mr. Block had a good turnout.

More astounding was the Attorney General candidate, the near-unheard of Christopher Little, who pulled 14.4% of the vote and out-did the Moderates’ top-of-the-ticket  candidate. Mr. Little had 47,328 voters select him, over 25,000 more than picked Mr. Block. In Providence, Mr. Little actually came in second over the Republican candidate, Erik Wallin. Both ultimately lost to Peter Kilmartin.

Did anyone else in the Moderates accomplish anything? Not really. Four candidates contested seats in the House. Mostly Democrats sailed to victory (often uncontested), with the closest races being where Republicans triumphed over Democrats. Moderates did best in the House races when Republicans weren’t running. Not a single candidate for Senate existed ran.

Ken Block
Kenneth Block, Moderate Party candidate for Governor (via Rotary Club of Providence's facebook)

The argument for me is pretty clear here: the race for Governor was at least a distraction for the Moderates. At best, it should’ve been a rallying point. I seem to recall there were rumors about having Lincoln Chafee on the ticket as a Moderate. Regardless of his policies, this would’ve been a massive boon the Moderates. If it could’ve happened, it probably should’ve. But even with a well-known, and at that time, well-liked candidate, the Moderates wouldn’t have solved all their problems.

Their main problem, is this: what are they about? Well, their website and Wikipedia pages offer their “4 E’s”: Economy, Education, Ethics, and the Environment! Under the economy: be more like Massachusetts, reduce spending, cut spending, and end “waste and fraud”. WPRI reporter Tim White probably has something to say about that last bit. Educations is the slate of education deforms we’ve come to expect from those advocating the corporate model; don’t pay teachers attractive wages, evaluate their students rigorously, put the inexperienced in teaching jobs as though this will make students learn better (it takes about three years for a teacher to become truly effective). Ethics is just a shot at the not-really corrupt political culture. The Environmental policy is actually pretty progressive, and something I can get behind.

Still, all it does is position the Moderates as “not-Republicans”. Just as the Republicans can’t afford to be merely the anti-Democrats, the Moderates have to be more than not-Republicans. Independents function just as well as not-Republicans, and are more reliable in terms of contesting races than the Moderates. So, how to solve these dilemmas?

First, drop the terms “moderate” and “centrist”. First, they’re relative. Moderate to what? The Democrats? The Democrats are all over the map. Moderate really only means “moderate Republican”, because the Democratic Party hasn’t rooted out its moderates in the same fashion conservatives have gone after moderate Republicans. Centrism is likewise a malleable ideal. You’re only in the center in appearance to other parties. If those parties shift (like if Republicans tilt leftward or Democrats tilt right), then you’re no longer centrist. Centrism just means you’re letting other people set the terms of the debate. Let’s put it this way: if you were centrist in the 1850s on slavery, then you probably favored something like Jim Crow. Jump ahead thirty years. Are you centrist any more?

If the counter-argument is that “Democratic” and “Republican” are just as relative terms, that’s true, but not in the same way. See, Democratic and Republican are both terms that their owners give meaning to (well, their opponents are often involved in ascribing negative meanings). It means that the parties never have to be reactionary, they’re almost always setting their issues for themselves.

The other problem with “moderate” is that it’s not really a rallying cry. Take Occupy Wall St. That organization has its battle cry right in its name. It lends itself to posters of shouting people with “Occupy” flying from their mouths. It’s active. When you hear the word “moderate”, you don’t think action. Here’s Thesaurus.com’s list of synonyms for moderate: abstinent, balanced, bearable, careful, cautious, compromising, conservative, considerate, considered, controlled, cool, deliberate, disciplined, dispassionate, equable, even, gentle, impartial, inconsiderable, inexpensive, judicious, limited, low-key, measured, middle-of-the-road, midway, mild, modest, monotonous, neutral, nonpartisan, not excessive, pacific, peaceable, pleasant, reasonable, reserved, restrained, sober, soft, steady, straight, tame, tolerable, tolerant, tranquil, untroubled”. Not all of those are bad things to be associated with, but most don’t lend themselves to partisanship. Untroubled people don’t campaign, they don’t really vote. Impartial people don’t care. Low-key people don’t attend rallies. Monotonous people shouldn’t run for government (although many do).

Swedish Moderate Party Logo
Logo of the Swedish Moderate Party (via Wikipedia)

But what about the Moderate Party in Sweden? They’re the government. But a quick perusal of their history and you’ll discover that the Moderate name is a rebranding of what was called the Rightist Party previously. Furthermore, they stand for liberal conservatism, not moderation (economic free-market liberalism combined with traditional conservative values). The RI Moderate Party is trying to stake out its own position under the Moderate label, not rebrand themselves to play down their extremism.

But rebranding is precisely what they’ll have to do. Their policies can’t be moderate positions between left and right, they have to be clear alternatives to those presented by Democrats and Republicans; or at least presented that way. Furthermore, liberal voters are a large, reliable portion of the state’s voters, but there is nothing on the Moderate Party’s website that would appeal to them past the environmental issues. If you could attract liberals and progressives on the environment alone, then the Green Party would be a force to be reckoned with.

Second, stop insulting Rhode Islanders. Don’t say the state is corrupt. Why? Because it implies that voters are willingly enabling corruption. Voters tend to trust their own representative to do the right thing, and view other representatives as causing trouble. So a candidate for office can’t succeed by portraying another candidate as corrupt unless that candidate actually is corrupt, and has been proven to be so. Rhode Island is great, and any party has to say they’ll make it better than it is. Even in the depths of its despair, there is still greatness in Rhode Island, and that greatness is what any party needs to focus on. Makes ethics important, but don’t make it a major plank of your party. Furthermore, by not emphasizing it so much, it won’t hurt you as much when you violate ethics laws.

