Math error in Taveras’s pre-K plan


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Providence Mayor Angel Taveras delivers the annual State of the City address.
Providence Mayor Angel Taveras delivers the annual State of the City address.

I believe I have discovered a math error in Angel Taveras’s pre-kindergarten plan.  Instead of $24.6 million, the total annual cost should actually be $55.2 million.

The “Ready Rhode Island” plan is only designed to provide one year of preschool, right before kindergarten, and the math error centers around confusing the figures for all preschoolers with the figures for just four-year-olds.  Here are the key passages:

About 10,800 students are enrolled in public first grade, and we can expect a similar number of enrollees in Pre-K. Subtracting the number of students enrolled in Head Start and Preschool Special Education implies that approximately 5,200 children can benefit from state sponsored pre- kindergarten.

The plan then continues:

We will start by creating slots for 2,650 children to enroll in a high-quality, full-day pre-kindergarten program. Accounting for the percentage of Rhode Island four-year-olds already served by another public program, Rhode Island would achieve a 76% pre-kindergarten enrollment rate, among the highest in the nation.

Unfortunately, the critical assumption here–that public preschool programs cover slightly more than half of Rhode Island’s four-year-olds–is not correct.  However, from the links, it is clear what mistake Taveras’s policy team made.  They subtracted the total number of preschoolers, ages zero through four, enrolled in Head Start (2,966), Preschool Special Ed (2,565), and the Rhode Island Prekindergarten Program (108) from the expected number of four-year-olds (10,800).  Essentially, they confused figures for four-year-olds with figures for all preschoolers.If you just look at four-year-olds, only 21% are covered by a public program, leaving 5,940 new pre-kindergarten slots needed to meet Taveras’s goal of 76% coverage.  Using the plan’s assumed annual per child cost of $9,300, correcting the numbers raises the real annual cost to $55.2 million, up from the original $24.6 million.

Universal preschool for four-year-olds is a fantastic idea that would meaningfully improve the lives of thousands of Rhode Island families.  Unfortunately, Angel Taveras’s “Ready Rhode Island” plan does not present a realistic proposal for achieving that goal. Because of a math error, it understates the cost by more than a factor of two.

It is disappointing that this admirable idea was presented to Rhode Island in the form of a proposal that was not yet ready for prime time.  Hopefully, the Taveras campaign will release a new proposal that corrects the math error and includes a viable revenue stream to pay for the true cost.

I spoke with Taveras’s team about this yesterday morning, but as of press time, they have yet to get back to me with their response.

Come support the Progressive Democrats this Friday!


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prog dems hero adThis Friday, December 6, at 6:30 pm at Waterplace Restaurant (1 Finance Way, Providence), the Progressive Democrats are going to be holding our Progressive Hero Award fundraiser.  We’re going to be honoring Congressman David Cicilline and Representative Larry Valencia.

A past recipient of the Progressive Hero Award, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse will be on hand to introduce David Cicilline.  Representative Teresa Tanzi, a progressive champion who represents Narragansett and South Kingstown, will be introducing Larry Valencia.

Both our honorees have a long list of accomplishments, and I can only list a few:  Larry Valencia took the lead in the fight to repeal our right-wing voter ID law, and David Cicilline played a vital role in the battle to defend Social Security.  Representative Valencia was one of only 20 representatives to vote against throwing 6,500 Rhode Islanders off Medicaid, and David Cicilline signed the Grayson-Takano letter pledging to never vote to cut Medicare, Medicaid, or Social Security.  Larry Valencia’s bill to repeal the 2006 tax cuts for the rich has earned him a well-deserved reputation for fiscal responsibility.  David Cicilline’s support for the Amash Amendment to restrain the NSA’s worst excesses, his opposition to SOPA, and his support for regulating marijuana like alcohol have earned him a well-deserved reputation as a champion of civil liberties.  And, despite the opposition of a vocal minority of their constituents, Representative Valencia and Congressman Cicilline have consistently supported sensible gun reforms that balance the safety of our children with the original intent of the Second Amendment.

Click here for more info:

http://www.ripda.org/?p=682

Click here to reserve your tickets:

https://www.wepay.com/events/progressive-hero-award-ceremony

Video: Warwick Wendy’s workers protest at their jobs


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wendys

At least five Warwick Wendy’s workers protested at their place of employment today as part of a nationwide effort to organize fast food workers and pay them $15 an hour. They were joined by labor leaders, city councilors from Warwick and Providence, state legislators, faith leaders and activists of all stripes.

