Grover Norquist doesn’t actually know much about a ConCon


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DSC_5283As I listened to Grover Norquist address the crowd of about 80 people at the swanky and exclusive Squantum Association in East Providence on Thursday afternoon, I couldn’t help but wonder if the slick conservative operative knew what he was talking about.

For instance, Norquist attempted to minimize the danger to civil rights that a con-con represents by touting the good government reforms that might spring from such a venture, saying, “I think you will find, as we have in other states…”

What other states is Norquist talking about? There hasn’t been a con-con in any state in this country in 30 years, and the last one was held here in Rhode Island. In that last con-con, there were several constitutional changes suggested (and passed) that directly impacted civil rights. So what is Norquist talking about, when he mentions “other states”?

“Every day that the legislature meets, they form a constitutional convention,” said Norquist, although what that statement could possibly mean is difficult to figure out. And why he thinks this would make Rhode Islanders want to have a con-con is even more difficult to ascertain.

DSC_5289Norquist says that during the process of a con-con, “one or two amendments might become intriguing and important” failing to note that the last time a con-con was held, 22 amendments were bundled into 14 ballot questions. These amendments were all over the place in terms of civil rights restrictions for minorities and women. There is a big difference between two amendments and 22.

At another point in his 13 minute talk Norquist claims, without offering one bit of proof, that a constitutional convention is a “more open process” than the General Assembly. I know of no study that indicates this to be in any way true or provable.

Obviously, Grover Norquist thinks that a con-con is a good idea, he made a special trip to Rhode Island while visiting his parents in Western Massachusetts to make his case on behalf of Mike Stenhouse, Ken Block and the Center for Freedom and Prosperity. But the sense I got from Norquist’s speech isn’t that he supports the con-con out of a love for the power of democracy or a yearning to put the power of government into the hands of average people.

What Norquist and the rest of the con-con supporters seem to be looking for is access to the document that sets the rules for how government functions in our society. The normal avenues of power are closed to Norquist and Stenhouse: Voters routinely reject candidates, such as Ken Block (who was also a speaker at this event) because they rightly sense that these candidates do not represent the interests of the public. Meanwhile, the General Assembly has been cool to the Center for Freedom and Prosperity’s radical ideas, such as eliminating the sales tax without finding a revenue stream to replace it.

But if Stenhouse and his coalition can crack open the constitution and take to it with scissors and markers, they can possibly create the kind of government that responds better to the crank economic theories his center espouses. These won’t be temporary changes to the constitution either. As Norquist says, a con-con “elevates the debate from who win and who lose this week to ‘what are the rules for the next hundred years.’”

Stenhouse, Norquist and Block repeatedly point out that fears of attacks on civil rights are overblown, and in one sense they are right because rich white men almost never face serious challenges to their civil rights.

Just the prospect of a constitutional convention in Rhode Island has outside money and special interests sharpening their knives in anticipation. Grover Norquist and his extreme right-wing  ideology are just the tip of the spear.

Cheap electricity isn’t the solution, it’s the problem


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HiEnergyCostsAs more and more Americans accept the obvious reality that economic benefits don’t trickle down, that they’re not part of economic growth and that global warming is both real and expensive, conservatives need to reach further afield to support their losing arguments. Nothing shows this more clearly than the Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity’s latest research report.

This time, their trying to gin up anger to the states Renewable Energy Standard and the electricity surcharge that funds it. Like all their reports, it’s a laugh-riot full of skewed findings and childish assumptions.

Nobody has the time to parse every piece of tomfoolery in the report. I just want to touch on their major findings and a couple of other tidbits.

(Not very) major findings

Like all their reports, this is a solution in search of a problem. News flash: renewable energy efforts cost money. Duh. Alternative energy is more expensive than fossil fuels. Duh. Perhaps saving money is not the totality of the point here. Cheap electricity isn’t the solution; it’s the problem.

These boys also need to realize to whom they are in opposition—and it ain’t just pinkos like me. Insurance companies tolerate none of these shenanigans because they are on the hook for global warming-driven weather catastrophes. Securing America’s Future Energy is mostly old-school, big-business and right-wing. Even the US Army recognizes how vulnerable we have made ourselves by insisting on fossil fuels.