Georges Clemenceau
Georges Clemenceau, Prime Minister of France, wry wit (via Wikipedia)

Third, get rid of any “X-Point Plan” that is not three points (the Moderates have a Six-Point Plan for ethics). Anything overly complex leaves you open to Clemenceau’s criticism of President Wilson’s Fourteen Points: “Fourteen? God Almighty only had ten!” People also stop paying attention after too many (Angel Taveras had something like a twelve point plan for Providence, but it’s never mentioned these days). Three points is enough; the weakest comes second and the strongest comes last. This is basic rhetoric.

Fourth, ignore the governor’s office (and most statewide offices). This might seem counterintuitive, but given that the Moderates are on the ballot because of gathering enough signatures, the governor’s office means nothing for them. The Governor can do little in Rhode Island, especially against a Democratic General Assembly which hasn’t had a Democratic governor to cooperate with since Bruce Sundlun. By not competing for the governor, you also don’t get the stink of being a perennial loser on your party. Cities and towns are where the Moderates should be focusing. Successfully run one of those and then you have a case to make about responsible administration to the rest of the state. Take Senate and House seats, but only when you have enough that you are power-brokers should you run for governor. Then you can pass your agenda.

A party shouldn’t be a vehicle for Ken Block to become governor. It needs to be something more. A party persists. By not focusing on down-ticket races, the Moderate Party shows it’s not committed to building a party. Those small races and positions should be thought of as your farm league. They’re going to provide a large portion of the talent that will make any party last. They also point the way on positions and issues that will be important to your party down the line. Furthermore, gathering signatures for the party is such a ground-game method of running, it’s surprising that wasn’t translated into more candidates down-ticket.

Do I think the Moderates will listen to this? Not really. But if their goal is to become a genuine party and not just a Rhode Island sideshow, then hopefully they’re already having this discussion.

Why Vote Republican?


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Whenever I want to take a break from reality, I go and read a column by RI “Young” Republican Chairman Travis Rowley.

Now, if you’ve managed to avoid the writings of this Brown graduate, I applaud you. But to give you the idea of his writing, it’s just the right balance of out-of-touch, denigrating, arrogant, and elitist opinion that Brown has a reputation for producing (yes, Brown produces it on the left as well as on the right; their centrists are the same as well).

In Mr. Rowley’s mind, Democrats are socialists. No. Wait. They’re Republicans. Obama’s election? A “far-left takeover of Washington“.

It’s not hard to see why Republicans have been marginalized in this state, only electable in traditional strongholds and where Democrats are failing. With Rowley attempting to channel Glenn Beck, their now-former leader in the House being twice arrested for drug use, their former party chairman lying to them about the state of the party’s coffers, and their candidates for national office flubbing interviews, it’s no wonder few Rhode Islanders trust the Republicans to handle the state’s affairs any better than Democrats have. What are they offering?

Indeed, what are they offering that Democrats can’t also provide? There are Democrats who are just as conservative as any Republican. Social conservatives in Rhode Island are quite happy to vote Democrat; especially given the state’s Catholic nature. Rhode Island’s Democratic Party, largely thanks to its willing embrace of immigrant and Catholic communities during the 19th Century, managed to combine social conservatism and economic interventionism and marry it to pro-interventionist social liberals. When it wants to, the Party embraces free-market principles as well, such as implementing the flat tax.

Republicans paint themselves further into a corner when they lob attacks at the cities. However mismanaged they may be, referring to the metro area where the largest swathes of Rhode Islanders live and work as a “black hole” isn’t a way to make oneself beloved to the voting public. Republicans increasingly portray themselves as the party of country elites (as they long have been). Outflanked by Democrats from the left and right, Republicans have further removed themselves right, a strategy tailor-made to increase their already dangerously poor irrelevance.

Another problem is that they’ve begun mistaking Democrats losing for Republicans winning. John Robataille came in a close second in 2010 when Frank Caprio managed to piss off not only the progressive wing of his own party, but also loyal Democratic partisans with his now infamous “Obama can take his endorsement and shove it.” If there’s one thing Rhode Islanders hate, it’s bad national publicity about our state, and we punish those who bring it on us; alternatively, bring us good publicity, and we reward you. Brendan Doherty, who has revealed himself as a currently-inept candidate, is up in the polls only because U.S. Congressman David Cicilline is so poorly regarded in Congressional District 1.

I think largely this type of thinking is because Republicans in Rhode Island look at the national party and say “we must follow their lead.” But Rhode Island despises the national Republican Party. If Lincoln Chafee had not had an “R” next to his name like a scarlet letter, he would still be a senator in Washington, D.C. today. Tea Party politics may have energized the Republican base in 2010, while the Democratic base was depressed by two-year shellacking during the healthcare debate that failed to win anything beyond a Heritage Foundation-inspired healthcare system, previously supported by Republicans. This was a one-time opportunity for the Republicans. They picked up four seats in Rhode Island’s House and four in the Senate while losing the Governor’s office. The strategy simply doesn’t work.

It would be mean of me to lay out the problems without suggesting up solutions, and I aim to do as much. Simply put, the best way to win is to outflank the Democrats. Ironically, two of the Republican-elected officials pointed out the way to do this, albeit inadvertently. Sen. Bethany Moura (R-Cumberland) and Rep. Dan Gordon (Libertarian-Portsmouth)* blasted Attorney General Peter Kilmartin for joining the robo-signing settlement (although Mr. Gordon made a mistake which undermined the central point). Did anyone take the lawmakers seriously? No. But plenty of progressives have been criticizing this settlement since its inception. Maybe this part of a new Republican strategy to penalize the banks and win populist support. Pat Robertson seems to be getting liberal with age, suggesting bankers should’ve been arrested. In which case, that would be an outflanking of the Democratic Party.