Watch the video of the action:

Come Support Maria Cimini Tonight (Thursday)!


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Maria Cimini

Maria CiminiMaria Cimini is one of my favorite politicians in the state of Rhode Island.  Far too few state representatives understand the plight of working people like she does.  When conservatives attack economic growth and the 99%, she is there on the floor of the House making passionate and moving speeches defending those who are too often left voiceless.

There are far too many reasons to support Representative Cimini for me to list, but here are the two that lie closest to my heart:  Her signature initiative, paring back the tax cuts for the rich, is perhaps the most important budgetary goal, not just of the Rhode Island progressive movement, but of the Democratic Party nationally.  And in the last legislative session, she was one of only 20 state representatives to vote against the brutal cuts to Medicaid that threw 6,500 Rhode Islanders off the popular single-payer program.

So please join me in supporting Maria at her fundraiser tonight, which will be held at the Elmhurst Pub (670 Smith St., Providence, RI), starting at 5:30.

Contributions can be made online here: http://www.mariacimini.com/en/donate.html

Turning the ProJo into an employee-owned co-op


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ProjoThe possible sale of the Providence Journal is a perfect opportunity to examine what has often seemed to me to be about the lowest-hanging economic development fruit — that we continue to ignore.

Back in the misty dawn of time, also known as the 1980s, when Mario Cuomo was Governor of New York and liberals weren’t afraid to support good policy just because it was a good idea, the Empire State Development Corporation established an office of employee buyouts. They realized that it’s hundreds of times easier to keep a business going than to start a new one, and that sometimes the best buyers for a company are the people who already know how it works. The idea was to provide low-cost financing to groups of employees who wanted to keep a business going when the owners wanted to sell or retire.

The office existed for a few years, did good work retaining lots of small businesses, and then George Pataki was elected governor. That Republican had run against exactly the kind of economic intervention implied by the employee buyout program, and so the program was jeopardized. For a while, the office continued its existence by going underground. ESD directors renamed it the Office of Business Succession and had it offer more general succession planning, where employee buyouts were only one among the options. But the financing piece was difficult to implement under the new regime, and without that, it became little more than a referral service to business consultants. The program exists today as only a fond memory among elder ESD staff.

Employee-owned companies are an old idea, but a good one. The worker co-ops of Mondragon, in Basque Spain, were founded in the 1940s, and have been the centerpiece of a vigorous industrial economy ever since. Similar organizations existed over a hundred years before, in England and Scotland. These days, they are an important part of an industrial renaissance in parts of the midwest, where the idea appears to have caught on. Ohio State now runs a coop development center to provide technical assistance to establishing such businesses, and the University of Wisconsin has a Center for Cooperatives that does the same, plus research into the topic.

Years ago, I worked for a little while at just such a company. The Worcester Company, of Centerdale, was among Rhode Island’s last textile companies. When the owner wanted to retire in the 1970s, rather than sell his factory to someone who would move production to North Carolina, he financed an employee buyout. About 400 people worked there, and every morning would file in to work through a door marked “Owners Entrance.”  They had monthly business meetings where dozens of people would meet to hash out strategies and opportunities. They made mostly high-end woolens, and by exploiting a high-cost niche at the top of the market, were holding their own, paying all their employees decent wages and even turning a small profit.

Unfortunately, though the company made money, it was not enough to service the high-cost debt that was all they could find. With no help available within the state (or from the state), the company sold a 25% stake to British investors in exchange for a line of credit. After a few years, those investors saw higher returns available elsewhere and demanded to sell their share. The state stood by, offering nothing at all, while a profitable company, with 400 employees, was forced into liquidation, and now the rotting hulk of its factory sits at the heart of Centerdale.

We’ve lost a lot of manufacturing, but at least some other businesses have grown up. Every one of those existing businesses would be easier to keep than to replace, and lots of them are owned by people who are at least thinking of selling or retiring, if they are not actively doing so right now. Statistics are hard to come by, but it’s relatively clear that less than a third of privately-owned businesses continue into a second generation, and many fewer than that pass into a third.

Paying some attention to these businesses would be easy and inexpensive. Creating a central marketplace for business owners who want to sell out would take very little effort, and reliably save a lot more jobs than investing in any startup could. In his short-lived run for Secretary of State, Ed Pacheco spoke about how that office—already in at least annual contact with all the corporations in the state—could readily assume such a role.