RI F&P represent a far-right fringe community that is drifting further and further from even the GOP. One of the tidbits will point this out in all its glaring ugliness.

The first major finding reports that RI’s RES will cost ratepayers $150mm in additional energy costs over the next seven years. They then tie this seemingly giant amount of money to a struggling economy. But that’s just silly when compared with another energy-related cost increase: gasoline.

Because oil prices have exploded over the last decade, Rhode Islanders pay an additional $400mm each year just to get around. (That’s a conservative, back-of-the-envelope estimate; it could be as much as $600mm, depending on household size, driving distance, etc.) Over the same seven year period, this would come to $2.8b—almost 20 times more than the electricity rates. Imagine what that sum of money could do for our beleaguered public transit system.

The only other major finding they offer seems to be a typographical error. They claim that electricity rates will increase an additional 1.85% by 2020. TWO PERCENT! Seriously, either they misplaced the decimal point in that one or they need to look up the definition of the word “major.”

Hysterical tidbits

First off, the charts in this piece are distinctly poor. Because they lack clear labels, they don’t deliver much impact. Maybe this is intentional because the underlying data are weak. Or maybe they just glossed over the details. Either way, it’s really unprofessional.

Take a look at Table 6 on page 11. It mixes dollar costs and megawatt hours. Only they don’t bother to tell you which column uses which metric. Something in the chart represents thousands of somethings (000). My guess is it’s thousands of megawatt hours. But that would make the dollar amounts pretty small. Oh, they’re probably per household per year. Again, how can you tell.

More significantly, they make quite a bit out of the idea that states with RES mandates have higher electricity rates. They draw this from a study by the Centennial Institute’s Kelly Sloan. Where to start…

The report seems to imply a causality—that renewable mandates drive electricity rates—but the underlying report only states an apparent correlation. What’s more, even a cursory analysis shows that many other factors likely drive electricity rates.

For example, Sloan’s report has top and bottom 10 lists. The top 10, of which RI is a member, includes seven geographically contiguous, northeastern states stretching from New Jersey to New Hampshire. More importantly, Alaska stands as a glaring honker at number five. Alaska has no renewable mandate and is a major producer of fossil fuels. Clearly, factors other than renewable standards drive electricity rates. So this whole strain of thought is a childish red herring thrown in as if nobody would bother to look at the underlying data.

(For additional laughs, check out the Centennial Institute, a think tank at Colorado Christian University. These are the wacko birds the arch-liberal John McCain talks about. How wacko? Dick Morris and Mike Huckabee are on a poster from their 2013 conference under the heading “Cool Kids.” I mean…right?)

Equally childish, we find the assertion that the shale oil boom in North Dakota will yield lower energy costs. That is, in a word, insanity. The shale boom would never have happened but for the high oil prices that make this kind of extraction profitable. At no time in the future will oil prices decline in a significant way. That is a right wing pipe dream that they really need to get over.

Finally, we see the continued insistence that natural gas represents the ecologically sound and cost effective source of future energy. Disregard the fact that while they were writing this report, natural gas prices doubled. This concept requires the two-dimensional worldview that greenhouse gas emissions associated with natural gas represent the totality of its environmental impact. Nothing could be further from the truth.

Non-traditional gas extraction (aka, fracking) remains the biggest looming threat to the US environment. Most realistic thinkers assume that the absurd rules the gas industry somehow finagled out of the EPA are a legal smokescreen to hide an ugly, ugly reality.

This is almost certainly a case in which what we don’t know will kill us. Because the specifics of this practice remain cloaked in secrecy, environmental activists can only hunt-and-peck to find environmental impacts. But already, anecdotal evidence is showing that major fracking operations have major impacts. If, for example, fracking causes minor earthquakes, how is it plausible that any unrecovered chemicals won’t leech into ground water? Also, what chemicals does this extraction technique use? That might be a nice thing to know.

At some point in the near future, something horrible is going to happen to a community that has taken the money the gas industry offered. At very least, that’s a better bet than lower oil prices.

Please follow your own advice

For all of our sakes, the Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity should follow their own recommendations in a very real, money-where-your-mouth-is kind of way.