President Eisenhower

Republicans have abandoned their pedigree in favor of a conservatism that’s radically new. Let’s not forget, the Republican Party freed the slaves, joined in fusion with the Populist Party in some states, gave birth to a the Progressive Movement and even some socialist ones. Republicans busted trusts and warned us of the dangers of the military-industrial complex. Their northern wing joined northern Democrats in passing the Civil Rights Act. Even Mr. Conservative himself, Barry Goldwater, has an award named after him for his pro-choice policies.

Republicans in Rhode Island should be drawing on these legacies. Instead of insulting the electorate as “anti-American” whenever it votes against them (saying it doesn’t make it true), Republicans need to embrace an all-Rhode Island strategy. This does not mean throwing aside their libertarian and conservative wings, but rather running candidates to the left of Democrats in districts where that’s feasible. This means, yes, running candidates who will oppose their dogma on immigration policy. Those who will oppose them on tax policy.

This means running on a platform of pro-people values. Radical Randian Objectivism only inspires the greedy. The argument should be that the Republican Party can allow people to transcend their current circumstances. But if the argument is that the poor are leeches and the rich are fleeing the state, well, it’s clear why that argument dooms Republicans to irrelevance. Rowley-style bile isn’t what people respond to. We respond to values we want to associate ourselves with. Republicans can’t win running as the anti-Democrats. They have to stand for values Rhode Islanders want to associate with.

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*Dan Gordon’s political affiliation varies from source to source.

Afghanistan and the Sunk Cost Fallacy


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10th Mtn. In Afghanistan
10th Mtn. In Afghanistan
A soldier of the 10th Mtn. Div. during Operation Mountain Fire (via U.S. Army)

The recent news out of Afghanistan is grim. On the heels of a burning of Qurans (along with other Islamic literature) that sparked mass protests in the country, the massacre of 16 civilians, nine of whom were children and three of whom were women, by a lone U.S. gunman; now Afghanistan’s President Hamid Karzai has demanded that foreign troops of the U.S. & NATO-led International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) pull out of villages. The Taliban has also announced they are suspending talks with the U.S. in Qatar.

It is perhaps the longest war in U.S. history (this claim is disputed). For much of it’s history, it was unpaid for, and has contributed greatly to our deficit; unlike in past wars, we did not increase taxes for a wartime footing (indeed, we started another unfunded war in the same time period). But this does not mean we have not paid a cost; we have given the lives of my generation to the war. And because this cost has been paid in lives, it has made us irrational.

There’s a thing called the sunk cost fallacy: that if you’ve invested in something, you need to keep investing in it, even if it’s not working and just an unnecessary cost. This describes our policy in Afghanistan. Now, President Barack Obama and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom David Cameron have both said they intend to hold the course. But the fact of the matter is that it makes no sense. Afghanistan has become NATO’s sunk cost. We are losing money and lives there, the situation is not improving, and there are clear benefits to leaving.

Even the purpose of the war, as stated by both former President George W. Bush and President Obama, defeating Al Qaeda and Osama Bin Laden, is completely ended. I can remember the night Bin Laden was killed. I came home, went to my computer and checked my Facebook. People were saying that Bin Laden was dead. I checked on it on the news, and sure enough, it was credible. A short while later, a friend contacted me.

“Wow. We got Osama,” he said.

“Yeah,” I replied. Then a short while later, “can we go home now?”

Much has since been made of the celebrations that night; that we reveled in the death of an enemy, that it was unbecoming of us, that we should’ve soberly reflected on what this one man’s death had cost us. I don’t believe that we were truly celebrating Bin Laden’s death. I believe that in our heart of hearts, we were celebrating the end of the war. If President Obama had announced the end of operations in Afghanistan at his press conference, it would’ve been a fitting end to a disastrous war. Instead, we will linger on; unwanted by the people of Afghanistan, unwanted by the people of America.

Our best military officers recognize the situation as untenable. General David Petraeus abandoned Afghanistan for a civilian post at the Central Intelligence Agency rather than have his career blemished by failure in the Central Asian country. Our military policy; “counter-insurgency” (COIN), is based on the writings of an obscure Frenchman who fought in a peaceful sector of France’s defeat in the Algerian War of Independence. Each successive general in Iraq, from David McKiernan, to Stanley McChrystal, to David Petraeus, to John Allen has portrayed their COIN policy as a break from the previous commander’s. Each has failed to produce results.

The reality is that COIN produces no solutions without horrific inhumanity. Its most-cited success, the Malay Emergency, relied on the massacres of ethnic Chinese insurgents by Malays while the British imperials of the time quietly watched (this is called “winning the hearts and minds”). America has no intention of replicating such policy; for good reason. To those who cite the end of war in Northern Ireland, they should be reminded that the IRA managed to successfully change its tactics from targeting people to targeting capital. If a military solution had been successful in Northern Ireland, the British government would’ve never gone to the negotiating table. Military solutions against insurgencies have a terrible success rate. Successful policing and negotiation are the most successful ways out.

As callous as it is, the reality is that we cannot stabilize Afghanistan. We destroyed its stability (what little there actually was), and we cannot replace it. President Bush was mocked by Jon Stewart when he claimed that “success in Iraq is not no car bombs.” Little did we know that he would be right. Can we honestly look ourselves in the eye and say that we won in Iraq? Of course not. There was nothing to win. If anything, we handed a victory to Iran and damaged the useful myth of American superiority. We likewise have found there is nothing to win in Afghanistan.

The victor in these wars will be anyone who chose not to get into them. We have wasted eleven years in wars we should not have fought. President Obama, don’t make us waste thirteen.

Kingdoms of Amalur: Reckoning’s Decent Start


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Kingdoms of Amalur Cover
Kingdoms of Amalur Cover
(via Wikipedia)

If you’re not much of a follower of gaming news, you might’ve missed that Kingdoms of Amalur: Reckoning sold roughly 330,000 copies in parts of the North American market in February, according to Joystiq.