The business for sale that’s in the news right now is the Providence Journal. Back when it was a family-owned affair, it might have been an excellent candidate for such an employee buyout. These days, after more than a decade of bumbling management and, well, rapine, by its Dallas owners, it’s not quite so clear. (Especially since such a transaction usually requires an accommodating seller willing to wait while the pieces are assembled.)  The paper’s value 15 years ago was in its staff and its circulation, and both of those have been decimated by management.

Even so, at a small fraction of the size they used to be, the Journal has several times as many reporters as any other news organization in the state. The paper dominates the local news scene, still setting the agenda for the other media in the state. Many tens of thousands of people see it every day. There is important value there, and it seems conceivable that some non-profit form of ownership — maybe even a co-op — would be a useful way to preserve the paper, and its role in shining bright light on matters others try to keep hidden.

It’s doubtful that it would be a good idea for the state government itself to get involved in preserving a newspaper that needs to retain its independence in order to be a trusted voice. But our community does clearly have an interest in an informed public, and finding a way forward to keep the Journal ownership local and responsible should be at the top of the agenda for everyone concerned about the future of our state.

Podcast: Warwick Wendy’s workers walk off, RI should buy ProJo, more jazz for Newport, more mining in Westerly

Thursday Dec 5, 2013
North Kingstown, RI – Good morning, Ocean State. This is Bob Plain, editor and publisher of the RI Future blog podcasting to you from The Hideaway on the banks of the Mattatuxet River behind the Shady Lea Mill in North Kingstown, Rhode Island.

waterfallIt’s Wednesday, December 5th … and all across the country today fast food employees will be walking off the job. Here in Rhode Island, Warwick Wendy’s employees who protested outside their workplace in November plan to walk out of work at noon, organizers tell me. RI Future will be there capturing video of the action….

The emerging nation-wide movement of fast food workers is seeking $15 an hour … an average 67 percent in pay, according to the New York Times.

The Providence Journal is for sale! And according to publisher Howard Sutton that news “…opens a new chapter in the history of our news organization.” Indeed, all of Rhode Island.

In a post on this blog last night, Sam Howard suggested the people of Rhode Island should buy the ProJo. This is actually really really doable. The paper is expected the fetch somewhere between 10 and 50 million … or, 25 million less than we gave a baseball player to make a video game. I’m not suggesting the state buy the paper, but rather that numbers aren’t an unheard of investment in these parts. I bet both Linc Chafee and Ken Block gave serious consideration to making a play for our paper of record last night …. much more on this idea to come…

More positive economic development news: the Newport Jazz Festival is adding a third day to feature less-well-known musicians. The Rhode Island Foundation is helping to fund the Friday performances and Executive Director Neil Steinberg, said, “we’re leveraging a treasure.” ….Same could be said of big old grant from the Foundation to buy the ProJo…

In a victory over NIMBYism, Rhode Island approved a transmission line from the Block Island wind farm to meet the mainland near Scarborough Beach. Some neighbors and tea party-types were fighting against the transmission line….

And according to a new poll, 46 percent of respondents said the plastic bag ban in Barrington encouraged them to use reusable bags, 56 percent said they support the new rule and half of respondents said they support a state-wide ban … meanwhile 28 percent said they shop less in Barrington because of the lack of plastic bags …. I would love to interview the Barrington resident who is driving to Warren or Portsmouth for groceries because they need their plastic bags!

A Westerly zoning board member resigned over the COPAR quarry fiasco yesterday saying lawyers for both sides have caused unnecessary delays. According to the Westerly Sun, he said, “Neither I, nor the other members of the Zoning Board, are the reason that this appeal has repeatedly been continued and not heard. It has apparently been determined by attorneys on both sides of the appeal that there has been a mutual benefit to the continuances.”

A pod of pilot whales has become stuck in the shallow flats of the Everglades in south Florida … several have died, and so-far the surviving some-odd 40 whales are still swimming, but they won’t leave the shallow water and scientists don’t understand why not…

NPR had a story on payday loans this morning and Morning Edition host David Greene called the interest rates “ridiculously high” …Ridiculously, that was adverb NPR, not RI Future, used, a news organization that is often ridiculously unbiased.