First, sell oil futures short. It’s only a matter of time before the shale glut collapses prices, right? Second, buy coastline real estate…and live there. Global warming is a liberal myth, so there’s no chance that you’ll get swept out to sea in a mega-storm.

That’s the sort of thing that only happens in New York City. And you know what kind of commies they are down there!

What is a 501c(4), how do they affect local politics?

501c4Speaking on the Senate floor yesterday, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse is helping to raise a long overdue conversation in American politics, and it’s closely related to the IRS scandal. The role 501c(4) groups play in politics.

Read his speech here, or watch it below (John McDaid of Hard Deadlines has a great piece on it here):

501c(4) a not-for-profit designation that is supposed to be used for educating people about “social welfare” but what they do as a practical matter is advocate for a political agenda.

The Washington Post has a good explainer video here, most important to know that you don’t get a tax break for donating to these groups, Instead, donors get something perhaps far more valuable: anonymity.

It’s why it took a Wall Street Journal reporter to uncover that some of the money behind pension politics came from an Enron hedge fund manager and why we still don’t know who paid for the rest of it.

It’s why the Providence Joural always referred to anything Ocean State Action touched as being “labor-backed.”

It’s why we have little idea who is paying Mike Stenhouse and Justin Katz to be the public faces behind a far-fetched proposal to eliminate the state sales tax. (Well, we know a little bit, thanks to the diligent research of Mike McDonald.) By the way, when Katz testified for this bill yesterday he did so for the 501c(3) wing of his anti-government group, not the 501c(4).

Minority Students as Pawns in War on Public Schools


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Earlier this year, the “nonpartisan” (*cough*) Rhode Island Center for Freedom and Prosperity (RICFP) released a report, “Closing the Gap:  How Hispanic Students in Florida Closed the Gap with All Rhode Island Students,” which purported to explain “in some detail why Florida’s reforms, while benefiting all students, have been especially beneficial to disadvantaged students.”

I was immediately intrigued because the claim runs counter to everything I know about the effects of the high-stakes testing, especially on students such those with learning disabilities or students in many predominately minority communities (see “High Stakes Testing: Not So Hot”). What I found though was nothing but a rehash of the standard right-wing talking points framed as “so sensible and obvious” that they needed no explanation, coupled with demagogic appeals to save a poor immigrant girl, hopelessly struggling for a better life. So much for answering the question why. I’d have to look elsewhere.

Consider a typical claim from the report:

  • Florida’s 4th grade Hispanic students scored about two grade levels below Rhode Island’s reading average for all students in 1998 and improved to match RI’s achievement level by 2009.
  • Rhode Island’s 4th grade Hispanic students reading average score is 16 points lower than their peers in Florida, roughly the equivalent of one-and-a-half grade levels worth of progress.

Sounds good, but that’s not a detailed explanation of why. Can high-stakes testing do all that? The answer is all too predictable and conveniently omitted from the statistical analysis of the Rhode Island fringe-right.

Researcher Walter Haney has debunked claims that Florida is closing the racial achievement gap, showing that narrowing of test scores on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) appears to be caused primarily by a massive increase in grade retention.

In August, Florida Governor Jeb Bush and New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg coauthored a Washington Post opinion column touting their “successes” in closing race-based achievement gaps. Indeed, according to the 2005 NAEP results, Florida had shown remarkable improvement in 4th-grade results and appeared to have significantly reduced the gap between white and minority students.

Boston College Professor Walter Haney, however, looked at the NAEP scores on which Bush and Bloomberg based their claims and at Florida enrollment numbers. He found a troubling explanation for the apparent improvement: The state has been forcing unprecedented numbers of minority pupils to repeat third grade, on the order of 10 to 12 percent, meaning that fewer low-scoring students enter grade 4 at the normal age.

In a report titled, “Evidence on Education under NCLB (and How Florida Boosted NAEP Scores and Reduced the Race Gap),” Haney wrote, “It turns out that the apparent dramatic gains in grade 4 NAEP math results are simply an indirect reflection of the fact that in 2003-04, Florida started flunking many more students, disproportionately minority students, to repeat grade 3.” Percentages of minority students flunked were two to three times larger than percentages of white children forced to repeat grade 3. Haney says this likely explains the striking decrease in the race-based score gap.