This puts the game by Curt Schilling’s 38 Studios as #4 among all games sold last month. At a $59.99 price tag, that’s a hefty amount, though not stunning by some recent standards. It does, however, make KoA:R the only game put out by a new studio to break the top 10 for February. However, there’s a bit of a silver lining; the 330,000 number doesn’t cover the entirety of the North American market, nor any other markets in the world. So expect total worldwide sales to be larger. No doubt Rhode Island will be watching with bated breath.

I’m actually a follower of gaming, though I’ve never been a hardcore gamer (I grew up without a video game system, our hand-me-down PC was always hopelessly outdated along with our games, and now I own an aged Mac). So while it’s good that KoA:R was able to sell this well (especially in the wake of Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim), I’m hesitant when it comes to 38 Studios’ shadowy “Project Copernicus” massively multiplayer online game (MMO). Perhaps it’s my view that the MMO market is less open to innovation than other genres.

See, one of the things that KoA:R had going for it was that it’s single-player. Single-player games are like novels, in a lot of ways (KoA:R even had an established author writing for it). People are more willing to get into a new one. But MMOs are in a lot of ways like a bowling league. Once you’re part of one, why join another?

This is partly what’s allowed World of Warcraft to persist for so long; still with 10.2 million users seven years after its release and with a fourth expansion to be released. You see, players get invested in the world because all their friends are there; like in a bowling league. To give a tech analogy; WoW is Facebook. Its competitors are Friendster, MySpace, and Google+. If you want to succeed, you have to do something different; like Twitter.

I assume that 38 Studios knows this and understands the risks. But I also assume that the General Assembly had next to no idea when they authorized their $75 million grant; I’ll assume they were motivated by WoW’s profit margins without considering what makes WoW WoW. If 38 Studios can get Project Copernicus to succeed, then none of that will matter.

One of the great things about the gaming industry is that it’s highly decentralized. Unlike the publishing industry in New York or the film industry in Los Angeles, gaming studios can exist almost anywhere. This is largely due to the nature of their technology, which allows studios to be anywhere. But 38 Studios may represent the tail end of a dying business model: hard copy gaming. Game sales were down 20% in February from the year before. Hopefully, 38 Studios will be able to pivot away. The gaming industry is entering uncharted territory.

But independent studios are pointing the way. The success of Minecraft demonstrated that a single person working a relatively unique concept could make millions (full disclosure: I bought Minecraft in its alpha phase of development for about $10, I’d played it before when it was a relatively simplistic browser-based game). The thirst for innovation is there. With 5.75 million sales between its PC and smartphone editions, Minecraft probably represents a far greater return on its investment than WoW. Rhode Island might consider fostering independent studios to develop innovative games. At the very least, 38 Studios shouldn’t gamble all of its money on a couple of blockbuster titles; it too should invest a little in a few developers to come up with interesting games. The studio Valve, which created the gaming masterpieces of the Half-Life series launched the even more critically acclaimed Portal series after finding it as a student project.

The gaming industry is in the midst of great changes. Does 38 Studios have the ability to navigate them?

Does Romney’s Loss Point To Wounded GOP?


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Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney had trouble defeating Ron Paul in the Rhode Island Young Republican straw poll (okay, to be fair, that straw poll was meaningless). Now he crosses the finish line third in the Alabama and Mississippi primaries. At the time of writing, Hawaii and American Samoa are still up in the air, but they utilize a caucus system, rather than a primary system, and the news of the night will be Mr. Romney’s loss.

The air of inevitability is off, and though the math still favors Mr. Romney in the delegate race, his path to victory looks increasingly shaky.

Faced by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA), former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA), and serving Representative Ron Paul (R-TX), Mr. Romney has had all the advantages in this race: money, name recognition, unlimited spending via SuperPACs, endorsements, support of the Republican establishment, and virtual “runner-up” status from the 2008 Republican presidential primary. And yet, he can’t seem to finish off any of his remaining opponents.

As the race continues it seems that the Republican Party’s much-vaunted discipline is falling apart in this presidential primary. Since the 1950s, Republicans have almost reliably nominated candidates at the convention who have been a credible runners-up in a previous primary season or else were vice president. Nixon: vice president; Ford: vice president; Reagan: runner-up in 1968 & 1976; George H. W. Bush: vice president and a runner up in 1980; Dole: runner-up in 1988; and McCain: the runner-up in 2000. The two aberrations have been Barry Goldwater in 1964 and George W. Bush in 2000; but in both those cases no candidate had been a previous runner-up or a vice president.

Interestingly, this begs the question, should Mr. Santorum emerge at the convention as the nominee and then lose, would Mr. Romney get another shot in 2016? I’d say no, simply because having lost two primary races in a row and a loss this year after virtually being the presumptive nominee would probably spell the end of his presidential ambitions. In such a scenario, Mr. Santorum’s ambitions would be over as well, leaving the Republican Party with no obvious nominee in 2016. But should Mr. Romney win, expect to see Mr. Santorum again in 2016 or 2020.

Unless, of course, American politics are about to undergo a sea change. Republicans nationwide appear to be eating themselves. The social agenda of the Tea Party and its politicians have made them the most unpopular group in the country. Less conservative candidates are unable to catch fire with the increasingly conservative base. Meanwhile, moderates continue their exodus from the Republicans while RINO-hunters are after their heads.

Each of the remaining candidates seems to represent a constituency in the Republican party. Mr. Romney represents the elite establishment interests. Mr. Santorum represents religious and social conservatives. Mr. Paul represents libertarians. And Mr. Gingrich represents philandering hypocrites. This may be because parties in America are less political parties than large coalitions of relatively unorganized factions. That the candidates seem to be reliably taking portions of various voters points to an increasing factionalism within the Republican Party.