And the New York Times reports that the five major oil companies are prepared to build a carbon tax into their cost of doing business … this is noteworthy because Republicans have long claimed that industry would refuse to do so … so in this case, and maybe others, free enterprise is more amenable to paying for its consequences than the political party who defends them would have America believe … go figure…

 

 

Humanists work to place secular banner in State House rotunda


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williams banner small
Humanists of Rhode Island banner

At 4pm on December 21, 2012, Kara Russo and Chris Young led a group of about twenty-five people into the Rhode Island State House and erected a small nativity scene at the base of the “Holiday Tree” not too far from the large Hanukah menorah. According to reports the group sang Christmas songs, engaged in prayer, and erected a seasonal holiday display that was to last until January 6, but was apparently taken down just after Christmas along with all the rest of the Christmas decorations on display.

The Youngs were advised in their efforts by the Thomas More Society, whose president, Thomas Brejcha, said, “So long as these Christmas religious displays and ceremonies are privately sponsored, funded, and held in traditional public forums, they are constitutionally protected.”

DSC02419
2012 State House

Recently I became aware that the erection of a nativity scene at Rhode Island’s State House was the second in an organized, national effort to put up such displays in or near every state capitol in the country.  According to the website, “for the past five years, a very special Nativity Scene has gone up in a prominent spot in the Rotunda of the State Capitol Building in Springfield, Illinois,” based on the Federal Court decision Grutzmacher v The Chicago Building Commission.

Rhode island joined the party in 2012 with their own Nativity Scene at their state capitol.  Mississippi also has a Nativity Scene which makes it the third capitol to feature the real meaning as to why we celebrate Christmas. All of these are the result of a small but determined group of people who wanted to honor the Holy Family enough to get involved, and get the job done.”

In Rhode Island, Governor Chafee gave up trying to call the large evergreen in the Rhode Island State House rotunda a “Holiday Tree” and decided to officially refer to it as a “Christmas Tree.” I wrote at the time that the Humanists of Rhode Island were disappointed with the governor’s decision, but the group would instead focus on our seasonal blood drive, and of course we are continuing that important work and urge everyone to join us, whether you identify with our secular values or not.

However, in light of the fact that there seems to be a national effort under way to invade every state capital with permanent displays of religious imagery, (as can be seen in this recent piece about Florida’s capital) the Humanists of Rhode Island have no choice but to respond in kind.

Today we have sent an email to those in charge of public displays at the State House declaring our intent to prominently display a secular humanist seasonal banner in the main rotunda of the state house, celebrating secular values and separation of church and state. You can see the art for the banner at the top of this post.

As we await a timely reply from the powers-that-be in the State House, people should know that this was not a decision our group came to easily, as we would much rather focus on our community service efforts, but we are a group that firmly believes, as John F. Kennedy once declared, “in an America where the separation of church and state is absolute.” This is why our banner honors the founder of our state, Roger Williams, and attempts to claim the season as a celebration of his wildly progressive and radical ideas.

RI: The biggest little state in the union (for penis size)


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Well, this will get me some clicks, and feel free to point this out the next time I suggest someone isn’t doing much Hard-Hitting Journalism™. But I really couldn’t let this slip by.

You won’t see this in the MSM (well, except for TIME), but Rhode Island is . According to a study. By America’s first online condom store. Based on sales by state. So that can bring us to any of the following conclusions:

  1. Rhode Islanders who order their condoms online are doing so for Rhode Islanders more well-endowed than those who don’t and the nation’s online-condom ordering consumers as a whole.
  2. Rhode Island men are more deluded about how large their trouser-snakes are. Or have some ulterior motive.
  3. Rhode Islanders who order condoms online practice safe sex more than most other states’ online condom-orderers. Kudos.
  4. One person is skewing our results by ordering a ton of large condoms.

Okay, now a lot of you are probably thinking “wait, wasn’t there some babble about recently?” And yeah, okay, there was. And the conclusion to draw is that we need this, Rhode Island. This is a top-ranking, which many of us can be proud of.

Why, I have to wonder what the economic impact of this will be. It’s not something I expect the prudes over at the Tax Foundation to be concerned with, given their fascination with irrelevant stats like tax ratesWe could actually be “moving the needle” here. Probably by holding our impressive tumescence down on the scale.

Rhode Island: It’s All in Our Backyard. ;)

Wait…

(h/t Jezebel)