But isn’t “getting tough” the help these kids need? Unfortunately that also is unsupported by evidence, but it does make the stats look good to those not paying too close attention (or to those on the right with a different agenda).

Haney notes that making students repeat a grade based on test scores has been shown by many researchers to be ineffective at improving achievement over the long term (see “Grade Retention,” this issue). It does produce increased scores in the repeated grade, and in some studies it has shown to produce increased scores in the subsequent year or two. This means that students who enter grade four after spending a second year in third grade are likely to score somewhat higher than if they had not repeated grade 3. But within a few years any academic gains disappear, as Chicago researchers documented in that city (see Examiner, Spring-Summer 2004).

Yes, lies, damn lies, and statistics. That’s bad news for the very kids we’re supposed to be trying to help and exactly the type of ethnic cleansing of the public schools warned of by progressive reformers.

One Florida superintendent observed that “when a low-performing child walks into a classroom, instead of being seen as a challenge, or an opportunity for improvement, for the first time since I’ve been in education, teachers are seeing [him or her] as a liability” (Wilgoren, 2000).

Perhaps most interesting are the reforms the report intentionally ignores. The RICFP tries to paint this as a debate between those advocating positive change and those who “defend the status quo of failing schools,” in fact much of the “study” is dedicated to beating that tired drum, but what’s clear is that it’s only specific changes that are considered by the proponents of corporatization. Consider this section:

Florida’s Public Schools Chancellor Michael Grego attributes their success to rigorous standards for all students, teacher training focused on instructing non-English speakers and programs such as dual language classes where English speakers learn Spanish and vice versa.” [emphasis in the original]

Bilingual education for all students?! That’s an idea which might just have some merit, but you won’t find that in this report’s foregone conclusions. Anything not fitting the corporate model is unceremoniously discarded. Never mind that their own report contains this gem:

”The numbers suggest that the persistent gap has more to do with the language barrier among a subset of that group. There are some four million Hispanic students in public schools whose primary language is not English. The NCES report showed an even larger difference between those students, known as English language learners or ELL, and their Hispanic classmates who are proficient in English. For example, in eighth grade reading, the discrepancy between ELL Hispanic students and non-ELL Hispanic students was 39 points, or roughly four whole grade levels.” [emphasis added by RICFP] (Source: Webley, Kayla, “The Achievement Gap: Why Hispanic Students Are Still Behind,” June 23, 2011, TIME, U.S.)

Oddly that quote is preceded by the highlighted comment, “Florida’s success can be attributed to rigorous standards for all students, regardless of race.” Yes it can, but only by ignoring all evidence to the contrary. They later do just that, concluding, “it is long overdue that we step away from pointing to poverty, lack of parental involvement, or language barriers as excuses for lackluster student achievement.”

The report continues along this curiously contradictory path in discussing the question “Do Disabilities Inhibit the Capacity to Achieve?” As a parent of dyslexic children, let me answer this one outright:  as measured by standardized testing, absolutely. Yes, students can improve but that doesn’t change the inherent unfairness in judging them solely on this basis. As the report concludes in the section on student outcomes for children with disabilities, “those who are most poorly served by traditional district schools are most likely to transfer to a better school.” It’s small wonder given the alternative of the thin gruel of glorified test prep. Surprise, surprise! Forcing these kids out of the public schools raises test scores. Problem solved (well, at least if you’re the beneficiary of those public dollars now privatized).

I have to admit that as a parent of dyslexic children their proposal to offer vouchers to special needs children to attend alternative schools has some appeal, especially given the extreme focus on high-stakes testing currently in vogue in RI public schools under Education Commissioner Gist (my daughter attends a school for dyslexic children and my son is likely to attend next year).  This is something perhaps to be considered, although I have reservations that this may be a stalking horse for full privatization efforts at some later date.

In any case, as progressives, we need to do all we can to prevent the mistakes of Florida’s “Lost Decade” from being repeated here in Rhode Island (for more see “NCLB’s Lost Decade for Educational Progress:  What Can We Learn from this Policy Failure?”).