Trust in the parties to accomplish the task of governing is at an all-time low. In this kind of environment, radical political movements like the Tea Party or Occupy Wall St. can come to the fore. However, with both groups having appeared to have spent their goodwill and life having moved on without them, look for new ones to crop up. Both parties are going to have to reinvent themselves to stay relevant with shifting demographics. But if it’s fair to say there’s a Republican Civil War going on, then it remains to be seen whether it’ll give them a head start or delay the process.

Rhode Island’s Rent Is Too Damn High


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Rental Property
Rental Property
(image via NYTimes Examiner)

A new national report entitled Out of Reach put out by the National Low Income Housing Coalition (NLIHC), shows that housing in Rhode Island is unaffordable to anyone who’s not making above-average wages. The study shows that:

  • Fair Market Rent (FMR) for a two-bedroom apartment in the state is $924 a month. To afford that rent and utilities and not pay more than 30% of their annual income on housing, a household would have to earn $3,081 a month or $36,974 annually.  If you worked a 40-hour workweek every week for a year, this would mean your wages would have to be $17.78 an hour.
  • For minimum wage earners, the prospect is bleaker. To afford the FMR of a two-bedroom, a worker working at $7.40 an hour would have to work 96 hours a week (there are 168 hours in a week) for 52 weeks a year. To maintain a 40-hour workweek, the two-bedroom apartment would have to contain 2.4 workers.
  • Luckily, the average worker earns about $11.64 an hour. So assuming a 52 week work year, the average worker only has to work 61 hours to afford a two-bedroom . To maintain a 40-hour workweek, the number of inhabitants would have to be 1.5 workers.

According to the report: “Out of Reach speaks to a fundamental truth: a mismatch exists between the cost of living, the availability of rental assistance and the wages people earn day to day across the country. An affordable home, providing stability and shelter, is a basic human need. Expanding the availability of affordable housing to address the unmet need of so many low income Americans should be a top public policy priority.”

There are three conclusions the report reaches:

  1. The Need for Low Income Housing: 1 in 4 renters nationwide are extremely low income; but low income housing stock is decreasing.
  2. Wages Can’t Cover Rents: In no state can a minimum wage earner employed full-time afford the FMR on a two-bedroom apartment.
  3. Affordability Issues Are A Nationwide Issue: In nearly every state, the average wage earner is also unable to afford a two-bedroom apartment

In terms of our housing wage ($17.78), Rhode Island ranks 17th in the nation, with Massachusetts, Connecticut and New Hampshire all higher. But that isn’t the full picture. In terms of the gap between the costs of a two-bedroom apartment and what an average worker actually makes, Rhode Island ranks 8th in the nation.

“This report verifies what we are seeing day to day here in our state,” stated Brenda Clement, Executive Director for Housing Action Coalition of RI. “Despite the national trumpeting of a recovery, what we see on the frontlines is more and more Rhode Island families struggling to remain in their home or find an adequate, safe and affordable place to live.”

Advocates have been pushing policy-makers for a funding stream for affordable housing through the Neighborhood Opportunities Program, which would increase the amount of affordable housing in the state; lowering expenditures on housing and freeing capital for purchasing. As Chris Hannifan, Executive Director of the Housing Network (the state’s association of CDCs) puts it: “Housing is the cornerstone to our state’s economic growth and investing in affordable housing production will help our state on the path to economic recovery.”

Oppose Top-Down City ‘Reforms’


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The Providence Journal ran a piece by John Hill on Sunday about Chelsea, Mass., where a post-receivership shift to a city manager system appears to have invigorated democracy in the city. But I believe that Chelsea is an exception rather than the rule; and as the Journal points out, that shift to the city manager model was accompanied by a widespread discussion of needed reforms. To put it simply, the city manager model was probably the least essential part of Chelsea’s reforms. And in other cities, its long history of implementation has been a disaster for democracy.

According to G. William Domhoff, professor of psychology and sociology at the University of California, Santa Cruz, the city manager model is part of five reforms advocated by a model city charter drafted by the National Municipal League, which formed in 1894. Many of the reforms were largely in reaction to the growing strength of immigrant and working class politics, which favored Democrats and Socialists; as opposed to the staid WASP elites of the Republican Party. The four other reforms are:

  • Off-year municipal elections
  • Non-partisan elections
  • Citywide elections for city council
  • Elimination of salary for city council members

Each reform has the effect of limiting participation in politics. For over a century, the terms “good government,” “efficient” and “businesslike” have been applied the National Municipal League’s reforms. For cities looking for technocratic and plutocratic government, these are five methods are surefire ways to achieving it. Off-year municipal elections lower turnout, favoring more conservative candidates.

Non-partisan elections eliminate the handy party tags that accompany a candidate’s name; this has the effect of forcing candidates to spend more money to increase name recognition and policy recognition while at the same time eliminating the shorthand of standing for what the party stands for. Citywide (or at-large) elections likewise increase the costs for prospective candidates. The elimination of salary means that the poor or lower-middle class can effectively not serve in city government; they lack the ability to recover from the loss of income.

If you manage to get all of these together, you’ll have richer members of the city serving on city council. Finally, the city manager favors trained upper middle class candidates; in combination with the other reforms, you’ll have a government almost entirely drawn from the upper echelons of society. Government of, for, and by the people will effectively be eliminated. Or at least the definition of “the people” will have severely changed.

The data for this? Studies in Urban Review by Hajnal and Lewis (2003) and Curtis Wood (2002) confirm earlier studies (such as Karnig and Walter in 1983) that the policies of the National Municipal League depress democracy, rather than expand it. This has been apparent since the 1960s, at least. According to Domhoff, thousands of blue-collar politicians were removed from the roles of government. In an era where the political class is already grossly out of touch with the average person, restricting the ability of the average person to participate in government is not a solution.

There is no doubt that Rhode Island’s entrenched political class has mismanaged the state. This mismanagement is what’s responsible for allowing Central Falls receiver Robert Flanders for being able to suggest eliminating the position of mayor (RI Future’s editor-in-chief Bob Plain has an excellent take on it); and why the Journal (obviously an advocate of such “reform” ideas) has run their article about Chelsea, Mass. Indeed, this mismanagement is the only way by which such “reform” advocates could get their way. But the solution to mismanagement by a political elite isn’t to remove political power away from the people. This will further entrench politics in the hands of the few.

American democracy is supposed to be the realm of the happy amateur. Our founders were often elites; but many of them were also ministers and schoolteachers; people who had no experience in political matters. Later politicians rose from humble beginnings to run our nation. To hand over power to an expensive political class is an affront to the ideal of meritocracy. Elite, administrative, authoritarian democracy is not a solution to Rhode Island’s woes. If you truly believe that voter apathy is a problem, then the managerial model is not your answer.

Our lessons from Chelsea should not be to implement the managerial model of government. It should be to go into underrepresented communities and the rest of the city and have people rewrite their form of government to address the issues important to them. Give people the ability to be part of their government, and they will hold it accountable. Remove them from it, and expect more trouble.

Brendan Doherty on Newsmakers: How’d He Do


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Brendan Doherty, Republican candidate for U.S. Congressional District 1

Would I vote for retired State Police Colonel Brendan Doherty? Not from what I’ve seen (I also don’t believe that the Republicans have governed their half of the Congress well; though I wouldn’t say Democrats have done much better).

But that doesn’t mean I won’t listen to him before I cast my vote this November in the U.S. Congressional District 1 race. So I’m glad Rhode Islanders got a chance to hear the presumptive Republican nominee on WPRI’s Newsmakers. But how did he do?

Well, appearance-wise, Col. Doherty looks like anyone, though with well-groomed hair. But that could easily be said of the race’s incumbent, Congressman David Cicilline. However, Col. Doherty appeared (to me) to be hunched over during the interview; sometimes it felt like he was bobbing and weaving around the bottom half of the screen.

Furthermore, he could put a bit more attention into his collar; his tie seemed to bulge out around his neck, causing what should be a nice straight collar to ripple, making him look less professional than he probably is.

Those are things his media team/person should cover with him, working on keeping the wardrobe neat and his on-camera appearance level. This race will be covered well, which means that it’s likely Col. Doherty will be on television many times more. Nailing how to position yourself for the camera has been part of the strong politician’s repertoire since Kennedy vs. Nixon. But voters don’t care about appearance, right? After all, they’ll decide this on the issues! Well, WPRI’s Tim White and Ted Nesi, joined by RI Public Radio’s Ian Donnis, have those covered.

Col. Doherty isn’t bad on the first question about why he wants to run. Comments about Col. Doherty when John Loughlin was still seeking the Republican nomination often focused on claiming Col. Doherty was a Democrat in Republican clothing, and to his credit, he hasn’t let that get him. Col. Doherty doesn’t shy away from saying he’ll buck his own party and doesn’t back down from that position despite coming out and saying cleanly that’s he a conservative Republican. He’s free to say that he won’t be beholden to his party now, because he won’t face a primary challenge, but it could’ve hurt him with Republican voters had a primary opponent existed. As it is, it’s decent positioning. It casts him as a Lincoln Chafee-style Republican (circa 2004) while not bringing up Governor Chafee’s name, which isn’t as beloved as it once was in the state.

He flubs the Bush tax cuts question pretty badly. Given the heated nature of the extension, that this is likely to be at least a minor campaign issue. I don’t understand why he says he’s for letting them all (or most of them) expire. There’s a few ways to read that answer:

  1. Col. Doherty doesn’t understand the issue/simply didn’t listen to or understand the question at that moment.
  2. He doesn’t want to stick to Republican orthodoxy.
  3. He’s trying the whole “raise taxes on the poor” message that’s come along in some Republican camps (though letting the tax cuts expire wouldn’t do that, really).

Regardless, it’s not his strongest points. Where I’m with the Colonel is on the following issues:

  1. The Affordable Health Care Act is confusing as hell.
  2. The age for social security kicking in can probably be increased for younger folks, (though I think, at the very least, changing it for high-wage earners might be a good idea).

But then you have the typical avoidance answer of looking at waste and fraud as a way to cut the deficit. Mr. White tries to head that off, but to no avail, that’s the answer Col. Doherty wants to give. Anything else is “on the table” or “for review”. And while that might work for Rhode Island politics, it just doesn’t cut it for national politics. If you’re going to cut, you need to name something. You can practically see the exasperation on the reporters’ faces as Col. Doherty launches into waste and fraud; you can hear it in their responses telling him how often they hear it and just how little it really matters.

His response is pretty typical on Israel. Stock Israel policy; “strongest ally in the Middle East”, “stand with the people of Israel”, etc., etc. Except that he’s been to Israel for a week on counterterrorism training, so that’s at least slightly different. No nuance in the issue.

It’s hard to tell whether his position on President Obama’s contraception policy will hurt him or help him. I’d err towards the former, since a Brown poll found that women and young voters support Obama’s revised policy. Since Doherty is weak with young voters, and since they’ll play a larger part in a presidential election year (though not as strongly as 2008 due to Obama fatigue), he might want to rethink that stance. Couching it as an attack on the Catholic Church is rather nonsensical (Catholics and Democrats have a long-standing historical relationship) but would probably get a lot of support in Cranston. Unfortunately, they vote in CD2.

Col. Doherty appears to inadvertently make a statement which is should hold resonance for recession Rhode Island: that he’s been in hard times. “I know what it’s like to need, I know what it’s like to want,” he says, relating the story of his family becoming poor after being well-off due to family illness, discussing the possibility of losing their house and him being unable to attend then-Bryant College. For people struggling under Rhode Island’s ruined economy, that should be Col. Doherty’s lead-off pitch. Unfortunately, instead of that coming up during a question about the economy, it’s about making compromises and tough choices. While that’s fine, it’s clearly the strongest part of his campaign, and something that could draw a stark line between him and Mr. Cicilline (assuming Mr. Cicilline is the Democratic nominee, as rumblings of a primary challenge still exist).

This is where Col. Doherty could be weak to Mr. Cicilline. Economic arguments should be the focus of this campaign. By weighing in on social issues, Col. Doherty opens himself to attacks along those lines, which distract from the argument that Republicans should be the caretakers of the economy. Take the Tea Party for example. Tea Party members are really just the same social conservatives that have always existed in the Republican Party. But in 2010, they ignored social issues in favor of economic ones, leading to a titanic wave during the midst of the recession. But since that time, the state legislatures they captured have introduced more and more social issues bills, and it’s no surprise that the Tea Party has polled as more unpopular than Atheists and Sarah Palin. Col. Doherty just handed a hammer for any Democrat to hit him with.

Conspicuous in its absence? Providence.

The Roots of Progress (Part 2: In America)


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Thomas Paine
Thomas Paine

Progressives looking for American roots for their ideals might shun the Revolutionary Period, instead drawing upon the Populist and Progressive Eras and the New Deal for inspiration. However, this a relatively shallow reading of the nation’s history, and one that plays into the hands of modern conservatives, who seek to present progressivism as an aberration hatched almost entirely in the mind of Karl Marx.

As I showed in Part 1, progressive ideals have been around at both the foundation of democracy in English and at the foundation of capitalism. Certainly, so have other tendencies, but these are the roots, and mighty trees have many roots.

At about the same time Adam Smith was publishing The Wealth of Nations, his fellow Englishman Thomas Paine was publishing Common Sense. Lately, this pamphlet has been picked up by Glenn Beck and other such folks, claiming that in it, Paine acknowledges all of their complaints with the federal government and would completely support them. Unlikely. Paine was a radical democrat, who was the odd-man out among the Founding Fathers. Virtually alone among them, Paine said that the average person should be allowed to vote; and thus Common Sense, with such calls for universal (white) male enfranchisement, was a powerful tool to rally Americans to the cause of what were mostly well-to-do men who had no intention of allowing them to vote. Modern-day conservatives, some of whom are calling for instituting property requirements and the return of indirect election of Senators, would be hard-pressed to find support from Paine.

Paine was beyond even the mere enfranchisement of citizens though. Below, from Paine’s Agrarian Justice:

[21] Having thus in a few words, opened the merits of the case, I shall now proceed to the plan I have to propose, which is,

[22] To create a national fund, out of which there shall be paid to every person, when arrived at the age of twenty-one years, the sum of fifteen pounds sterling, as a compensation in part, for the loss of his or her natural inheritance, by the introduction of the system of landed property:

[23] And also, the sum of ten pounds per annum, during life, to every person now living, of the age of fifty years, and to all others as they shall arrive at that age.

Thomas Paine, Agrarian Justice

Paine regarded property rights as impermanent. Paine also utilized the second suggestion in Rights of Man. He also suggested this before discussing those in old age (for the time):

…pay as a remission of taxes to every poor family, out of the surplus taxes, and in room of poor-rates, four pounds a year for every child under fourteen years of age; enjoining the parents of such children to send them to school, to learn reading, writing, and common arithmetic…

By adopting this method, not only the poverty of the parents will be relieved, but ignorance will be banished from the rising generation, and the number of poor will hereafter become less, because their abilities, by the aid of education, will be greater. Many a youth, with good natural genius, who is apprenticed to a mechanical trade, such as a carpenter, joiner, millwright, shipwright, blacksmith, etc., is prevented getting forward the whole of his life from the want of a little common education when a boy.

Thomas Paine, Rights of Man

Paine was severely different from the rest of the Founders, but because of the relatively shallow reading of history we presume that all founders were monolithic in their ideals and reasons (though they were mostly drawn from a rich merchant class). Thus, in our reading of history, we go Revolution-Article of Confederation Period-Constitution. We get the briefest mentions of Shays’ and the Whiskey Rebellions, and then briefly glance over the anonymous Anti-Federalists. Sometimes, we don’t even pause on the years between the end of the Revolution and the beginning of the Philadelphia Convention, almost as though the Founders immediately sat down to write the Constitution right after they signed the Treaty of Paris. John Adams’ view of Common Sense? “A poor, ignorant, malicious, short-sighted, crapulous mass.

To get a sense of how different Paine’s view of government was, here’s his version of how the country should’ve been arranged from Common Sense (Paine also called for the direct election of justices, but that’s not visible):

Thomas Paine's Government

I think some of it is really quite confusing, and not everything I like. None it of it was considered at Philadelphia. In contrast, here’s James Madison’s Virginia Plan:

Which gets me on to Madison. Lately picked up as a hero of the right, Madison is perhaps famous as a man who advocated against the excesses of government. The Federalist Papers; published by Madison, Alexander Hamilton, and John Jay; have become useful tools for the right in their arguments for states’ rights and limited federal government. If you’re looking at the Virginia Plan above, maybe something leaps out at you right away which might seem to contradict it. If you can’t spot it, I’ll point it out: Madison advocated for federal veto powers over state laws. That should be enough to strike him from the hearts of any states’ righter.

That the Federalist Papers are even utilized by the right is an interesting feat of intellectual blindness. Considering that 51 of them were written by Alexander Hamilton, versus 26 for Madison and just five by Jay, one wonders why those looking for limited federal government are using arguments advanced by the strongest proponent of centralized government in the fledgling republic. Perhaps, because the Federal Papers are intended to convince the Anti-Federalists that the changes wrought by Madison’s beloved commerce clause and the new Constitution are not really the radical changes from the Articles of Confederation that they actually were.

It’s difficult for any movement to align itself with folks like the Anti-Federalists; though I don’t think it’s impossible. But it’s clear to me that the Founders largely ignored the ideals that Paine used to inspire the masses to revolution in favor an exclusive form of republican democracy. The Founders that stand greatest in our minds today were all flawed individuals; largely because they were humans, not gods; despite their virtual ascension to such status. Those that are forgotten generally lacked good P.R. people.

But the most forgotten in the early republic are the most interesting. I intended this part to end my writing, but given the current length, I’ll stop here and return to the rebellions in the next part.

The Roots of Progress (Part 1: In England)


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Adam Smith

“…10. Tenthly, that you will take some speedy and effectual course to relieve all such prisoners for debt as are altogether unable to pay, that they may not perish in prison through the hard-heartedness of their creditors; and that all such who have any estates may be enforced to make payment accordingly, and not shelter themselves in prison to defraud their creditors…

…12. Twelfthly, that you will provide some powerful means to keep men, women, and children from begging and wickedness, that this nation may be no longer a shame to Christianity therein…”

-From the Large Petition to Parliament, 1647; Most prominent author: William Walwyn

William WalwynThe above was written during the English Civil War, by members of the group known to history as the Levellers. The Levellers had a radical idea: that government derived its legitimacy from the people, and thus that the supreme part of government was not the King or the House of Lords, but the House of Commons which was the assembly of the representatives of the people. Taken as a whole, the works of the Levellers were perhaps the first coherent and dominant tracts about democracy in the English language. Their works were highly popular with the parliamentarian New Model Army (one tract was entitled The Case of the Army, Truly Stated), which led to their challenging Oliver Cromwell. Eventually, Cromwell dealt with them the way King Charles I dealt with them; prison and murder.

We have trouble conceiving of the past without thinking about it in terms of the present. Thus we don’t realize the effects the English Civil War had on government and philosophy. Besides the Levellers, the Diggers came along (sort of proto-socialists); more famously, both John Locke and Thomas Hobbes are highly influenced by the war. We also can’t realize that the English were rapidly shifting from a feudal society that viewed anyone utilizing market forces to enrich themselves as sinful to a mercantile society that was the foundation for what became capitalism. When we learn the history, we largely de-emphasize or ignore the Agricultural Revolution that preceded the Industrial Revolution; the former freed up millions of people for the latter.

It’s important to understand that the two demands above weren’t just separate from a host of other social justice demands, they also fit into a larger body of work (along with An Agreement of the People) that expressed democratic thought in an era where the use of the word “democracy” was akin to calling someone an anarchist. Expressed from highly pious and Christian position, at the very beginning, the case for democracy included a mandate for government to take care of the less fortunate. To include that in our demands about the purview of the government should not be as radical as it was over three hundred years ago; yet many persist in making it so.

…”the understandings of the greater part of men are necessarily formed by their ordinary employments. The man whose whole life is spent in performing a few simple operations, of which the effects are perhaps always the same, or very nearly the same, has no occasion to exert his understanding or to exercise his invention in finding out expedients for removing difficulties which never occur. He naturally loses, therefore, the habit of such exertion, and generally becomes as stupid and ignorant as it is possible for a human creature to become. The torpor of his mind renders him not only incapable of relishing or bearing a part in any rational conversation, but of conceiving any generous, noble, or tender sentiment, and consequently of forming any just judgment concerning many even of the ordinary duties of private life… But in every improved and civilized society this is the state into which the laboring poor, that is, the great body of the people, must necessarily fall, unless government takes some pains to prevent it.”

“The necessaries of life occasion the great expense of the poor. They find it difficult to get food, and the greater part of their little revenue is spent in getting it. The luxuries and vanities of life occasion the principal expense of the rich, and a magnificent house embellishes and sets off to the best advantage all the other luxuries and vanities which they possess. A tax upon house-rents, therefore, would in general fall heaviest upon the rich; and in this sort of inequality there would not, perhaps, be anything very unreasonable. It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion.”

-Adam Smith, in The Wealth of Nations

Adam Smith
Adam Smith

In the first quote above, Adam Smith describes what Karl Marx would eventually call “alienation” as an effect of the division of labor. Rereading it, you can see the natural elitism of Smith, but that doesn’t really make him any different from any other theorist of his times. The reality about Marx (besides that he was often wrong) is that most of his critiques of capitalism existed prior to him writing them down. They were made often by Christians who viewed capitalism as a real danger to the social fabric of the people’s lives. The Chartists in England made many critiques of the capitalism they saw about a decade before Marx set down to writing. In the fog of history though, when we get to these views, we label them all as “Marxist” or “socialist” or “communist”. Anti-capitalism has existed as long as capitalism. Its critiques are right there besides its birth.

More interesting to me is the second quote, which many read as an argument for progressive taxation (I find it hard not to read it that way). Taken with the first quote, it seems to advocate government spending and programs to assist the poor. Why, almost a redistribution of wealth. In the very foundational text of capitalism. Odd.

Governor Lincoln Chafee has before him a plan to end homelessness. The General Assembly has before it progressive taxation as well as quite a few bills aimed at assisting the less fortunate. These are in keeping with the foundational mandates of both democracy and capitalism. Perhaps we should determine whether we continue with this system, or whether we should abandon them for a more sinister version of each.

 

Part 2 is forthcoming. Hints: Common Sense and Whiskey.


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